scholarly journals Impacts of natural and human drivers on the multi-decadal morphological evolution of tidally-influenced deltas

Author(s):  
B. Angamuthu ◽  
S. E. Darby ◽  
R. J. Nicholls

The world's deltas are at risk of being drowned due to rising relative sea levels as a result of climate change, decreasing supplies of fluvial sediment, and human responses to these changes. This paper analyses how delta morphology evolves over multi-decadal timescales under environmental change using a process-based model. Model simulations over 10 2 years are used to explore the influence of three key classes of environmental change, both individually and in combination: (i) varying combinations of fluvial water and sediment discharges; (ii) varying rates of relative sea-level rise; and (iii) selected human interventions within the delta, comprising polder-dykes and cross-dams. The results indicate that tidal asymmetry and rate of sediment supply together affect residual flows and delta morphodynamics (indicated by sub-aerial delta area, rates of progradation and aggradation). When individual drivers of change act in combination, delta building processes such as the distribution of sediment flux, aggradation, and progradation are disrupted by the presence of isolated polder-dykes or cross-dams. This suggests that such interventions, unless undertaken at a very large scale, can lead to unsustainable delta building processes. Our findings can inform management choices in real-world tidally-influenced deltas, while the methodology can provide insights into other dynamic morphological systems.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laure Guerit ◽  
Brady Foreman ◽  
Chen Chen ◽  
Chris Paola ◽  
Sébastien Castelltort

<p>The evolution of sedimentary landscapes is primary driven by the interplay between the rate of accommodation creation A, controlled by sea-level and subsidence, and the rate of sediment supply S, controlled by erosion and sediment transport. In simple terms, the balance between A and S can be used to predict periods of progradation (when sediment supply exceeds accommodation) and periods of retrogradation (when accommodation exceeds sediment supply). However, a growing list of observations show that internal feedbacks within the sediment transport system can generate large-scale, autogenic stratigraphic patterns that are not anticipated by the A/S theory. These observations call for a reanalysis of several sequence stratigraphic precepts that assume a deterministic relationship between external forcings and stratigraphic products. Here, we focus on the filling of incised valleys during constant sea-level rise, and by a constant sediment flux. We develop a simple conceptual model of valley filling and we show that the classic sequence stratigraphic phenomenon of bayhead deltaic systems can be generated by purely autogenic progradation during the late stage of valley flooding. This transient “auto-advance” event results from a strong decrease of in-valley accommodation as base-level rises towards the valley apex. To test this model, we build a laboratory experiment that successfully reproduces the dynamics predicted by the model. Finally, we apply our model to two similar field examples, the Trinity and Brazos rivers incised valleys (Texas, USA). There systems are broadly similar in dimension and sea-level history but were filled at different sediment rates. We propose that this led to auto-advance event in the Trinity River valley while no advance is observed in the Brazos system. We thus show by conceptual, experimental and natural examples that auto-advance can produce out-of-sequence regressive bayhead diastems during highstands similar to a transient change in allogenic forcing. Combined with other recent studies, our findings support the idea that meso-scale autogenic patterns are ubiquitous in the fluvio-deltaic record, and need to be more extensively incorporated into reconstructions of Earth surface evolution and reservoir models.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Escobar-Camacho ◽  
Paulina Rosero ◽  
Mauricio Castrejón ◽  
Carlos F. Mena ◽  
Francisco Cuesta

AbstractThe unique marine and terrestrial ecosystems of the Galapagos Islands are highly vulnerable to human-based drivers of change, including the introduction of invasive species, unsustainable tourism, illegal fishing, overexploitation of ecosystem services, and climate change. These drivers can interact with climate-based drivers such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) at multiple temporal and spatial scales, exacerbating their negative impacts on already fragile ecosystems and the socioeconomic system of the Archipelago. In this review, we performed a literature review based on published literature from 1945 to 2020 and local and global climate databases to analyze drivers of change in the Galapagos. We developed and applied a spatial impact assessment model to identify high-ecological value areas with high sensitivity and exposure scores to environmental change drivers. We identified 13 priority HEVA that encompass ca. 23% (14,715 km2) of the Galapagos Archipelago, distributed in nearly 3% of the Galapagos Marine Reserve and 20% Galapagos National Park. Current and future impacts are likely to concentrate on the inhabited islands’ highlands, whereas marine impacts concentrate along most of the Galapagos Islands’ shorelines. These results are important for guiding the design and implementation of adaptation measures aimed at increasing ecosystem resilience and human adaptive capacity in the face of global environmental change. Overall, these results will be valuable in their application for preserving Galapagos biota, securing the provision of vital ecosystem services for resident human populations, and sustaining the nature-based tourism industry.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 106
Author(s):  
Yuhan Yan ◽  
Dehai Song ◽  
Xianwen Bao ◽  
Nan Wang

