scholarly journals Monetary Policy, Bank Bailouts and the Sovereign-Bank Risk Nexus in the Euro Area*

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 745-775 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcel Fratzscher ◽  
Malte Rieth
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Bank Risk ◽  
Sovereign Risk ◽  
Sovereign Credit Risk ◽  
Policy Bank ◽  
Bank Bailouts ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The article analyses the empirical relationship between bank credit risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area, using a system of simultaneous equations identified through heteroskedasticity. We first confirm a two-way causality between both risks, which amplifies initial credit risk shocks. We also document significant credit risk spillovers between sovereigns and banks in the periphery and the core countries. The article then focuses on the impact of ECB non-standard monetary policy and bank bailout policies. We show that bailouts have reduced both risks. Monetary policy lowered in most but not all cases bank and sovereign risk.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Surprises over Time

2018 ◽  
Vol 08 (01) ◽  
pp. 1840002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcello Pericoli ◽  
Giovanni Veronese
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Sovereign Spreads ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Term Premia ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time

We document how the impact of monetary surprises on euro-area and US financial markets has changed from 1999 to date. We use a definition of monetary policy surprises, which singles out movements in the long-end of the yield curve — rather than those changing nearby futures on the central bank reference rates. By focusing only on this component of monetary policy, our results are more comparable over time. We find a hump-shaped response of the yield curve to monetary policy surprises, both in the pre-crisis period and since 2013. During the crisis years, Fed path-surprises, largely through their effect on term premia, account for the impact on interest rates, which is found to be increasing in tenor. In the euro area, the path-surprises reflect the shifts in sovereign spreads, and have a large impact on the entire constellation of interest rates, exchange rates and equity markets.

Euro-area GDP growth will slow in 2019

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Lower Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Large Size ◽  
Area Growth ◽  
Risks Assessment ◽  
European Parliament Elections ◽  
The Impact

Subject Reasons behind the euro-area growth slowdown. Significance In its Winter 2019 interim forecasts, the European Commission downgraded its expectations for euro-area growth to 1.3% and 1.6% for 2019 and 2020, respectively, from 1.9% and 1.7% three months earlier. At its January meeting, the ECB Governing Council foreshadowed lower growth, shifting its risks assessment, saying that downside risks will dominate. Impacts The European Parliament elections could have a destabilising impact on growth in some countries. Monetary policy can do nothing to cushion the impact of lower growth caused by trade conflict. In case of recession, monetary policy stimulus will be constrained by the large size of the ECB balance sheet.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE MONETARY - FISCAL POLICY MIX ON INVESTMENTS OF EURO AREA COUNTRIES IN THE CONTEXT OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS

2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 228-236
Author(s):  
Joanna Stawska
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Policy Mix ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

The study presents the impact of monetary-fiscal policy mix on economic growth, mainly for the investments of euro area in financial crisis. Fiscal policy and monetary policy play an important role in the economy, influencing each other and on a number of economic variables as well. In the face of the recent financial crisis, which turned into a debt crisis, fiscal and monetary authorities have been working together to revive economic activity. There was a significant economic impact on the level of government investments. The central bank kept interest rates at very low levels and used nonstandard instruments of monetary policy. Fiscal authorities have increased government spending to stimulate investment and economic recovery. The paper concludes that the management of the fiscal and monetary authorities in a crisis situation has been modified compared to the period before the crisis, when the coordination of these policies was clearly weaker.

Effectiveness and channels of macroprudential policies: lessons from the Euro area

2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 271-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuanyan Zhang ◽  
Thierry Tressel
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Panel Var ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Credit Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Macroprudential Policies ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The design of a macro-prudential framework and its interaction with monetary policy has been at the forefront of the policy agenda since the global financial crisis. However, most advanced economies (AEs) have little experience using macroprudential policies. As a result, relatively little is known empirically about macroprudential instruments’ effectiveness in mitigating systemic risks in these countries, about their channels of transmission, and about how these instruments would interact with monetary policy. This paper aims to fill in the gap. Design/methodology/approach The authors develop a new approach using the euro area bank lending survey to assess the effectiveness of macro-prudential policies in containing credit growth and house price appreciation in mortgage markets. Estimation is performed under the panel regressions (OLS, GLS) and panel VAR setup. Endogeneity issues arising from measures of macro-prudential policies are addressed by introducing GMM estimation and various instruments. Findings The authors find instruments targeting the cost of bank capital most effective in slowing down mortgage credit growth, and that the impact is transmitted mainly through price margins, the same banking channel as monetary policy. Limits on loan-to-value ratios are also effective, especially when monetary policy is excessively loose. Originality/value With limited data on macroprudential policy measures in the AEs, this paper proposed a new methodology of using answers from bank lending survey as proxies to assess the effectiveness of specific macroprudential measures and their transmission channels.

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