scholarly journals What Do Index Options Teach Us About COVID-19?

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 618-634 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens Jackwerth
Keyword(s):  
Physical Distribution ◽  
Index Options ◽  
Risk Neutral ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
Crash Protection

Abstract Risk-neutral distributions of the S&P 500 are informative about the COVID-19 pandemic beyond what one can learn from index values and the market fear gauge of the VIX alone. We learn that, on February 20, 2020, the index did not yet reflect the impending crisis. Only on March 16, 2020, was the full impact visible, with a pronounced bimodality for longer-maturity options revealing a sizeable crash scenario. The corresponding physical distribution is more symmetric and features a high-volatility crash scenario. Firms bought crash protection ahead of the index crash, whereas retail customers bought it as the index was already recovering.

Skewness of Kurtosis?: Using Corrado and Su (1996)‘s Model

2008 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Sol Kim
Keyword(s):  
Options Market ◽  
Index Options ◽  
Pricing Options ◽  
Risk Neutral ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
S Model ◽  
Skewness And Kurtosis

For the KOSPI 200 index options market. we examine the power of influence on pricing options of the skewness and the kurtosis of the risk neutral distribution. We compare the Black and Scholes (1973) model which does not consider the skewness or the kurtosis of the risk neutral distribution with Corrado and sue 1996)’s model which consider both the skewness and the kurtosis and the models which consider only the skewness or the kurtosis. It is found that Corrado and sue 1996)‘s model which consider both skewness and kurtosis shows the best performance closely followed by the model which consider only the skewness for tile in-sample pricing and the out-of-sample pricing. As a result. it contributes to pricing options to consider both skewness and kurtosis and the skewness is more important factor for pricing options than the kurtosis.

scholarly journals Asymmetric Volatility Risk: Evidence from Option Markets*

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 777-799 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens Jackwerth ◽  
Grigory Vilkov
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Index Options ◽  
Option Markets ◽  
Volatility Risk ◽  
Asymmetric Volatility ◽  
Risk Neutral ◽  
Correlation Risk ◽  
Marginal Risk ◽  
Implied Correlation

Abstract Asymmetric volatility concerns the relation of returns to future expected volatility. Much is known from option prices about the marginal risk-neutral distributions (RNDs) of S&P 500 returns and of relative changes in future expected volatility (VIX). While the bivariate RND cannot be inferred from the marginals, we propose a novel identification based on long-dated index options. We estimate the risk-neutral asymmetric volatility implied correlation (AVIC) and find it to be significantly lower than its realized counterpart. We interpret the economics of the asymmetric volatility correlation risk premium and use AVIC to predict returns, volatility, and risk-neutral quantities.

Predictable Dynamics in Higher-Order Risk-Neutral Moments: Evidence from the S&P 500 Options

2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 947-977 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Neumann ◽  
George Skiadopoulos
Keyword(s):  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Higher Order ◽  
Horse Race ◽  
Index Options ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
Economic Significance ◽  
Risk Neutral ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Implied Volatility Surfaces

AbstractWe investigate whether there are predictable patterns in the dynamics of higher-order risk-neutral moments (RNMs) extracted from the market prices of Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500 index options. To this end, we conduct a horse race among alternative forecasting models within an out-of-sample context over various forecasting horizons. We consider both a statistical and an economic setting. We find that higher RNMs can be statistically forecasted. However, only the 1-day-ahead skewness forecasts can be economically exploited. This economic significance vanishes once we incorporate transaction costs. The results have implications for the dynamics of implied volatility surfaces.

Volatility Transmission in Indian Banking Sector

2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (7) ◽  
pp. 161-165
Author(s):  
Cyano Prem ◽  
Dr M. Babu ◽  
C. Hariharan ◽  
R. Muneeswaran
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Private Bank ◽  
Volatility Transmission ◽  
The People ◽  
New Information ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Government ◽  
Awareness Programme

Any new information about the economy is transmitted fast and it may influence the financial markets, positively or negatively. The present study used GARCH (1, 1) and EGARCH models, to investigate the volatility of Indian banking sectors indices, namely, Nifty PSU Index and Nifty Private Bank Index of NSE India Ltd. The result of the study confirmed that the high volatility was found in both the bank indices. At the same time, negative information about Indian economics did affect the PSU and Private Bank Sector indices during the study period. Finally, the study concluded that bad news travels fast and it increased volatility more than good. Hence the Government should give more information and awareness programme to the people before the implementation of any economic policy.

Ocena antykryzysowej polityki gospodarczej Stanów Zjednoczonych i wybranych państw członkowskich Unii Europejskiej w latach 2005–2014

2016 ◽  
pp. 26-46
Author(s):  
Marcin Jan Flotyński
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
European Union ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
The European Union ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Domestic Products

The global financial crisis in 2007–2009 began a period of high volatility on the financial markets. Specifically, it caused an increased amplitude of fluctuations of the level of gross domestic products, the level of investment and consumption and exchange rates in particular countries. To address the adverse market circumstances, governments and central banks took actions in order to bolster the weakening global economy. The aim of this article is to present the anti-crisis actions in the United States and selected member states of the European Union, including Poland, and an assessment of their efficiency. The analysis conducted indicates that generally the actions taken in the United States in response to the crisis were faster and more adequate to the existing circumstances than in the European Union.

Risk-Neutral and Physical Jumps in Option Pricing

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Chen ◽  
Xiaoquan Liu ◽  
Chenghu Ma
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Risk Neutral
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