scholarly journals Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Abundance of the Brown Marmorated Stink Bug (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) With Special Reference to North America and Europe

2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 1212-1224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erica Jean Kistner
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North America ◽  
Special Reference ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Brown Marmorated Stink Bug ◽  
Stink Bug

Climate change impacts on the potential distribution of Eogystia hippophaecolus in China

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (1) ◽  
pp. 215-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Li ◽  
Xuezhen Ge ◽  
Linghong Chen ◽  
Linjing Zhang ◽  
Tao Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Change Impacts

scholarly journals Prediction of the Long-Term Potential Distribution of Cryptorhynchus lapathi (L.) under Climate Change

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ya Zou ◽  
Linjing Zhang ◽  
Xuezhen Ge ◽  
Siwei Guo ◽  
Xue Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North America ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Prevention Measures ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Effective Prevention ◽  
Future Global Warming

The poplar and willow borer, Cryptorhynchus lapathi (L.), is a severe worldwide quarantine pest that causes great economic, social, and ecological damage in Europe, North America, and Asia. CLIMEX4.0.0 was used to study the likely impact of climate change on the potential global distribution of C. lapathi based on existing (1987–2016) and predicted (2021–2040, 2041–2080, and 2081–2100) climate data. Future climate data were simulated based on global climate models from Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) under the RCP4.5 projection. The potential distribution of C. lapathi under historical climate conditions mainly includes North America, Africa, Europe, and Asia. Future global warming may cause a northward shift in the northern boundary of potential distribution. The total suitable area would increase by 2080–2100. Additionally, climatic suitability would change in large regions of the northern hemisphere and decrease in a small region of the southern hemisphere. The projected potential distribution will help determine the impacts of climate change and identify areas at risk of pest invasion in the future. In turn, this will help design and implement effective prevention measures for expanding pest populations, using natural enemies, microorganisms, and physical barriers in very favorable regions to impede the movement and oviposition of C. lapathi.

scholarly journals Current and Future Potential Distribution of the Xerophytic Shrub Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica) under Two Climate Change Scenarios

Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 530 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gonzalo Vargas-Piedra ◽  
Ricardo David Valdez-Cepeda ◽  
Armando López-Santos ◽  
Arnoldo Flores-Hernández ◽  
Nathalie S. Hernández-Quiroz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North America ◽  
Habitat Suitability ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Importance ◽  
Distribution Area ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios

Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) is a shrub species distributed throughout the Chihuahuan Desert in northern Mexico and southern of the United States of America. Candelilla has an economic importance due to natural wax it produces. The economic importance and the intense harvest of the wax from candelilla seems to gradually reduce the natural populations of this species. The essence of this research was to project the potential distribution of candelilla populations under different climate change scenarios in its natural distribution area in North America. We created a spatial database with points of candelilla presence, according to the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF). A spatial analysis to predict the potential distribution of the species using Maxent software was performed. Thirteen of 19 variables from the WorldClim database were used for two scenarios of representative concentration pathways (RCPs) (4.5 as a conservative and 8.5 as extreme). We used climate projections from three global climate models (GCMs) (Max Planck institute, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory and the Met Office Hadley), each simulating the two scenarios. The final predicted distribution areas were classified in five on-site possible candelilla habitat suitability categories: none (< 19%), low (20–38%), medium (39–57%), high (58–76%) and very high (> 77%). According to the area under the curve (0.970), the models and scenarios used showed an adequate fit to project the current and future distribution of candelilla. The variable that contributed the most in the three GCMs and the two RCPs was the mean temperature of the coldest quarter with an influence of 45.7% (Jackknife test). The candelilla’s distribution area for North America was predicted as approximately 19.1 million hectares under the current conditions for the high habitat suitability; however, the projection for the next fifty years is not promising because the GCMs projected a reduction of more than 6.9 million hectares using either the conservative or extreme scenarios. The results are useful for conservation of the species in the area with vulnerable wild populations, as well as for the selection of new sites suitable for the species growth and cultivation while facing climate change.

scholarly journals Indigenous arthropod natural enemies of the invasive brown marmorated stink bug in North America and Europe

2017 ◽  
Vol 90 (4) ◽  
pp. 1009-1020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul K. Abram ◽  
Kim A. Hoelmer ◽  
Angelita Acebes-Doria ◽  
Heather Andrews ◽  
Elizabeth H. Beers ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Natural Enemies ◽  
Brown Marmorated Stink Bug ◽  
Stink Bug

A new way to quickly estimate climate change impacts on rivers and streams

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie A. Vano ◽  
Meghan M. Dalton
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North America ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
New Method ◽  
Conventional Model ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Rivers And Streams ◽  
Change Impact

We outline a new method that offers quick insights into how the amount of water in rivers and streams will be impacted by warmer temperatures and future precipitation change. This method yields comparable results to more conventional model-intense climate change impact studies and is faster and cheaper to implement, making it a practical alternative for those exploring future water supply changes in places with limited computational access. Using rivers and streams in the Pacific Northwest of North America as an example, we share what this new method can (and cannot) do, and highlight the steps one could take to quickly begin exploring how climate change could impact their water supply.

scholarly journals Assessing water resources adaptive capacity to climate change impacts in the Pacific Northwest Region of North America

2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 1427-1443 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. F. Hamlet
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Management ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
North America ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Water Resources Management ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Cool Season ◽  
Resources Management ◽  
Northwest Region

