scholarly journals Multimorbidity among persons aged 25–64 years: a population-based study of social determinants and all-cause mortality

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
F R Ferry ◽  
M G Rosato ◽  
E J Curran ◽  
D O’Reilly ◽  
G Leavey
Keyword(s):  
Social Determinants ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Strong Association ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Younger Adults ◽  
Population Based Study ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Health And Social Care ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background Despite increasing multimorbidity across the lifespan, little is known about the co-occurrence of conditions and risk factors among younger adults. This population-based study examines multimorbidity, social determinants and associated mortality among younger and middle-age adults. Method Analysis was based on the Northern Ireland population aged 25–64 years enumerated in the 2011 Census (n = 878 345), with all-cause mortality follow-up to 2014 (8659 deaths). Logistic regression was used to examine social determinants and Cox proportional hazards models in the analysis of associated mortality. Results Prevalence of multimorbidity was 13.7% in females and 12.7% in males. There was a strong association between multimorbidity that included mental/cognitive illness and deprivation. Among those never married, multimorbid physical conditions were less likely [relative risk ratios (RRR) = 0.92: 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.88, 0.95 for males; and RRR = 0.90: 0.87, 0.94 for females]. Rurality was associated with lower physical multimorbidity (RRR = 0.92: 0.89, 0.95) but higher mental/cognitive multimorbidity (RRR = 1.35: 1.12, 1.64) among females. All multimorbid categories were associated with elevated risk of mortality. Conclusion The health and economic challenges created by multimorbidity should be addressed further ‘upstream’. Future multimorbidity research should include younger adults to inform the development of preventative interventions and align health and social care services more closely with patients’ needs.

scholarly journals Haematological abnormalities in new-onset rheumatoid arthritis and risk of common infections: a population-based study

Rheumatology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (5) ◽  
pp. 997-1005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Nikiphorou ◽  
Simon de Lusignan ◽  
Christian Mallen ◽  
Kaivan Khavandi ◽  
Jacqueline Roberts ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Infection Risk ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based Study ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Common Infections

Abstract Objectives To describe the prevalence of haematological abnormalities in individuals with RA at the point of diagnosis in primary care and the associations between haematological abnormalities, vaccinations and subsequent risk of common infections. Methods We studied 6591 individuals with newly diagnosed RA between 2004 and 2016 inclusive using the UK Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre primary care database. The prevalence of haematological abnormalities at diagnosis (anaemia, neutropenia and lymphopenia) was established. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between each haematological abnormality and time to common infections and the influence of vaccination status (influenza and pneumococcal vaccine) on time to common infections in individuals with RA compared with a matched cohort of individuals without RA. Results Anaemia was common at RA diagnosis (16.1% of individuals), with neutropenia (0.6%) and lymphopenia (1.4%) less so. Lymphopenia and anaemia were associated with increased infection risk [hazard ratio (HR) 1.18 (95% CI 1.08, 1.29) and HR 1.37 (95% CI 1.08, 1.73), respectively]. There was no evidence of an association between neutropenia and infection risk [HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.60, 1.47)]. Pneumonia was much more common in individuals with early RA compared with controls. Influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk of influenza-like illness only for individuals with RA [HR 0.58 (95% CI 0.37, 0.90)]. Conclusion At diagnosis, anaemia and lymphopenia, but not neutropenia, increase the risk of common infections in individuals with RA. Our data support the effectiveness of the influenza vaccination in individuals with RA.

scholarly journals Lower values of a novel index of Vagal-Neuroimmunomodulation are associated to higher all-cause mortality in two large general population samples with 18 year follow up

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc N. Jarczok ◽  
Julian Koenig ◽  
Julian F. Thayer
Keyword(s):  
General Population ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Studies ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
All Cause Mortality

