scholarly journals Contributions of Covariance: Decomposing the Components of Stochastic Population Growth in Cypripedium calceolus

2013 ◽  
Vol 181 (3) ◽  
pp. 410-420 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raziel Davison ◽  
Florence Nicolè ◽  
Hans Jacquemyn ◽  
Shripad Tuljapurkar
2012 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
pp. 423-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven N. Evans ◽  
Peter L. Ralph ◽  
Sebastian J. Schreiber ◽  
Arnab Sen

1964 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 284-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Blackwell ◽  
David Kendall

1. In 1923 Eggenberger and Pólya introduced the following ‘urn scheme’ as a model for the development of a contagious phenomenon. A box contains b black and r red balls, and a ball is drawn from it at random with ‘double replacement’ (i.e. whatever ball is drawn, it is returned to the box together with a fresh ball of the same colour); the procedure is then continued indefinitely. A slightly more complicated version with m-fold replacement is sometimes discussed, but it will be sufficient for our purposes to keep m = 2 and it will be convenient further to simplify the scheme by taking b = r = 1 as the initial condition. We shall however generalise the scheme in another direction by allowing an arbitrary number k(≧2) of colours. Thus initially the box will contain k differently coloured balls and successive random drawings will be followed by double replacement as before. We write sn (a k-vector with jth component ) for the numerical composition of the box immediately after the nth replacement, so that and we observe that is a Markov process for which the state-space consists of all ordered k-ads of positive integers, the (constant) transition-probability matrix having elements determined by where Sn is the sum of the components of sn and (e(i))j = δij. We shall calculate the Martin boundary for this Markov process, and point out some applications to stochastic models for population growth.


1964 ◽  
Vol 1 (02) ◽  
pp. 284-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Blackwell ◽  
David Kendall

1. In 1923 Eggenberger and Pólya introduced the following ‘urn scheme’ as a model for the development of a contagious phenomenon. A box containsbblack andrred balls, and a ball is drawn from it at random with ‘double replacement’ (i.e. whatever ball is drawn, it is returned to the box together with a fresh ballof the same colour); the procedure is then continued indefinitely. A slightly more complicated version with m-fold replacement is sometimes discussed, but it will be sufficient for our purposes to keepm= 2 and it will be convenient further to simplify the scheme by takingb=r= 1 as the initial condition. We shall however generalise the scheme in another direction by allowing an arbitrary numberk(≧2) of colours. Thus initially the box will containkdifferently coloured balls and successive random drawings will be followed by double replacement as before. We writesn(ak-vector withjth component) for the numerical composition of the box immediately after the nth replacement, so thatand we observe thatis a Markov process for which the state-space consists of all orderedk-ads of positive integers, the (constant) transition-probability matrix having elements determined bywhere Snis the sum of the components of snand (e(i))j= δij. We shall calculate the Martin boundary for this Markov process, and point out some applications to stochastic models for population growth.


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