scholarly journals Long-term supply-side implications of the Great Depression

2010 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 561-580 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Hannah ◽  
P. Temin
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-41
Author(s):  
Quentin Lippmann

This paper studies the evolution of mate preferences throughout the twentieth century in France. I digitized all the matrimonial ads published in France’s best-selling monthly magazine from 1928 to 1994. Using dictionary-based methods, I show that mate preferences were mostly stable during the Great Depression, WWII, and the ensuing economic boom. These preferences started transforming in the late 1960s when economic criteria were progressively replaced by personality criteria. The timing coincides with profound family and demographic changes in French society. These findings suggest that, in the search for a long-term partner, non-material needs have replaced material ones.


Author(s):  
Vito Tanzi

This chapter considers the impact of the Great Depression, Keynes’ countercyclical policies, and the Keynesian Revolution. It also looks at the growth of welfare states and of taxes, increasing levels of marginal tax rates and the increasing power of labor unions. This chapter deals with the beginnings of a conservative counter-revolution. New theories, such as growing influence of. the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis, Rational Expectations theory, and the Laffer Curve were having a growing influence. Several countries experienced stagflation in the late 1970s. The 1970s included the rise of conservative politicians the arrival of the supply-side revolution and an attempted return to some laissez faire policies. This in turn led to attacks on regulations and on high marginal tax rates. Finally, the chapter heralds the growth of globalization.


2010 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. R51-R61
Author(s):  
Solomos Solomou ◽  
Martin Weale

This article uses a dataset covering ten advanced economies (Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom and the United States) to explore the role of real wages as an influence on employment and unemployment in the Great Depression and more generally in the 1920s and 1930s. The distinction between employment and unemployment movements during the Great Depression helps to clarify the role of supply side influences on the national heterogeneity of unemployment increases during the Great Depression. We find little general econometric evidence for the idea that movements in product wages had strong influences on employment either during the period of rising unemployment associated with the depression of the 1930s or more generally with the data which exist for the 1920s and 1930s.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jon Cohen ◽  
Kinda Hachem ◽  
Gary Richardson

The collapse of long-term lending relationships amplified the Great Depression. We demonstrate this by developing a new measure of lending relationships that can be calculated from widely available data at any level of aggregation. Our approach exploits differences in the responsiveness of loan rates to bank funding costs and is supported by historical evidence and theoretical arguments. The new measure reveals that the marginal impact of bank suspensions on economic activity was higher in more relationship-intensive areas, providing the first formal evidence that relationship lending propagated the real effects of banking sector distress in the early 1930s.


2017 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 1639-1666 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory W. Eaton ◽  
Bradley S. Paye

We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when issuance was unusually high. The measure of cash flow used to form the yield matters economically. Long-term investors’ hedging demand for stock is considerably reduced when net payout, rather than dividends, serves as the cash-flow measure. An agent relying on an incorrect payout measure is willing to pay an economically significant “management fee” to switch to the optimal policy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 301-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Sutch

John Maynard Keynes’s analysis of the Great Depression has strong parallels to recent theorizing about the post-2008 Great Recession. There are also remarkable similarities between the two historical episodes: the collapse of demand for new fixed investment, the role of the zero lower bound liquidity trap in hampering conventional monetary policy, the multi-year period of near-zero short-term rates, and the protracted period of subnormal prosperity. A major difference between then and now is that monetary authorities in the recent situation actively pursued an unconventional policy with massive purchases of long-term securities. Keynes couldn’t convince authorities of his era to pursue such a plan, but it was precisely the monetary policy he advocated for a depressed economy stuck at the zero lower bound of nominal interest rates.


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