AbstractIn recent clinical practice, a biomarker of vagal neuroimmunomodulation (NIM), namely the ratio of vagally-mediated heart rate variability (vmHRV) and CRP, was proposed to index the functionality of the cholinergic anti-inflammatory pathway. This study aims to transfer and extend the previous findings to two general population-based samples to explore the hypothesis that NIM-ratio is associated with all-cause mortality. Two large population studies (MIDUS 2: N = 1255 and Whitehall II wave 5: N = 7870) with complete data from a total of N = 3860 participants (36.1% females; average age = 56.3 years; 11.1% deaths, last exit 18.1 years post inclusion) were available. NIM indices were calculated using the vagally-mediated HRV measure RMSSD divided by measures of CRP (NIMCRP) or IL-6 (NIMIL6). The NIM-ratios were quartiled and entered into age, ethnicity and body mass index adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. For NIMIL6 the lowest quartile was 45% more likely to die during the observed period (max. 18 years follow-up) compared to the highest quartile (HR = 0.55 CI 0.41–0.73; p < .0001). NIMCRP parallel these results. Here we show that an easily computable index of IL-6 inhibition is associated with all-cause mortality in two large general population samples. These results suggest that this index might be useful for risk stratification and warrant further examination.

scholarly journals Assessing relative COVID-19 mortality: a Swiss population-based study

BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. e042387
Author(s):  
Torsten Hothorn ◽  
Matthias Bopp ◽  
Huldrych Günthard ◽  
Olivia Keiser ◽  
Maroussia Roelens ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
General Population ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based Study ◽  
Relative Mortality ◽  
Relative Risks ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Swiss Population ◽  
Time Of Year

ObjectiveSeverity of the COVID-19 has been previously reported in terms of absolute mortality in SARS-CoV-2 positive cohorts. An assessment of mortality relative to mortality in the general population is presented.DesignRetrospective population-based study.SettingIndividual information on symptomatic confirmed SARS-CoV-2 patients and subsequent deaths from any cause were compared with the all-cause mortality in the Swiss population of 2018. Starting 23 February 2020, mortality in COVID-19 patients was monitored for 80 days and compared with the population mortality observed in the same time of year starting 23 February 2018.Participants5 102 300 inhabitants of Switzerland aged 35–95 without COVID-19 (general population in spring 2018) and 20 769 persons tested positively for COVID-19 during the first wave in spring 2020.MeasurementsSex-specific and age-specific mortality rates were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Absolute probabilities of death were predicted and risk was assessed in terms of relative mortality by taking the ratio between the sex-specific and age-specific absolute mortality in COVID-19 patients and the corresponding mortality in the 2018 general population.ResultsAbsolute mortalities increased with age and were higher for males compared with females, both in the general population and in positively tested persons. A confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection substantially increased the probability of death across all patient groups at least eightfold. The highest relative mortality risks were observed among males and younger patients. Male COVID-19 patients exceeded the population hazard for males (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.44). An additional year of age increased the population hazard in COVID-19 patients only marginally (HR 1.00, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.01).ConclusionsHealthcare professionals, decision-makers and societies are provided with an additional population-adjusted assessment of COVID-19 mortality risk. In combination with absolute measures of risk, the relative risks presented here help to develop a more comprehensive understanding of the actual impact of COVID-19.

The Longitudinal Association of Vision Impairment with Transitions to Cognitive Impairment and Dementia: Findings from The Aging, Demographics and Memory Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua R Ehrlich ◽  
Bonnielin K Swenor ◽  
Yunshu Zhou ◽  
Kenneth M Langa
Keyword(s):  
Visual Acuity ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Vision Impairment ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Longitudinal Association