Abstract. Climate change impacts in Pacific Northwest Region of North America (PNW) are projected to include increasing temperatures and changes in the seasonality of precipitation (increasing precipitation in winter, decreasing precipitation in summer). Changes in precipitation are also spatially varying, with the northwestern parts of the region generally experiencing greater increases in cool season precipitation than the southeastern parts. These changes in climate are projected to cause loss of snowpack and associated streamflow timing shifts which will increase cool season (October–March) flows and decrease warm season (April–September) flows and water availability. Hydrologic extremes such as the 100 yr flood and extreme low flows are also expected to change, although these impacts are not spatially homogeneous and vary with mid-winter temperatures and other factors. These changes have important implications for natural ecosystems affected by water, and for human systems. The PNW is endowed with extensive water resources infrastructure and well-established and well-funded management agencies responsible for ensuring that water resources objectives (such as water supply, water quality, flood control, hydropower production, environmental services, etc.) are met. Likewise, access to observed hydrological, meteorological, and climatic data and forecasts is in general exceptionally good in the United States and Canada, and is often supported by federally funded programs that ensure that these resources are freely available to water resources practitioners, policy makers, and the general public. Access to these extensive resources support the argument that at a technical level the PNW has high capacity to deal with the potential impacts of natural climate variability on water resources. To the extent that climate change will manifest itself as moderate changes in variability or extremes, we argue that existing water resources infrastructure and institutional arrangements provide a reasonably solid foundation for coping with climate change impacts, and that the mandates of existing water resources policy and water resources management institutions are at least consistent with the fundamental objectives of climate change adaptation. A deeper inquiry into the underlying nature of PNW water resources systems, however, reveals significant and persistent obstacles to climate change adaptation, which will need to be overcome if effective use of the region's extensive water resources management capacity can be brought to bear on this problem. Primary obstacles include assumptions of stationarity as the fundamental basis of water resources system design, entrenched use of historical records as the sole basis for planning, problems related to the relatively short time scale of planning, lack of familiarity with climate science and models, downscaling procedures, and hydrologic models, limited access to climate change scenarios and hydrologic products for specific water systems, and rigid water allocation and water resources operating rules that effectively block adaptive response. Institutional barriers include systematic loss of technical capacity in many water resources agencies following the dam building era, jurisdictional fragmentation affecting response to drought, disconnections between water policy and practice, and entrenched bureaucratic resistance to change in many water management agencies. These factors, combined with a federal agenda to block climate change policy in the US during the Bush administration have (with some exceptions) contributed to widespread institutional "gridlock" in the PNW over the last decade or so despite a growing awareness of climate change as a significant threat to water management. In the last several years, however, significant progress has been made in surmounting some of these obstacles, and the region's water resources agencies at all levels of governance are making progress in addressing the fundamental challenges inherent in adapting to climate change.

scholarly journals Forester Preferences on Revising Silvics of North America—a Survey of Registered Foresters in Four States

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krista Merry ◽  
Pete Bettinger ◽  
Jacek Siry ◽  
Steve McNulty ◽  
Michael Gavazzi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Ecosystem Services ◽  
North America ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Adaptation Measures ◽  
Us States ◽  
The Past ◽  
Research Findings ◽  
Forest Science ◽  
Source Of Information

Abstract Silvics of North America (SNA) is a widely used silvicultural manual. However, the last SNA was published in 1990. Therefore, 2,589 registered foresters were surveyed across four US states to answer two broad questions: (1) Should SNA be updated? And (2) would an updated SNA still be a useful tool for forest management? Most respondents indicated that the type and extent of content contained in the previous version of SNA was still desirable today. Aside from updating all sections with recent research findings, expansion was suggested for ecosystem services provided by species. An update to maps provided in SNA, through changes to natural ranges of tree species and other aesthetic improvement, was suggested by most survey respondents. These findings support the conclusion that the SNA would still be an essential source of information if 21st-century issues such as climate change impacts and adaptation measures were included in the update. Study Implications: There have been major changes in the environment and forest science over the past 30 years, but SNA has not been revised to reflect these changes. The results of this survey indicate that an update to SNA is warranted. The results presented here can serve as a guide for a future update of SNA.

scholarly journals The potential distribution of yellow bristle grass (Setaria pumila) in New Zealand

2014 ◽  
Vol 67 ◽  
pp. 226-230
Author(s):  
S.L. Lamoureaux ◽  
G.W. Bourd?t
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
North America ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Dairy Farms ◽  
Native Range ◽  
Annual Grass ◽  
The North ◽  
North And South ◽  
Grass Weed

Yellow bristle grass (Setaria pumila) an invasive annual grass weed in North America Africa Australia and New Zealand has become a problem on dairy farms in the upper North Island To define its potential distribution in New Zealand an ecoclimatic model was constructed using CLIMEX The model was parameterised using the known distribution of the species in its native range in Eurasia and validated against its invaded range in North America The model predicted all known occurrences in New Zealand and revealed extensive tracts of land in both the North and South Islands that are currently climatically suitable yet according to current records unoccupied by the weed Under climate change this potential distribution increases substantially These results imply that yellow bristle grass could become a much wider problem on dairy farms throughout New Zealand and that management to limit its spread is justified

scholarly journals Correction to: Climate change impacts on potential distribution of multipurpose agro-forestry species: Argania spinosa (L.) Skeels as case study

2018 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 1221-1222
Author(s):  
Said Moukrim ◽  
Said Lahssini ◽  
Mouhssine Rhazi ◽  
Hicham Mharzi Alaoui ◽  
Abdelkader Benabou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Argania Spinosa ◽  
Agro Forestry
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