scholarly journals Converging towards the optimal path to extinction

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (65) ◽  
pp. 1699-1707 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ira B. Schwartz ◽  
Eric Forgoston ◽  
Simone Bianco ◽  
Leah B. Shaw
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Random Process ◽  
Chemical Reactions ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Population Biology ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Optimal Path ◽  
Rare Event ◽  
Effective Force ◽  
Sensitive Dependence

Extinction appears ubiquitously in many fields, including chemical reactions, population biology, evolution and epidemiology. Even though extinction as a random process is a rare event, its occurrence is observed in large finite populations. Extinction occurs when fluctuations owing to random transitions act as an effective force that drives one or more components or species to vanish. Although there are many random paths to an extinct state, there is an optimal path that maximizes the probability to extinction. In this paper, we show that the optimal path is associated with the dynamical systems idea of having maximum sensitive dependence to initial conditions. Using the equivalence between the sensitive dependence and the path to extinction, we show that the dynamical systems picture of extinction evolves naturally towards the optimal path in several stochastic models of epidemics.

scholarly journals On some kinds of dense orbits in general nonautonomous dynamical systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 163-175
Author(s):  
Mehdi Pourbarat
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Topological Conjugacy ◽  
Topological Transitivity ◽  
Nonautonomous Systems ◽  
Nonautonomous Dynamical Systems ◽  
Sensitive Dependence ◽  
Dense Orbits

AbstractWe study the theory of universality for the nonautonomous dynamical systems from topological point of view related to hypercyclicity. The conditions are provided in a way that Birkhoff transitivity theorem can be extended. In the context of generalized linear nonautonomous systems, we show that either one of the topological transitivity or hypercyclicity give sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Meanwhile, some examples are presented for topological transitivity, hypercyclicity and topological conjugacy.

scholarly journals ‘Intractable and unsolved’: some thoughts on statistical data assimilation with uncertain static parameters

2013 ◽  
Vol 371 (1991) ◽  
pp. 20120297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Rougier
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Methods ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
State Space ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Environmental Science ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
The State ◽  
Likelihood Functions ◽  
Sensitive Dependence

If you seem to be able to do data assimilation with uncertain static parameters then you are probably not working in environmental science. In this field, applications are often characterized by sensitive dependence on initial conditions and attracting sets in the state-space, which, taken together, can be a major challenge to numerical methods, leading to very peaky likelihood functions. Inherently stochastic models and uncertain static parameters increase the challenge.

scholarly journals Dweiltime Analysis of Symmetry-Breaking Dynamical Systems

1995 ◽  
Vol 50 (12) ◽  
pp. 1117-1122 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Vollmer ◽  
J. Peinke ◽  
A. Okniński
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Symmetry Breaking ◽  
Dwell Time ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Dissipative Systems ◽  
Time Analysis ◽  
Chaotic Scattering ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Basin Boundary ◽  
Sensitive Dependence

Abstract Dweiltime analysis is known to characterize saddles giving rise to chaotic scattering. In the present paper it is used to characterize the dependence on initial conditions of the attractor approached by a trajectory in dissipative systems described by one-dimensional, noninvertible mappings which show symmetry breaking. There may be symmetry-related attractors in these systems, and which attractor is approached may depend sensitively on the initial conditions. Dwell-time analysis is useful in this context because it allows to visualize in another way the repellers on the basin boundary which cause this sensitive dependence.

scholarly journals Research on a Dynamic Master-Slave Cournot Triopoly Game Model with Bounded Rational Rule and Its Control

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongliang Tu ◽  
Xinyu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Phase Portrait ◽  
Bifurcation Theory ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Stable Region ◽  
Game Model ◽  
Dynamical Behaviors ◽  
Sensitive Dependence ◽  
Adjustment Speed ◽  
Largest Lyapunov Exponents

The oligopoly market is modelled by a new dynamic master-slave Cournot triopoly game model with bounded rational rule. The local stabile conditions and the stable region are got by the dynamical systems bifurcation theory. The dynamics characteristics of the system with the changes of the adjustment speed parameters are analyzed by means of bifurcation diagram, largest Lyapunov exponents, phase portrait, and sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Furthermore, the parameters adjustment method is used to control the complex dynamical behaviors of the systems. The derived results have some important theoretical and practical meanings for the oligopoly market.