Abstract Background Vision impairment (VI) is associated with incident cognitive decline and dementia. However, it is not known whether VI is associated only with the transition to cognitive impairment, or whether it is also associated with later transitions to dementia. Methods We used data from the population-based Aging, Demographics and Memory Study (ADAMS) to investigate the association of visual acuity impairment (VI; defined as binocular presenting visual acuity &lt;20/40) with transitions from cognitively normal (CN) to cognitive impairment no dementia (CIND) and from CIND to dementia. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and logistic regression were used to model the association of VI with cognitive transitions, adjusted for covariates. Results There were 351 participants included in this study (weighted percentages: 45% male, 64% age 70-79 years) with a mean follow-up time of 4.1 years. In a multivariable model, the hazard of dementia was elevated among those with VI (HR=1.63, 95%CI=1.04-2.58). Participants with VI had a greater hazard of transitioning from CN to CIND (HR=1.86, 95%CI=1.09-3.18). However, among those with CIND and VI a similar percentage transitioned to dementia (48%) and remained CIND (52%); there was no significant association between VI and transitioning from CIND to dementia (HR=0.94, 95%CI=0.56-1.55). Using logistic regression models, the same associations between VI and cognitive transitions were identified. Conclusions Poor vision is associated with the development of CIND. The association of VI and dementia appears to be due to the higher risk of dementia among individuals with CIND. Findings may inform the design of future interventional studies.

Dietary Omega-3 Fatty Acid Intake and Mortality in CKD Population: A 1999–2014 NHANES Analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Wei-Lan Li ◽  
Nan-Hui Zhang ◽  
Shu-Wang Ge ◽  
Gang Xu
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Fatty Acid ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Early Death ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Omega 3 ◽  
Pufa Intake ◽  
Dietary Recall ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
All Cause Mortality

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> High risk of early death, especially contributed to cardiovascular disease, exists in patients who have chronic kidney disease (CKD). And the burden of cardiovascular disease is able to be lightened by an increase in omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (omega-3 PUFA). A diet high in omega-3 PUFA in the general population is protective, although it is inconclusive about its beneficial role in the CKD population. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> From the 1999 to 2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES), we can collect 2,990 participants who suffered from CKD, who were classified into 4 groups: &#x3c;0.86, 0.87–1.30, 1.31–1.92, and 1.93–9.65 g/day based on NHANES 24-h dietary recall questionnaire dietary omega-3 PUFA. Moreover, their mortality details were available to be obtained by linking NHANES to the National Death Index. The associations between dietary omega-3 PUFA and mortality were evaluated by constructing multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Over 8 years of a median follow-up, 864 deaths were recorded. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality of the diseased people with CKD in the 2nd (0.87–1.30 g/day), 3rd (0.87–1.30 g/day), and 4th (1.93–9.65 g/day) quartiles of dietary omega-3 PUFA were 0.94 (0.72, 1.23), 0.74 (0.54, 1.02), and 0.67 (0.48, 0.93), respectively, versus those with the lowest quartile of dietary omega-3 PUFA intake (&#x3c;0.86 g/day) (<i>p</i> for trend = 0.011). <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> There may be a inverse relation of dietary omega-3 PUFA intake and all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. Therefore, an increase of dietary omega-3 PUFA may be encouraged to be used clinically in patients with CKD.

Abstract P005: Comparative Effectiveness of Rivaroxaban versus Warfarin for the Treatment of Patients with Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation

Circulation ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 133 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faye L Norby ◽  
Lindsay G Bengtson ◽  
Lin Y Chen ◽  
Richard F MacLehose ◽  
Pamela L Lutsey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Real World ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Gi Bleeding ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Us

Background: Rivaroxaban is a novel oral anticoagulant approved in the US in 2011 for prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Information on risks and benefits among rivaroxaban users in real-world populations is limited. Methods: We used data from the US MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases between 2010 and 2013. We selected patients with a history of NVAF and initiating rivaroxaban or warfarin. Rivaroxaban users were matched with up to 5 warfarin users by age, sex, database enrollment date and drug initiation date. Ischemic stroke, intracranial bleeding (ICB), myocardial infarction (MI), and gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding outcomes were defined by ICD-9-CM codes in an inpatient claim after drug initiation date. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between rivaroxaban vs. warfarin use and outcomes adjusting for age, sex, and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Separate models were used to compare a) new rivaroxaban users with new warfarin users, and b) switchers from warfarin to rivaroxaban to continuous warfarin users. Results: Our analysis included 34,998 rivaroxaban users matched to 102,480 warfarin users with NVAF (39% female, mean age 71), in which 487 ischemic strokes, 179 ICB, 647 MI, and 1353 GI bleeds were identified during a mean follow-up of 9 months. Associations of rivaroxaban vs warfarin were similar in new users and switchers; therefore we pooled both analyses. Rivaroxaban users had lower rates of ICB (hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) = 0.72 (0.46, 1.12))) and ischemic stroke (HR (95% CI) = 0.88 (0.68, 1.13)), but higher rates of GI bleeding (HR (95% CI) = 1.15 (1.01, 1.33)) when compared to warfarin users (table). Conclusion: In this large population-based study of NVAF patients, rivaroxaban users had a non-significant lower risk of ICB and ischemic stroke than warfarin users, but a higher risk of GI bleeding. These real-world findings are comparable to results reported in published clinical trials.

