scholarly journals Probability Kinematics And Commutativity*

2002 ◽  
Vol 69 (2) ◽  
pp. 266-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carl G. Wagner
2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 611-648 ◽  
Author(s):  
SIMON M. HUTTEGGER

AbstractWe explore the question of whether sustained rational disagreement is possible from a broadly Bayesian perspective. The setting is one where agents update on the same information, with special consideration being given to the case of uncertain information. The classical merging of opinions theorem of Blackwell and Dubins shows when updated beliefs come and stay closer for Bayesian conditioning. We extend this result to a type of Jeffrey conditioning where agents update on evidence that is uncertain but solid (hard Jeffrey shifts). However, merging of beliefs does not generally hold for Jeffrey conditioning on evidence that is fluid (soft Jeffrey shifts, Field shifts). Several theorems on the asymptotic behavior of subjective probabilities are proven. Taken together they show that while a consensus nearly always emerges in important special cases, sustained rational disagreement can be expected in many other situations.


2010 ◽  
Vol 35 ◽  
pp. 89-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lydia McGrew ◽  

1967 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 197-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
ISAAC LEVI

Synthese ◽  
1980 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 421-442 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zoltan Domotor ◽  
Mario Zanotti ◽  
Henson Graves

1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 225-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Crestani ◽  
C. J. van Rijsbergen

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