scholarly journals Meta-analysis of prognostic factors of overall survival in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sivesh K Kamarajah ◽  
Ella J Marson ◽  
Dengyi Zhou ◽  
Freddie Wyn-Griffiths ◽  
Aaron Lin ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Introduction Currently, the American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) staging system is used for prognostication for oesophageal cancer. However, several prognostically important factors have been reported but not incorporated. This meta-analysis aimed to characterize the impact of preoperative, operative, and oncological factors on the prognosis of patients undergoing curative resection for oesophageal cancer. Methods This systematic review was performed according to PRISMA guidelines and eligible studies were identified through a search of PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases up to 31 December 2018. A meta-analysis was conducted with the use of random-effects modeling to determine pooled univariable hazard ratios (HRs). The study was prospectively registered with the PROSPERO database (Registration: CRD42018157966). Results One-hundred and seventy-one articles including 73,629 patients were assessed quantitatively. Of the 122 factors associated with survival, 39 were significant on pooled analysis. Of these. the strongly associated prognostic factors were ‘pathological’ T stage (HR: 2.07, CI95%: 1.77–2.43, P < 0.001), ‘pathological’ N stage (HR: 2.24, CI95%: 1.95–2.59, P < 0.001), perineural invasion (HR: 1.54, CI95%: 1.36–1.74, P < 0.001), circumferential resection margin (HR: 2.17, CI95%: 1.82–2.59, P < 0.001), poor tumor grade (HR: 1.53, CI95%: 1.34–1.74, P < 0.001), and high neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (HR: 1.47, CI95%: 1.30–1.66, P < 0.001). Conclusion Several tumor biological variables not included in the AJCC 8th edition classification can impact on overall survival. Incorporation and validation of these factors into prognostic models and next edition of the AJCC system will enable personalized approach to prognostication and treatment.

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sivesh K Kamarajah ◽  
Ella J Marson ◽  
Dengyi Zhou ◽  
Freddie Wyn-Griffiths ◽  
Evans Richard P T ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims The objective of this meta-analysis was to assess statistically the impact of patient-level, operative, and tumour characteristics on overall survival of patients undergoing curative resection for oesophageal cancer. Introduction Oesophageal cancer is staged using the American Joint Comission on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. Numerous other prognostically important histopathological and demographic characteristics have been reported. Methods This systematic review was performed according to PRISMA guidelines and eligible studies were identified through a search of PubMed, Scopus and Cochrane CENTRAL databases up to 31st December 2018. A meta-analysis was conducted with the use of random-effects modelling to determine pooled univariable hazard ratios (HRs) and prospectively registered with the PROSPERO database (Registration CRD42018130732). Results One-hundred and sixty-six articles including 70,299 patients were assessed quantitatively. Of the 122 factors associated with survival, 39 were significant on pooled analysis. Of these the strongly associated prognostic factors were T stage (HR: 2.07, CI95%: 1.77 - 2.43, p<0.001), N stage (HR: 2.24, CI95%: 1.95 - 2.59, p<0.001), perineural invasion (HR: 1.54, CI95%: 1.36 - 1.74, p<0.001), circumferential resection margin (HR: 2.17, CI95%: 1.82 - 2.59, p<0.001), poor tumour grade (HR: 1.53, CI95%: 1.34 - 1.74, p<0.001), and high neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (HR: 1.47, CI95%: 1.30 - 1.66, p<0.001). Conclusion Several tumour biological variables not included in the AJCC 8th edition classification can impact on overall survival. These require incorporation into prognostic models to ensure a personalised approach to prognostication and treatment.


2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 182-189
Author(s):  
Gao Liu ◽  
Guo-Xing Liu ◽  
Yu Fang ◽  
Zhen-Yu Cao ◽  
Hui-Hui Du ◽  
...  

Background A number of studies have been conducted to explore the relationship between CD24 expression and the prognosis of breast cancer; however, the results remain inconsistent. Therefore, we performed this meta-analysis to clarify the impact of CD24 expression on clinicopathological features and prognosis of breast cancer. Methods A comprehensive literature search for relevant studies was performed, and statistical analysis was conducted using Stata software. Results Twenty studies, including 5,179 cases, were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled analysis indicated that CD24 expression was associated with lymph node invasion (odds ratio [OR] = 0.68, for negative vs. positive, 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.53-0.87, p = 0.002) and TNM stage (OR = 0.63, for I + II vs. III + IV, 95% CI, 0.49-0.81, p<0.001). The prognosis analysis also suggested CD24 overexpression indicated a poorer 5-year overall survival (OS) rate (relative risk ratio [RR] = 0.93, 95% CI, 0.86-0.99, p = 0.03) and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate (RR = 0.90, 95% CI, 0.83-0.98, p = 0.02). However, CD24 expression had no correlation with tumor size, tumor grade, distance metastasis, estrogen receptor (ER) status, progesterone receptor (PR) status, or HER2 status. Conclusions Our results suggest that higher CD24 expression is significantly associated with lower OS rate, lower DFS rate and some clinicopathological factors such as lymph node invasion and TNM stage. This meta-analysis suggested that CD24 is an efficient prognostic factor in breast cancer.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4550-4550
Author(s):  
C. Pozzo ◽  
Y. Ohashi ◽  