scholarly journals AUTOMATED MEASUREMENT OF MUSCLE DENSITY ON COMPUTED TOMOGRAPHY (CT) PREDICTS ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN OLDER ADULTS

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S883-S883
Author(s):  
Leon Lenchik ◽  
Ryan Barnard ◽  
Robert D Boutin ◽  
Stephen B Kritchevsky ◽  
Ashley A Weaver ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Muscle Density ◽  
National Lung Screening Trial ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Automated Machine Learning ◽  
Lung Screening ◽  
Paraspinous Muscle

Abstract The purpose was to examine the association of paraspinous muscle density (CT surrogate of myosteatosis) with all-cause mortality in 6803 men and 4558 women, age 60-69 years (mean age 63.6) in the National Lung Screening Trial. Our fully-automated machine learning algorithm: 1) selected the appropriate CT series, 2) chose a single CT image at the level of T12 vertebra, 3) segmented the left paraspinous muscle, and 4) recorded the muscle density in Hounsfield Units (HU). Association between baseline muscle density and all-cause mortality was determined using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, race, body mass index, pack years of smoking, and presence of diabetes, lung disease, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at enrollment. After a mean 6.44 ± 1.06 years of follow-up, 635 (9.33%) men and 265 (5.81%) women died. In men, lower muscle density on baseline CT examinations was associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR per SD = 0.90; CI = 0.83, 0.99; p=0.03). Each standard deviation (7.8 HU) decrease in muscle density was associated with a 10% increase in mortality. In women, the association did not reach significance.

scholarly journals Plant-Based Diets and Incident CKD and Kidney Function

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 682-691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyunju Kim ◽  
Laura E. Caulfield ◽  
Vanessa Garcia-Larsen ◽  
Lyn M. Steffen ◽  
Morgan E. Grams ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kidney Function ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Vegetarian Diet ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Healthy Plant ◽  
Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities ◽  
Plant Foods ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Middle Aged Adults

Background and objectivesThe association between plant-based diets, incident CKD, and kidney function decline has not been examined in the general population. We prospectively investigated this relationship in a population-based study, and evaluated if risk varied by different types of plant-based diets.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsAnalyses were conducted in a sample of 14,686 middle-aged adults enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Diets were characterized using four plant-based diet indices. In the overall plant-based diet index, all plant foods were positively scored; in the healthy plant-based diet index, only healthful plant foods were positively scored; in the provegetarian diet, selected plant foods were positively scored. In the less healthy plant-based diet index, only less healthful plant foods were positively scored. All indices negatively scored animal foods. We used Cox proportional hazards models to study the association with incident CKD and linear mixed models to examine decline in eGFR, adjusting for confounders.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 24 years, 4343 incident CKD cases occurred. Higher adherence to a healthy plant-based diet (HR comparing quintile 5 versus quintile 1 [HRQ5 versus Q1], 0.86; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.78 to 0.96; P for trend =0.001) and a provegetarian diet (HRQ5 versus Q1, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.99; P for trend =0.03) were associated with a lower risk of CKD, whereas higher adherence to a less healthy plant-based diet (HRQ5 versus Q1, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.21; P for trend =0.04) was associated with an elevated risk. Higher adherence to an overall plant-based diet and a healthy plant-based diet was associated with slower eGFR decline. The proportion of CKD attributable to lower adherence to healthy plant-based diets was 4.1% (95% CI, 0.6% to 8.3%).ConclusionsHigher adherence to healthy plant-based diets and a vegetarian diet was associated with favorable kidney disease outcomes.