The Ou River, a medium-sized river in the southeastern China, is examined to study the estuarine turbidity maximum (ETM) response to rapidly varied river discharge, i.e., peak river discharge (PRD). This study analyzes the difference in ETM and sediment transport mechanisms between low-discharge and PRD during neap and spring tides by using the Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model. The three-dimensional model is validated by in-situ measurements from 23 April to 22 May 2007. In the Ou River Estuary (ORE), ETM is generally induced by the convergence between river runoff and density-driven flow. The position of ETM for neap and spring tides is similar, but the suspended sediment concentration during spring tide is stronger than that during neap tide. The sediment source of ETM is mainly derived from the resuspension of the seabed. PRD, compared with low-discharge, can dilute the ETM, but cause more sediment to be resuspended from the seabed. The ETM is more seaward during PRD. After PRD, the larger the peak discharge, the longer the recovery time will be. Moreover, the river sediment supply helps shorten ETM recovery time. Mechanisms for this ETM during a PRD can contribute to studies of morphological evolution and pollutant flushing.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanna Bullard

<div> <p>The world’s largest contemporary dust sources are in low-lying, hot, arid regions, however the processes of dust production and emission also operate in cold climate regions at high latitudes and altitudes.  This lecture focuses on contemporary dust emissions originating from the high latitudes (≥50°N and ≥40°S) and explores three themes before setting out an integrated agenda for future research.  The first theme considers how much dust originates from the high latitudes and methods for determining this.  Estimates from field studies, remote sensing and modelling all suggest around 5% of contemporary global dust emissions originate in the high latitudes, a similar proportion to that from the USA (excluding Alaska) or Australia.  This estimate is a proportion of a highly uncertain figure as quantification of dust emissions from Eurasian high latitudes is limited, and the contribution of local and regional emissions (from any latitude) to the global total is thought to be considerably under-estimated.  Emissions are particularly likely to be under-estimated where dust sources are topographically constrained, and where cold climates reduce vertical mixing of dust plumes restricting the altitudes to which the dust can rise, because both these characteristics present particular challenges for modelling and remote sensing approaches. The second theme considers the drivers of contemporary high latitude dust emissions that reflect complex interactions among sediment supply, sediment availability and transport capacity across different geomorphic sub-systems.  These interactions determine the magnitude, frequency and timing of dust emissions at a range of time scales (diurnal, seasonal, decadal) but both the drivers and response can be nonlinear and hard to predict.  The third and final theme explores the importance of high latitude dust cycling for facilitating cross-boundary material fluxes and its impact in the atmosphere, cryosphere, and terrestrial and marine ecosystems.  This is influenced not only by the quantity and timing of dust emissions but also by dust properties such as particle-size and geochemistry.  Landscape sensitivity, spatial environmental transitions and temporal environmental change are highlighted for their importance in determining how the interactions among drivers and cycles are likely to change in response to future environmental change.</p> </div>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henk Cornelissen ◽  
William Fletcher ◽  
Philip Hughes ◽  
Benjamin Bell ◽  
Ali Rhoujjati ◽  
...  

<p>The High Atlas mountains of Morocco represent a climatological frontier between the Atlantic and Saharan realms as well as a site of major Pleistocene glacier expansion. However, Late-glacial and Holocene environmental change is weakly constrained, leaving open questions about the influence of high- and low-latitude climate forcing and the expression of North Atlantic rapid climate changes. High elevation lakes on the sandstone plateaux of the High Atlas have been recognised as archives of Late Quaternary environmental change but remain little explored. Here, we present findings from new sedimentological, palaeoecological and geochronological investigation of a lake marginal sediment core recovered in June 2019 from the <em>Ifard </em>Lake located on the Yagour Plateau. The plateau is a distinctive sandstone upland located to the southeast of Marrakech in the High Atlas (31.31°N, 7.60°W, 2460 m.a.s.l.). The lake is located within a small, perched catchment area, offering an opportunity to isolate catchment effects and investigate atmospheric deposition of organic and inorganic tracers of past environmental change. The core stratigraphy reveals shifts between inorganic sands and lake muds with fluctuations in grain sizes and sediment reddening. The differences in these stratigraphic layers are most likely linked to hydrological changes associated with changing snowpack conditions and local catchment erosion dynamics. The core chronology is well-constrained by AMS radiocarbon dating of pollen concentrates, with the core sequence spanning the last ca. 14,000 years. The driving agents of environmental change on the plateau are inferred using a multiproxy approach, combining sedimentological analyses (particle-size by laser granulometry, elemental analysis by core-scanning XRF, C/H/N/S analysis), palynology (pollen, spores, non-pollen palynomorphs) and contiguous macrocharcoal analysis. High-resolution, well-constrained proxies therefore permit novel regional insights into past environmental and climatic changes at centennial timescales. A prime working hypothesis is that the imprint of wider palaeoclimatic changes of both the North Atlantic region and Saharan realm (African Humid Period, AHP) is detected at this site. Key climatic periods such as the Younger Dryas and multi-centennial cooling episodes around 8000 and 4200 years ago are distinctly characterised in the record by finer grain sizes and the accumulation of pollen-rich material and charcoal. These responses are thought to be governed by regional climate forcing and local snowmelt moisture supply to the Yagour Plateau. An increase in fine sediment supply, magnetic susceptibility and Fe content in the upper part of the core may be related to enhanced atmospheric dust deposition following the end of the AHP. Whilst taking anthropological influences on the local environment into account, this study will contribute to the detection of long-term and rapid climate changes in a sensitive mountain region at the rim of the Atlantic and Saharan climate systems.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carey James Garland ◽  
Victor D Thompson ◽  
Matthew C Sanger ◽  
Karen Y Smith ◽  
Fred T Andrus ◽  
...  

