Determinants of the decreasing term structure of relative yield spreads for taxable and tax-exempt bonds

1995 ◽  
Vol 27 (7) ◽  
pp. 583-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Kryzanowski ◽  
Kuan Xu ◽  
Hua Zhang
1983 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jess B. Yawitz ◽  
Kevin J. Maloney ◽  
William J. Marshall

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Biwei Chen

This paper adopts a novel approach to studying the evolution of interest rate term structure over the U.S. business cycles and to predicting recessions. Applying an effective algorithm, I classify the Treasury yield curve into distinct shapes and find the less frequent shapes intrinsically linked to the recessions in the post-WWII data. In forecasting recessions, the median-short yield spread trumps the long-short spread for horizons up to 17 months ahead and the yield curve shape is nearly impressive as the median-short spread. Overall, the yield curve shape is an informative but more succinct indicator than the spreads in studying the term structure. Key words: Business cycle, recession forecast, U.S. Treasury yield curve, yield spreads.


2016 ◽  
Vol 06 (03) ◽  
pp. 1650012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Song Han ◽  
Hao Zhou

We estimate the non-default component of corporate bond yield spreads and examine its relationship with bond liquidity. We measure bond liquidity using intraday transactions data and estimate the default component using the term structure of credit default swaps (CDS) spreads. With swap rate as the risk free rate, the estimated non-default component is generally moderate but statistically significant for AA-, A-, and BBB-rated bonds and increasing in this order. With Treasury rate as the risk free rate, the estimated non-default component is the largest in basis points for BBB-rated bonds but, as a fraction of yield spreads, it is the largest for AAA-rated bonds. Controlling for the unobservable firm heterogeneity, we find a positive and significant relationship between the non-default component and illiquidity for investment-grade bonds but no significant relationship for speculative-grade bonds. We also find that the non-default component comoves with indicators for macroeconomic conditions.


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