4550 Background: Advanced or recurrent stomach cancer remains an incurable disease. Several drugs and different combinations of chemotherapy have been investigated but very often with small sample sizes making definitive conclusions difficult. The GASTRIC project is an individual-patient-data (IPD) based meta-analysis in the advanced disease setting to quantify the potential benefit of various chemotherapies. We used this large database to study the role of various prognostic factors and potential interactions with chemotherapy. Methods: All randomized clinical trials (RCT) closed to patient accrual at the end of 2004 were eligible. Radiotherapy, intraperitoneal chemotherapy, or immunotherapy was excluded. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Baseline variables included sex, age, performance status (PS), diseases status at entry, prior surgery, number of organs involved at entry, location of metastasis, TNM stages, histology, operative procedures, and geographic area. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated by the multivariate Cox analysis to assess of the prognostic factors for their relationship to OS. Results: Fourty-nine eligible RCTs (7,120 patients) were identified. As of December 2008, IPD from 21 trials (3,619 patients) with a median follow- up of 7.3 months were available for OS. There was no statistically significant difference between 5FU-based, anthracycline-based, platinum-based, taxane-based, or irinotecan-based regimens versus any other CT. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis stratified by trial and treatment arm, PS of 2 (HR, 2.43; 95%CI, 2.02 to 2.94) compared to PS of 0, metastatic (HR, 1.29; 95%CI, 1.01 to 1.64) compared to local advanced, many number of organs, and location of metastasis (especially with peritorium; HR, 1.75; 95%CI, 1.23 to 2.48) compared to none were strongly associated with lower survival. Conclusions: Our interim results could not show an overall survival benefit in favour of 5FU-, anthracycline-, platinum-, taxane-, or irinotecan-based regimens compared with a regimen without the specific chemotherapy. We confirm the impact of PS, diseases status at entry, number of organs involved, and location of metastasis on OS. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10504-10504
Author(s):  
A. Italiano ◽  
F. Delva ◽  
V. Brouste ◽  
P. Terrier ◽  
M. Trassard ◽  
...  

10504 Background: The SMAC meta-analysis failed to demonstrate that adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) significantly improves overall survival (OS) in adult patients with localised resectable soft-tissue sarcoma (STS). We report here the analysis of the impact of AC in the population of STS patients included in the prospective database of the French Sarcoma Group. Methods: Between 1980 and 1999, 2,029 pts with STS were admitted to one of the 20 tertiary cancer centers of the GSF for the management of a first tumoral event and were included prospectively in a comprehensive database. 152 pts were excluded from the study because of metastatic disease at diagnosis. All the cases were reviewed by the pathology subcommittee of the GSF. Tumor grade was assessed according to the FNCLCC system based on tumor differentiation, mitotic count, and necrosis. Results: 283 pts (14.5%) had grade 1, 736 (39.5%) grade 2 and 858 (46%) grade 3 tumors. 1,102 pts (59%) had extremity tumors. The commonest pathological subtypes were MFH 22.5%, liposarcoma 18%, leiomyosarcoma 13%, and synovial sarcoma 10%. 1,122 pts (60%) received adjuvant radiotherapy. AC was delivered in 16 grade 1 pts (6%), 167 grade 2 pts (23%) and 323 grade 3 pts (38%). The majority of patients who received AC had tumors with a deep topography (91%) and/or > 5 cm (75%) and/or located in the limbs (61%). The median follow-up was 9 years. The 5 year-OS was 90% for grade 1 pts, 63% for grade 2 pts and 46% for grade 3 pts. On multivariate analysis ( table 1 ), AC was strongly associated with improved metastasis-free survival (MFS) (5 year MFS: 53% vs 47%, HR 0.7 [0.5–0.9], p=0.003) and overall survival (OS) (5 year OS: 56% vs 44%, HR 0.7 [0.5–0.8], p=0.004) in grade 3 pts. This association was not observed in grade 2 pts (5 year MFS: 73% vs 72%, HR 0.9 [0.6–1.4], p=0.9; 5 year OS: 73% vs 65%, HR 0.7 [0.5–1.1]). Conclusions: This large cohort-based analysis with long-term follow-up indicates that FNCLCC grade 3 pts are likely to benefit from AC. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chendong Wang