Circular shell rings along the Atlantic Coast of southeastern North America are the remnants of some of the earliest villages that emerged during the Late Archaic Period (5000 – 3000 BP). Many of these villages, however, were abandoned during the Terminal Late Archaic Period (ca 3800 – 3000 BP). Here, we combine Bayesian chronological modeling with multiple environmental proxies to understand the nature and timing of environmental change associated with the emergence and abandonment of shell ring villages on Sapleo Island, Georgia. Our Bayesian models indicate that Native Americans occupied the three Sapelo shell rings at varying times with some generational overlap. By the end of the complex’s occupation, only Ring III was occupied before abandonment ca. 3845 BP. Ring III also consists of statistically smaller oysters ( Crassostrea virginica ) that people harvested from less saline estuaries compared to earlier occupations. These data, when integrated with recent tree ring analyses, show a clear pattern of environmental instability throughout the period in which the rings were occupied. We argue that as the climate became unstable around 4300 BP, aggregation at shell ring villages provided a way to effectively manage fisheries that are highly sensitive to environmental change. However, with the eventual collapse of oyster fisheries and subsequent rebound in environmental conditions ca. 3800 BP, people dispersed from shell rings, and shifted to non-marine subsistence economies and other types of settlements. This study provides the most comprehensive evidence correlations between large-scale environmental change and societal transformations on the Georgia coast during the Late Archaic period.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frances E. Dunn ◽  
Philip S. J. Minderhoud

<p>As one of the largest deltas in the world, the Mekong delta is home to over 17 million people and supports internationally important agriculture. Recently deposited sediment compacts and causes subsidence in deltas, so they require regular sediment input to maintain elevation relative to sea level. These processes are complicated by human activities, which prevent sediment deposition indirectly through reducing fluvial sediment supply and directly through the construction of flood defence infrastructure on deltas, impeding floods which deliver sediment to the land. Additionally, anthropogenic activities increase the rate of subsidence through the extraction of groundwater and other land-use practices.</p><p>This research shows the potential for fluvial sediment delivery to compensate for sea-level rise and subsidence in the Mekong delta over the 21st century. We use detailed elevation data and subsidence scenarios in combination with regional sea-level rise and fluvial sediment flux projections to quantify the potential for maintaining elevation relative to sea level in the Mekong delta. We present four examples of localised sedimentation scenarios in specific areas, for which we quantified the potential effectiveness of fluvial sediment deposition for offsetting relative sea-level rise. The presented sediment-based adaptation strategies are complicated by existing land use, therefore a change in water and sediment management is required to effectively use natural resources and employ these adaptation methods. The presented approach could be an exemplar to assess sedimentation strategy feasibility in other delta systems worldwide that are under threat from sea-level rise.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 687-703 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joris P. C. Eekhout ◽  
Wilco Terink ◽  
Joris de Vente

Abstract. Assessing the impacts of environmental change on soil erosion and sediment yield at the large catchment scale remains one of the main challenges in soil erosion modelling studies. Here, we present a process-based soil erosion model, based on the integration of the Morgan–Morgan–Finney erosion model in a daily based hydrological model. The model overcomes many of the limitations of previous large-scale soil erosion models, as it includes a more complete representation of crucial processes like surface runoff generation, dynamic vegetation development, and sediment deposition, and runs at the catchment scale with a daily time step. This makes the model especially suited for the evaluation of the impacts of environmental change on soil erosion and sediment yield at regional scales and over decadal periods. The model was successfully applied in a large catchment in southeastern Spain. We demonstrate the model's capacity to perform impact assessments of environmental change scenarios, specifically simulating the scenario impacts of intra- and inter-annual variations in climate, land management, and vegetation development on soil erosion and sediment yield.


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