Closing remarks: astronomical

Over the past two days, we have covered many facets of the basic interactions between the solar activity and the Earth’s climate. As an astronomer, I should perhaps first comment on the fact that solar activity is not the only astronomical or astrophysical phenomenon to influence physical conditions in the biosphere. Over a very long timescale of thousands of millions of years the evolution of the Sun from a pre-main-sequence star to a star of G type has not only fundamentally controlled the physical and chemical processes in the formation of the planets but has controlled their surface physical characteristics. Over timescales an order of magnitude less, the location of the Solar System in the Galaxy may have influenced life on Earth. For example it has been noted that when the Sun crossed the spiral arms of the Galaxy and their dense dust clouds, some catastrophies might have resulted; the disappearance of the dinosaurs could be accounted for by such phenomena, as was once suggested by Sir William McCrea, F.R.S.; but nearby supernovae, grazing comets, and on large meteorites might very well have played a decisive role in the evolution of species and of our Earth. On a smaller timescale, a million years, the variation in solar energy falling on the Earth, due to secular changes in the terrestrial orbit parameters (Milankovitch-Berger theories), would have caused climatic changes and have been shown to account for the successive ice ages of the Quaternary. While bearing this in mind the role of solar activity on the timescale of recent millennia, but also on shorter timescales, is of obvious importance to society and, as we have seen in this meeting, is only now being properly investigated.

Author(s):  
Arnon Dar

Changes in the solar neighbourhood due to the motion of the sun in the Galaxy, solar evolution, and Galactic stellar evolution influence the terrestrial environment and expose life on the Earth to cosmic hazards. Such cosmic hazards include impact of near-Earth objects (NEOs), global climatic changes due to variations in solar activity and exposure of the Earth to very large fluxes of radiations and cosmic rays from Galactic supernova (SN) explosions and gamma-ray bursts (GRBs). Such cosmic hazards are of low probability, but their influence on the terrestrial environment and their catastrophic consequences, as evident from geological records, justify their detailed study, and the development of rational strategies, which may minimize their threat to life and to the survival of the human race on this planet. In this chapter I shall concentrate on threats to life from increased levels of radiation and cosmic ray (CR) flux that reach the atmosphere as a result of (1) changes in solar luminosity, (2) changes in the solar environment owing to the motion of the sun around the Galactic centre and in particular, owing to its passage through the spiral arms of the Galaxy, (3) the oscillatory displacement of the solar system perpendicular to the Galactic plane, (4) solar activity, (5) Galactic SN explosions, (6) GRBs, and (7) cosmic ray bursts (CRBs). The credibility of various cosmic threats will be tested by examining whether such events could have caused some of the major mass extinctions that took place on planet Earth and were documented relatively well in the geological records of the past 500 million years (Myr). A credible claim of a global threat to life from a change in global irradiation must first demonstrate that the anticipated change is larger than the periodical changes in irradiation caused by the motions of the Earth, to which terrestrial life has adjusted itself. Most of the energy of the sun is radiated in the visible range. The atmosphere is highly transparent to this visible light but is very opaque to almost all other bands of the electromagnetic spectrum except radio waves, whose production by the sun is rather small.


Author(s):  
Paul I. Palmer

The atmosphere is the thin, diffuse fluid that envelops the Earth’s surface. Despite its apparent fragility, the existence of this fluid is vital for human and other life on Earth. The Atmosphere: A Very Short Introduction describes the physical and chemical characteristics of different layers in the atmosphere, and shows how the atmosphere’s interactions with land, ocean, and ice affect these properties. It also looks at how movement in the atmosphere, driven by heat from the Sun, transports heat from lower latitudes to higher latitudes. Finally, it presents an overview of the types of measurements used to understand different parts of the atmosphere, and identifies future challenges in the light of climate change.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 1113-1120 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Díaz-Sandoval ◽  
R. Erdélyi ◽  
R. Maheswaran

