scholarly journals Early imaging predictors of long-term outcomes in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis

Brain ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (8) ◽  
pp. 2276-2287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wallace J Brownlee ◽  
Dan R Altmann ◽  
Ferran Prados ◽  
Katherine A Miszkiel ◽  
Arman Eshaghi ◽  
...  

Abstract The clinical course of relapse-onset multiple sclerosis is highly variable. Demographic factors, clinical features and global brain T2 lesion load have limited value in counselling individual patients. We investigated early MRI predictors of key long-term outcomes including secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, physical disability and cognitive performance, 15 years after a clinically isolated syndrome. A cohort of patients with clinically isolated syndrome (n = 178) was prospectively recruited within 3 months of clinical disease onset and studied with MRI scans of the brain and spinal cord at study entry (baseline) and after 1 and 3 years. MRI measures at each time point included: supratentorial, infratentorial, spinal cord and gadolinium-enhancing lesion number, brain and spinal cord volumetric measures. The patients were followed-up clinically after ∼15 years to determine disease course, and disability was assessed using the Expanded Disability Status Scale, Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test and Symbol Digit Modalities Test. Multivariable logistic regression and multivariable linear regression models identified independent MRI predictors of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and Expanded Disability Status Scale, Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test and Symbol Digit Modalities Test, respectively. After 15 years, 166 (93%) patients were assessed clinically: 119 (72%) had multiple sclerosis [94 (57%) relapsing-remitting, 25 (15%) secondary progressive], 45 (27%) remained clinically isolated syndrome and two (1%) developed other disorders. Physical disability was overall low in the multiple sclerosis patients (median Expanded Disability Status Scale 2, range 0–10); 71% were untreated. Baseline gadolinium-enhancing (odds ratio 3.16, P < 0.01) and spinal cord lesions (odds ratio 4.71, P < 0.01) were independently associated with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis at 15 years. When considering 1- and 3-year MRI variables, baseline gadolinium-enhancing lesions remained significant and new spinal cord lesions over time were associated with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Baseline gadolinium-enhancing (β = 1.32, P < 0.01) and spinal cord lesions (β = 1.53, P < 0.01) showed a consistent association with Expanded Disability Status Scale at 15 years. Baseline gadolinium-enhancing lesions was also associated with performance on the Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test (β = − 0.79, P < 0.01) and Symbol Digit Modalities Test (β = −0.70, P = 0.02) at 15 years. Our findings suggest that early focal inflammatory disease activity and spinal cord lesions are predictors of very long-term disease outcomes in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis. Established MRI measures, available in routine clinical practice, may be useful in counselling patients with early multiple sclerosis about long-term prognosis, and personalizing treatment plans.

Brain ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 143 (10) ◽  
pp. 2973-2987 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russell Ouellette ◽  
Constantina A Treaba ◽  
Tobias Granberg ◽  
Elena Herranz ◽  
Valeria Barletta ◽  
...  

Abstract We used 7 T MRI to: (i) characterize the grey and white matter pathology in the cervical spinal cord of patients with early relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis; (ii) assess the spinal cord lesion spatial distribution and the hypothesis of an outside-in pathological process possibly driven by CSF-mediated immune cytotoxic factors; and (iii) evaluate the association of spinal cord pathology with brain burden and its contribution to neurological disability. We prospectively recruited 20 relapsing-remitting, 15 secondary progressive multiple sclerosis participants and 11 age-matched healthy control subjects to undergo 7 T imaging of the cervical spinal cord and brain as well as conventional 3 T brain acquisition. Cervical spinal cord imaging at 7 T was used to segment grey and white matter, including lesions therein. Brain imaging at 7 T was used to segment cortical and white matter lesions and 3 T imaging for cortical thickness estimation. Cervical spinal cord lesions were mapped voxel-wise as a function of distance from the inner central canal CSF pool to the outer subpial surface. Similarly, brain white matter lesions were mapped voxel-wise as a function of distance from the ventricular system. Subjects with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis showed a greater predominance of spinal cord lesions nearer the outer subpial surface compared to secondary progressive cases. Inversely, secondary progressive participants presented with more centrally located lesions. Within the brain, there was a strong gradient of lesion formation nearest the ventricular system that was most evident in participants with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Lesion fractions within the spinal cord grey and white matter were related to the lesion fraction in cerebral white matter. Cortical thinning was the primary determinant of the Expanded Disability Status Scale, white matter lesion fractions in the spinal cord and brain of the 9-Hole Peg Test and cortical thickness and spinal cord grey matter cross-sectional area of the Timed 25-Foot Walk. Spinal cord lesions were localized nearest the subpial surfaces for those with relapsing-remitting and the central canal CSF surface in progressive disease, possibly implying CSF-mediated pathogenic mechanisms in lesion development that may differ between multiple sclerosis subtypes. These findings show that spinal cord lesions involve both grey and white matter from the early multiple sclerosis stages and occur mostly independent from brain pathology. Despite the prevalence of cervical spinal cord lesions and atrophy, brain pathology seems more strongly related to physical disability as measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (11) ◽  
pp. 1381-1391 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iris Dekker ◽  
Madeleine H Sombekke ◽  
Lisanne J Balk ◽  
Bastiaan Moraal ◽  
Jeroen JG Geurts ◽  
...  