scholarly journals A Study of Chaos in Dynamical Systems

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Effah-Poku ◽  
W. Obeng-Denteh ◽  
I. K. Dontwi
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical System ◽  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Fixed Points ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Period Doubling ◽  
Dense Orbit ◽  
Routes To Chaos ◽  
Sensitive Dependence ◽  
Nonlinear Science

The behavior of systems such as periodicity, fixed points, and most importantly chaos has evolved as an integral part of mathematics, especially in dynamical system. This research presents a study on chaos as a property of nonlinear science. Systems with at least two of the following properties are considered to be chaotic in a certain sense: bifurcation and period doubling, period three, transitivity and dense orbit, sensitive dependence to initial conditions, and expansivity. These are termed as the routes to chaos.

scholarly journals Handling Initial Conditions in Vector Fitting for Real Time Modeling of Power System Dynamics

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2471
Author(s):  
Tommaso Bradde ◽  
Samuel Chevalier ◽  
Marco De Stefano ◽  
Stefano Grivet-Talocia ◽  
Luca Daniel
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Power System ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Test System ◽  
Initial State ◽  
Power System Dynamics ◽  
Vector Fitting ◽  
Time Modeling

This paper develops a predictive modeling algorithm, denoted as Real-Time Vector Fitting (RTVF), which is capable of approximating the real-time linearized dynamics of multi-input multi-output (MIMO) dynamical systems via rational transfer function matrices. Based on a generalization of the well-known Time-Domain Vector Fitting (TDVF) algorithm, RTVF is suitable for online modeling of dynamical systems which experience both initial-state decay contributions in the measured output signals and concurrently active input signals. These adaptations were specifically contrived to meet the needs currently present in the electrical power systems community, where real-time modeling of low frequency power system dynamics is becoming an increasingly coveted tool by power system operators. After introducing and validating the RTVF scheme on synthetic test cases, this paper presents a series of numerical tests on high-order closed-loop generator systems in the IEEE 39-bus test system.

Pseudorandom Number Generators Based on Chaotic Dynamical Systems

2001 ◽  
Vol 08 (02) ◽  
pp. 137-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janusz Szczepański ◽  
Zbigniew Kotulski
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Communication Systems ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Pseudorandom Number ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Chaotic Dynamical Systems ◽  
Pseudorandom Number Generators ◽  
Transmission Of Information ◽  
Extreme Sensitivity ◽  
Contemporary Technology

Pseudorandom number generators are used in many areas of contemporary technology such as modern communication systems and engineering applications. In recent years a new approach to secure transmission of information based on the application of the theory of chaotic dynamical systems has been developed. In this paper we present a method of generating pseudorandom numbers applying discrete chaotic dynamical systems. The idea of construction of chaotic pseudorandom number generators (CPRNG) intrinsically exploits the property of extreme sensitivity of trajectories to small changes of initial conditions, since the generated bits are associated with trajectories in an appropriate way. To ensure good statistical properties of the CPRBG (which determine its quality) we assume that the dynamical systems used are also ergodic or preferably mixing. Finally, since chaotic systems often appear in realistic physical situations, we suggest a physical model of CPRNG.

Induced transformations of recurrent a.m.s. dynamical systems

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (02) ◽  
pp. 1550010
Author(s):  
Sheng Huang ◽  
Mikael Skoglund
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical System ◽  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Random Process ◽  
Ergodic Theorem ◽  
Finite Measure ◽  
Stationary Random Process ◽  
Finite State ◽  
Ratio Ergodic Theorem

This note proves that an induced transformation with respect to a finite measure set of a recurrent asymptotically mean stationary dynamical system with a sigma-finite measure is asymptotically mean stationary. Consequently, the Shannon–McMillan–Breiman theorem, as well as the Shannon–McMillan theorem, holds for all reduced processes of any finite-state recurrent asymptotically mean stationary random process. As a by-product, a ratio ergodic theorem for asymptotically mean stationary dynamical systems is presented.

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