Abstract. Seasonal behaviour of human diseases have been observed and reported in the literature for years. Although the Sun plays an essential role in the origin and evolution of life on Earth, it is barely taken into account in biological processes for the development of a specific disease. Higher mortality rates occur during the winter season in the Northern Hemisphere for several diseases, particularly diseases of the cardiovascular and respiratory systems. This increment has been associated with seasonal and social causes. However, is there more behind these correlations, in particular in terms of solar variability? In this paper we attempt to make a first step towards answering this question. A detailed wavelet analysis of periodicities for diseases from England and Wales seem to reveal that mortality periodicities (3 days to half a year) could be due to the Earth's position around the Sun. Moreover, crosswavelet and wavelet coherence analysis show common features between medical diseases and solar proxies around solar maximum activity suggesting that this relation, if any, has to be searched in times of high solar activity.


Author(s):  
Douglas V. Hoyt ◽  
Kenneth H. Shatten

Until now we have considered only 11-year variations in solar activity and climate. The sun also varies on longer time scales. Since these variations seem to parallel a number of climatic changes, the sun may contribute to climatic changes on time scales of decades to centuries. We now examine several solar indices that vary in parallel with Earth’s climate change. There exist plausible arguments that these indices are proxy indicators of the sun’s radiative output, but there is no proof. We now present the strongest correlations we have seen for a sun/climate connection. First, as it is the most widely publicized index, we consider the mean level of solar activity. In 1801 Herschel first proposed a relationship between climate and the level of solar activity. Second, we examine solar cycle lengths, which have been studied sporadically since 1905. Third, we look at two closely related indices—sunspot structure and sunspot decay rates. Fourth, we consider variations in the solar rotation rate. Lastly, we examine some major solar and climatic events of the last thousand years to see if any indications of solar influence are evident on climate. Although we present the solar-induced changes as arising from total-irradiance variations, as discussed earlier spectral-irradiance changes may be the primary driver. When Rudolf Wolf reconstructed solar activity based on historical observations of sunspots, he found an 11-year cycle going back to at least 1700. In 1853 Wolf also claimed that there is an 83-year sunspot cycle. This longer term variation becomes evident simply by smoothing the data, as in Socher’s 1939 example. Wolf’s original discovery of an 83-year cycle was forgotten, but the long cycle was rediscovered by H. H. Turner, W. Schmidt, H. H. Clayton, and probably others. After W. Gleissberg also discovered this 80- to 90-year cycle around 1938, he published so much material on the subject that ever since it has been called the Gleissberg cycle. All these rediscoveries of the same phenomenon indicate that the 80- to 90-year cycle may be real but not strictly periodic. Rather, the cycle may be a “persistency” with an 80- to 90-year period. During this period solar activity is quite powerful but fails to exhibit a single sharp spectral peak.


2019 ◽  
Vol 489 (4) ◽  
pp. 5165-5180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giorgi Kokaia ◽  
Melvyn B Davies

ABSTRACTGiant molecular clouds (GMCs) are believed to affect the biospheres of planets as their host star passes through them. We simulate the trajectories of stars and GMCs in the Galaxy and determine how often stars pass through GMCs. We find a strong decreasing dependence with Galactocentric radius, and with the velocity perpendicular to the Galactic plane, V$\mathrm{ z}$. The XY-component of the kinematic heating of stars was shown to not affect the GMC hit rate, unlike the Z-dependence (V$\mathrm{ z}$) implies that stars hit fewer GMCs as they age. GMCs are locations of star formation, therefore we also determine how often stars pass near supernovae. For the supernovae the decrease with V$\mathrm{ z}$ is steeper as how fast the star passes through the GMC determines the probability of a supernova encounter. We then integrate a set of Sun-like trajectories to see the implications for the Sun. We find that the Sun hits 1.6 ± 1.3 GMCs per Gyr which results in 1.5 ± 1.1 or (with correction for clustering) 0.8 ± 0.6 supernova closer than 10 pc per Gyr. The different the supernova frequencies are from whether one considers multiple supernovae per GMC crossing (few Myr) as separate events. We then discuss the effect of the GMC hits on the Oort cloud, and the Earth’s climate due to accretion, we also discuss the records of distant supernova. Finally, we determine Galactic Habitable Zone using our model. For the thin disc, we find it to lie between 5.8 and 8.7 kpc and for the thick disc to lie between 4.5 and 7.7 kpc.