BACKGROUND Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) is a highly aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis. Accurate prediction is of great significance for patients’ survival outcome. OBJECTIVE The present study aimed to propose a prognostic nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) for patients with pCCA. METHODS We conducted a retrospective analysis in a total of 940 patients enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program and developed a nomogram based on the prognostic factors identified from the cox regression analysis. Concordance index (C-index), risk group stratification and calibration curves were adopted to test the discrimination and calibration ability of the nomogram with bootstrap method. Decision curves were also plotted to evaluate net benefits in clinical use against TNM staging system. RESULTS On the basis of multivariate analysis, five independent prognostic factors including age, summary stage, surgery, chemotherapy, together with radiation were selected and entered into the nomogram model. The C-index of the model was significantly higher than TNM system in the training set (0.703 vs 0.572, P<0.001), which was also proved in the validation set (0.718 vs 0.588, P<0.001). The calibration curves for 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS probabilities exhibited good agreements between the nomogram-predicted and the actual observation. Decision curves displayed that the nomogram obtained more net benefits than TNM staging system in clinical context. The OS curves of two distinct risk groups stratified by nomogram-predicted survival outcome illustrated statistical difference. CONCLUSIONS We established and validated an easy-to-use prognostic nomogram, which can provide more accurate individualized prediction and assistance in decision making for pCCA patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. S340
Author(s):  
Charlotte A. Jonatan ◽  
Elizabeth Marcella ◽  
Jeannette Tandiono ◽  
Sharon Chen ◽  
Felix Wijovi ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1141
Author(s):  
Gianpaolo Marte ◽  
Andrea Tufo ◽  
Francesca Steccanella ◽  
Ester Marra ◽  
Piera Federico ◽  
...  

Background: In the last 10 years, the management of patients with gastric cancer liver metastases (GCLM) has changed from chemotherapy alone, towards a multidisciplinary treatment with liver surgery playing a leading role. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to assess the efficacy of hepatectomy for GCLM and to analyze the impact of related prognostic factors on long-term outcomes. Methods: The databases PubMed (Medline), EMBASE, and Google Scholar were searched for relevant articles from January 2010 to September 2020. We included prospective and retrospective studies that reported the outcomes after hepatectomy for GCLM. A systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis of prognostic factors was performed. Results: We included 40 studies, including 1573 participants who underwent hepatic resection for GCLM. Post-operative morbidity and 30-day mortality rates were 24.7% and 1.6%, respectively. One-year, 3-years, and 5-years overall survival (OS) were 72%, 37%, and 26%, respectively. The 1-year, 3-years, and 5-years disease-free survival (DFS) were 44%, 24%, and 22%, respectively. Well-moderately differentiated tumors, pT1–2 and pN0–1 adenocarcinoma, R0 resection, the presence of solitary metastasis, unilobar metastases, metachronous metastasis, and chemotherapy were all strongly positively associated to better OS and DFS. Conclusion: In the present study, we demonstrated that hepatectomy for GCLM is feasible and provides benefits in terms of long-term survival. Identification of patient subgroups that could benefit from surgical treatment is mandatory in a multidisciplinary setting.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Firas J. Raheman ◽  
Djamila M. Rojoa ◽  
Jvalant Nayan Parekh ◽  
Reshid Berber ◽  
Robert Ashford

AbstractIncidence of hip fractures has remained unchanged during the pandemic with overlapping vulnerabilities observed in patients with hip fractures and those infected with COVID-19. We aimed to investigate the independent impact of COVID-19 infection on the mortality of these patients. Healthcare databases were systematically searched over 2-weeks from 1st–14th November 2020 to identify eligible studies assessing the impact of COVID-19 on hip fracture patients. Meta-analysis of proportion was performed to obtain pooled values of prevalence, incidence and case fatality rate of hip fracture patients with COVID-19 infection. 30-day mortality, excess mortality and all-cause mortality were analysed using a mixed-effects model. 22 studies reporting 4015 patients were identified out of which 2651 (66%) were assessed during the pandemic. An excess mortality of 10% was seen for hip fractures treated during the pandemic (OR 2.00, p = 0.007), in comparison to the pre-pandemic controls (5%). Estimated mortality of COVID-19 positive hip fracture patients was four-fold (RR 4.59, p < 0.0001) and 30-day mortality was 38.0% (HR 4.73, p < 0.0001). The case fatality rate for COVID-19 positive patients was 34.74%. Between-study heterogeneity for the pooled analysis was minimal (I2 = 0.00) whereas, random effects metaregression identified subgroup heterogeneity for male gender (p < 0.001), diabetes (p = 0.002), dementia (p = 0.001) and extracapsular fractures (p = 0.01) increased risk of mortality in COVID-19 positive patients.


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