General discussion
S. K. Runcorn, F. R. S. ( University of Newcastle upon Tyne, U. K. ). In examining whether there is evidence in the records of the Earth’s climate for small variations with periods of about 200 years, the geophysicists suppose that the large fluctuation from year to year (of which we are very conscious) due to the instabilities of the atmosphere-ocean system may average out over long periods so as to reveal shorter-period changes in solar activity. There is an interesting analogy with the Earth’s magnetic field, which varies considerably on a shorter timescale, yet over longer time spans the mean field is exactly that of a dipole aligned along the axis of rotation. Can we tell, from the archaeological record, whether climatic changes, resulting for instance in the migration of peoples, are short lived, or whether they might be produced by longer-term environmental changes?