Objective: The objective of the study was to determine whether early infratentorial and/or spinal cord lesions are long-term cumulative predictors of disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). Methods: We selected 153 MS patients from the longitudinal Amsterdam MS cohort. Lesion analysis was performed at baseline and year 2. Disability progression after 6 and 11 years was measured using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and EDSS-plus (including 25-foot walk and 9-hole peg test). Patients with spinal cord or infratentorial lesions were compared for the risk of 6- and 11-year disability progression to patients without spinal cord or infratentorial lesions, respectively. Subsequently, patients with lesions on both locations were compared to patients with only spinal cord or only infratentorial lesions. Results: Baseline spinal cord lesions show a higher risk of 6-year EDSS progression (odds ratio (OR): 3.6, p = 0.007) and EDSS-plus progression (OR: 2.5, p = 0.028) and 11-year EDSS progression (OR: 2.8, p = 0.047). Patients with both infratentorial and spinal cord lesions did not have a higher risk of 6-year disability progression than patients with only infratentorial or only spinal cord lesions. Conclusion: The presence of early spinal cord lesions seems to be a dominant risk factor of disability progression. Simultaneous presence of early infratentorial and spinal cord lesions did not undisputedly predict disability progression.


2019 ◽  
Vol 90 (3) ◽  
pp. e13.1-e13 ◽  
Author(s):  
E Williams ◽  
NA John ◽  
J Blackstone ◽  
W Brownlee ◽  
C Frost ◽  
...  

ObjectivesDisease modifying treatment for secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) represents a major unmet need. We outline here the rationale for the MS-STAT2 trial – a phase 3 study of simvastatin in decreasing clinical progression in SPMS. MS-STAT2 will be a landmark study not only for patients with SPMS, but also for the area of drug repurposing and academically led clinical trials as a whole.DesignMulticentre, double blind, parallel group randomised placebo-controlled trial. It follows the positive outcome from the phase 2 MS-STAT1 trial, which demonstrated a 43% reduction in the annualised rate of brain atrophy compared to placebo.1Subjects1180 patients with SPMS with an expanded disability status scale (EDSS) score of 4.0–6.5. Patients need to show evidence of disease progression over the preceding 2 years.MethodsSubject will be recruited at 28 sites across the UK, and randomised to simvastatin 80 mg or matched placebo and assessed every 6 months over the 3 year trial.ResultsThe primary outcome measure is time to 6 month confirmed disability progression, based on change in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores compared to baseline. Secondary outcomes include assessments of cognition, walking, upper limb function and vision. Sub-studies will include advanced imaging outcomes, ocular coherence tomography and fluid biomarkers.ConclusionsMS-STAT2 is set to be a pivotal trial for SPMS. Recruitment has now commenced and further sites are welcome.ReferenceChataway J, et al. MS-STAT. Lancet2014;383:2213–21.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diego Cadavid ◽  
Jeffrey A Cohen ◽  
Mark S Freedman ◽  
Myla D Goldman ◽  
Hans-Peter Hartung ◽  
...  

Background: The Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) has wide scientific and regulatory precedent but limited ability to detect clinically relevant disability progression in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) patients, partly due to a lack of meaningful measurement of short-distance ambulatory and upper-extremity function. Objective: To present a rationale for a composite endpoint adding the timed 25-foot walk (T25FW) and 9-Hole Peg Test (9HPT) to EDSS for SPMS disability progression assessment. Methods: Using the International Multiple Sclerosis Secondary Progressive Avonex Clinical Trial (IMPACT) placebo arm ( n = 215) data, we analyzed disability progression using a novel progression endpoint, “EDSS-Plus,” defined as progression on ⩾1 of 3 components (EDSS, T25FW, and/or 9HPT) confirmed ⩾24 weeks apart and with a ⩾20% minimum threshold change for T25FW and 9HPT. Results: Over 2 years, subjects classified as T25FW, 9HPT (dominant hand), or 9HPT (non-dominant hand) progressors worsened on average by 103.4%, 69.0%, and 59.2%, respectively, while non-progressors’ times remained largely unchanged. Using EDSS-Plus, 59.5% of the patients had 24-week confirmed disability progression versus 24.7% (EDSS), 41.9% (T25FW), and 34.4% (9HPT (either hand)) on each component alone. Conclusion: The 24-week confirmed minimum worsening of ⩾20% for T25FW and 9HPT clearly separates SPMS progressors from non-progressors. We propose that EDSS-Plus may represent an improved endpoint to identify SPMS disability progression.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 924-935
Author(s):  
Kevin Ahrweiller ◽  
Chloé Rousseau ◽  
Emmanuelle Le Page ◽  
Emma Bajeux ◽  
Emmanuelle Leray ◽  
...  