2019 ◽  
Vol 624 ◽  
pp. A72 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Zhang ◽  
É. Buchlin ◽  
J.-C. Vial

Aims. In this paper we focus on the possible observational signatures of the processes which have been put forward for explaining eruptive prominences. We also try to understand the variations in the physical conditions of eruptive prominences and estimate the masses leaving the Sun versus the masses returning to the Sun during eruptive prominences. Methods. As far as velocities are concerned, we combined an optical flow method on the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) 304 Å and Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS). Mg II h&k observations in order to derive the plane-of-sky velocities in the prominence, and a Doppler technique on the IRIS Mg II h&k profiles to compute the line-of-sight velocities. As far as densities are concerned, we compared the absolute observed intensities with values derived from non-local thermodynamic equilibrium radiative transfer computations to derive the total (hydrogen) density and consequently compute the mass flows. Results. The derived electron densities range from 1.3 × 109 to 6.0 × 1010 cm−3 and the derived total hydrogen densities range from 1.5 × 109 to 2.4 × 1011 cm−3 in different regions of the prominence. The mean temperature is around 1.1 × 104 K, which is higher than in quiescent prominences. The ionization degree is in the range of 0.1–10. The total (hydrogen) mass is in the range of 1.3 × 1014–3.2 × 1014 g. The total mass drainage from the prominence to the solar surface during the whole observation time of IRIS is about one order of magnitude smaller than the total mass of the prominence.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2103 (1) ◽  
pp. 012025
Author(s):  
V A Dergachev ◽  
I V Kudryavtsev

Abstract This work examines the change in the activity of the Sun based on the reconstruction of the heliospheric modulation potential in the time interval 8000 - 1000 BC. Reconstructions of this potential were obtained using radiocarbon data, taking into account the influence of changes in the Earth’s climate. A comparison is made of the variations in the activity of the Sun with the global surface temperature. It is shown that variations in global temperature during this period could be the result of changes in solar activity. So high solar activity could lead to recorded temperature maximums around 7000 and 5300 BC. The drop in temperature in the range 3000-1000BC could be the result of low solar activity.


Author(s):  
Joanna D. Haigh ◽  
Peter Cargill

This concluding chapter talks about how the Earth's climate is fundamental to the well-being of humanity, and any factor with the potential to affect that is obviously of concern. Thus, an understandable interest in the body that provides the energy for all life on Earth has driven a long history of study of how changes in the Sun might influence the climate. The wealth of physical, chemical, and biological processes involved also makes the topic of intrinsic scientific fascination. Observations of the Sun, alongside theoretical advances and developments in models, are helping to further understanding of its behavior. In particular, significant advances have been made in determining how different activity indicators relate to the physical processes involved in the evolution of the solar magnetic field, sunspots, and radiation over the 11-year cycle.


1966 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
pp. 101-110
Author(s):  
W. Iwanowska

In connection with the spectrophotometric study of population-type characteristics of various kinds of stars, a statistical analysis of kinematical and distribution parameters of the same stars is performed at the Toruń Observatory. This has a twofold purpose: first, to provide a practical guide in selecting stars for observing programmes, second, to contribute to the understanding of relations existing between the physical and chemical properties of stars and their kinematics and distribution in the Galaxy.


1966 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 93-97
Author(s):  
Richard Woolley

It is now possible to determine proper motions of high-velocity objects in such a way as to obtain with some accuracy the velocity vector relevant to the Sun. If a potential field of the Galaxy is assumed, one can compute an actual orbit. A determination of the velocity of the globular clusterωCentauri has recently been completed at Greenwich, and it is found that the orbit is strongly retrograde in the Galaxy. Similar calculations may be made, though with less certainty, in the case of RR Lyrae variable stars.


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