scholarly journals Nonfatal Stroke and All-Cause Mortality among Community-Dwelling Older Adults Living in Rural Ecuador: A Population-Based, Prospective Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 09 (04) ◽  
pp. 551-555
Author(s):  
Oscar H. Del Brutto ◽  
Robertino M. Mera ◽  
Victor J. Del Brutto
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Rural Setting ◽  
Nonfatal Stroke ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
History Of ◽  
Univariate Analyses

ABSTRACT Background: Stroke is a leading cause of disability in developing countries. However, there are no studies assessing the impact of nonfatal strokes on mortality in rural areas of Latin America. Using a population-based, prospective cohort study, we aimed to assess the influence of nonfatal strokes on all-cause mortality in older adults living in an underserved rural setting. Methods: Deaths occurring during a 5-year period in Atahualpa residents aged ≥60 years were identified from overlapping sources. Tests for equality of survivor functions were used to estimate differences between observed and expected deaths for each covariate investigated. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate Kaplan–Meier survival curves of variables reaching significance in univariate analyses. Results: Of 437 individuals enrolled over 5 years, follow-up was achieved in 417 (95%), contributing 1776 years of follow-up (average 4.3 ± 1.3 years). Fifty-one deaths were detected, for an overall cumulative 5-year mortality rate of 12.2% (8.9%–15.6%). Being older than 70 years of age, having poor physical activity, edentulism, and history of a nonfatal stroke were related to mortality in univariate analyses. A fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards model showed that having history of a nonfatal stroke (P = 0.024) and being older than 70 years of age (P = 0.031) independently predicted mortality. In contrast, obesity was inversely correlated with mortality (P = 0.047). Conclusions: A nonfatal stroke and increasing age increase the risk of all-cause mortality in inhabitants of a remote rural village. The body mass index is inversely related to death (obesity paradox).

scholarly journals Eosinophil count and mortality risk in incident hemodialysis patients

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1032-1042
Author(s):  
Duk-Hee Kang ◽  
Yuji Lee ◽  
Carola Ellen Kleine ◽  
Yong Kyu Lee ◽  
Christina Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Risk ◽  
Eosinophil Count ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Lower Baseline ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Background Eosinophils are traditionally known as moderators of allergic reactions; however, they have now emerged as one of the principal immune-regulating cells as well as predictors of vascular disease and mortality in the general population. Although eosinophilia has been demonstrated in hemodialysis (HD) patients, associations of eosinophil count (EOC) and its changes with mortality in HD patients are still unknown. Methods In 107 506 incident HD patients treated by a large dialysis organization during 2007–11, we examined the relationships of baseline and time-varying EOC and its changes (ΔEOC) over the first 3 months with all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards models with three levels of hierarchical adjustment. Results Baseline median EOC was 231 (interquartile range 155–339) cells/μL and eosinophilia (&gt;350 cells/μL) was observed in 23.4% of patients. There was a gradual increase in EOC over time after HD initiation with a median ΔEOC of 5.1 (IQR −53–199) cells/μL, which did not parallel the changes in white blood cell count. In fully adjusted models, mortality risk was highest in subjects with lower baseline and time-varying EOC (&lt;100 cells/μL) and was also slightly higher in patients with higher levels (≥550 cells/μL), resulting in a reverse J-shaped relationship. The relationship of ΔEOC with all-cause mortality risk was also a reverse J-shape where both an increase and decrease exhibited a higher mortality risk. Conclusions Both lower and higher EOCs and changes in EOC over the first 3 months after HD initiation were associated with higher all-cause mortality in incident HD patients.

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