Background: Changes in relapse activity during secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) need to be accurately characterized in order to identify patients who might benefit from continuing disease-modifying therapies. Objective: To describe relapse occurrence in patients with SPMS during long-term follow-up and assess its impact on disability worsening. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 506 patients. We assessed the influence of relapses on time from SPMS onset to an Expanded Disability Status Scale score of 6 (EDSS 6), and on irreversible worsening of EDSS scores across different periods. Results: The annualized relapse rate (ARR) decreased with patient’s age (mean reduction of 43% per decade) and SPMS duration (mean reduction of 46% every 5 years). Post-progression relapses were associated with shorter time from secondary progressive (SP) phase onset to EDSS 6 (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.29, 95% confidence interval (CI) = (1.01, 1.64)). Relapse occurrence during the first 3 years and 3–5 years after SP onset was associated with an increased risk of irreversible EDSS worsening (OR = 3.12 (1.54, 6.31) and 2.04 (1.16, 3.58)). This association was no longer significant after 5 years. Conclusion: The occurrence of relapses was a marker of short-term disability progression during early SPMS, but did not have decisive impact in later SPMS.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 205521732096450
Author(s):  
Lindsey Wooliscroft ◽  
Erin Boespflug ◽  
Andrea Hildebrand ◽  
Kathleen Shangraw ◽  
Elizabeth Silbermann ◽  
...  

Background In secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) significance of enlarged perivascular spaces (ePVS) is unknown. Objectives, Methods: Analysis of associations between vascular co-morbidities, clinical outcomes, and volumetrics with categorical ePVS scores in midbrain, basal ganglia (BG), and centrum semiovale (CSO) in SPMS(n-46). Results, Conclusion: In BG, advancing age (Z = 2.68) and lower Expanded Disability Status Scale (Z = −2.04) were associated with increasing ePVS score. In CSO, advancing age (Z = 2.66) and male gender (Z = 2.45) were associated with increasing ePVS score. No associations between ePVS score and vascular co-morbidities or volumetrics existed; ePVS may not be an informative marker for SPMS.


1996 ◽  
Vol 243 (7) ◽  
pp. 502-505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Massimo Filippi ◽  
Adriana Campi ◽  
Bruno Colombo ◽  
Clodoaldo Pereira ◽  
Vittorio Martinelli ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 533-543 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Kuhle ◽  
M Hardmeier ◽  
G Disanto ◽  
K Gugleta ◽  
M Ecsedi ◽  
...  

Objectives: To explore long-term effects of treatment and prognostic relevance of variables assessed at baseline and during the European secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) trial of interferon beta 1b (IFNB-1b). Methods: We assessed 362 patients (60% female; median age 41 years; Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS): 5.5; 51% randomized to IFNB-1b) for their EDSS and treatment history after 10 years. Non-parametric analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) and multivariate linear regression models were applied. Results: Median EDSS was 6.0 at the end of the randomized controlled trial (RCT), in the IFNB-1b and placebo groups, and 7.0 in long-term follow-up patients (those receiving IFNB-1b in the RCT were 6.5 and those receiving placebo in the RCT were 7.0; p = 0.086). 24 patients (6.6%) were deceased. The EDSS at baseline and the EDSS change during the RCT were the most important predictors of the EDSS 10 years later (partial R2: 0.47). The ability to predict changes in EDSS 10 years after the RCT was limited ( R2: 0.12). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures remained in the predictive models, but explained < 5% of the variability. Conclusions: The results from this analysis did not provide convincing evidence to support a favorable long-term outcome in those patients allocated IFNB-1b during the RCT, in our SPMS cohort. The progressive stage of the disease remains largely unpredictable by clinical and conventional MRI measures, so better prognostic markers are needed.


Neurology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 10.1212/WNL.0000000000012323
Author(s):  
Bruce Anthony Campbell Cree ◽  
Douglas L Arnold ◽  
Jeremy Chataway ◽  
Tanuja Chitnis ◽  
Robert J. Fox ◽  
...  

In most cases, multiple sclerosis (MS) begins with a relapsing–remitting course followed by insidious disability worsening that is independent from clinically apparent relapses and is termed secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SMPS). Major differences exist between relapsing–remitting MS (RRMS) and SPMS, especially regarding therapeutic response to treatment. This review provides an overview of the pathology, differentiation, and challenges in the diagnosis and treatment of SPMS. We emphasize the criticality of conversion from a relapsing–remitting to a secondary progressive disease course not only because such conversion is evidence of disability progression, but also because, until recently, treatments that effectively reduced disability progression in relapsing MS were not proven to be effective in SPMS. Clear clinical, imaging, immunological, or pathological criteria marking the transition from RRMS to SPMS have not yet been established. Early identification of SPMS will require tools which, together with the use of appropriate treatments, may result in better long-term outcomes for the population of patients with SPMS.


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