Prediction of Fire Spread in Grasslands

1998 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
NP Cheney ◽  
JS Gould ◽  
WR Catchpole
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Linear Relationship ◽  
Power Function ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Critical Wind Speed ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Potential Rate

This pager describes a model to predict fire spread in grasslands from wind speed at 10 m, dead fuel moisture, and degree of grass curing in three defined pasture types, The model was developed from spread measurements of experimental fins that were adjusted to their potential rate of spread at wide fronts. Extrapolations of the model were compared with spread data from 20 major wildfires in Australia. This model uses different functions to describe the relationship between rate of spread and wind speed above and below a critical wind speed of 5 km h-1. A linear relationship is used below 5 km h-1; above 5 km h-1 rate of spread is described by a power function of wind speed with an exponent of less than 1.

A cellular automata model to link surface fires to firebrand lift-off and dispersal

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 428 ◽  
Author(s):  
Holly A. Perryman ◽  
Christopher J. Dugaw ◽  
J. Morgan Varner ◽  
Diane L. Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Loading ◽  
Cellular Automata Model ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Lift Off ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
Spot Fires

In spite of considerable effort to predict wildland fire behaviour, the effects of firebrand lift-off, the ignition of resulting spot fires and their effects on fire spread, remain poorly understood. We developed a cellular automata model integrating key mathematical models governing current fire spread models with a recently developed model that estimates firebrand landing patterns. Using our model we simulated a wildfire in an idealised Pinus ponderosa ecosystem. Varying values of wind speed, surface fuel loading, surface fuel moisture content and canopy base height, we investigated two scenarios: (i) the probability of a spot fire igniting beyond fuelbreaks of various widths and (ii) how spot fires directly affect the overall surface fire’s rate of spread. Results were averages across 2500 stochastic simulations. In both scenarios, canopy base height and surface fuel loading had a greater influence than wind speed and surface fuel moisture content. The expected rate of spread with spot fires occurring approached a constant value over time, which ranged between 6 and 931% higher than the predicted surface fire rate of spread. Incorporation of the role of spot fires in wildland fire spread should be an important thrust of future decision-support technologies.

Empirical modelling of surface fire behaviour in maritime pine stands

2009 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 698 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo M. Fernandes ◽  
Hermínio S. Botelho ◽  
Francisco C. Rego ◽  
Carlos Loureiro
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fire Intensity ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

An experimental burning program took place in maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) stands in Portugal to increase the understanding of surface fire behaviour under mild weather. The spread rate and flame geometry of the forward and backward sections of a line-ignited fire front were measured in 94 plots 10–15 m wide. Measured head fire rate of spread, flame length and Byram’s fire intensity varied respectively in the intervals of 0.3–13.9 m min–1, 0.1–4.2 m and 30–3527 kW m–1. Fire behaviour was modelled through an empirical approach. Rate of forward fire spread was described as a function of surface wind speed, terrain slope, moisture content of fine dead surface fuel, and fuel height, while back fire spread rate was correlated with fuel moisture content and cover of understorey vegetation. Flame dimensions were related to Byram’s fire intensity but relationships with rate of spread and fine dead surface fuel load and moisture are preferred, particularly for the head fire. The equations are expected to be more reliable when wind speed and slope are less than 8 km h–1 and 15°, and when fuel moisture content is higher than 12%. The results offer a quantitative basis for prescribed fire management.

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Opening Size and Critical Wind Speed of Smoke Overflow under Ambient Wind

2018 ◽  
Vol 211 ◽  
pp. 581-589
Author(s):  
Zhong-lin Quan ◽  
Ru Zhou ◽  
Jing-jing Lei ◽  
Cheng-yu Gong ◽  
Jun-cheng Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Ambient Wind ◽  
Critical Wind Speed ◽  
The Relationship

Project Vesta: Fire in Dry Eucalypt Forest

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
JS Gould ◽  
WL McCaw ◽  
NP Cheney ◽  
PF Ellis ◽  
IK Knight ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Understorey Vegetation ◽  
Eucalypt Forest ◽  
Age Related ◽  
Vegetation Structures ◽  
Eucalypt Forests ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
New Algorithms

Project Vesta was a comprehensive research project to investigate the behaviour and spread of high-intensity bushfires in dry eucalypt forests with different fuel ages and understorey vegetation structures. The project was designed to quantify age-related changes in fuel attributes and fire behaviour in dry eucalypt forests typical of southern Australia. The four main scientific aims of Project Vesta were: To quantify the changes in the behaviour of fire in dry eucalypt forest as fuel develops with age (i.e. time since fire); To characterise wind speed profiles in forest with different overstorey and understorey vegetation structure in relation to fire behaviour; To develop new algorithms describing the relationship between fire spread and wind speed, and fire spread and fuel characteristics including load, structure and height; and to develop a National Fire Behaviour Prediction System for dry eucalypt forests. These aims have been addressed through a program of experimental burning and associated studies at two sites in the south-west of Western Australia.

Exploring fire response to high wind speeds: fire rate of spread, energy release and flame residence time from fires burned in pine needle beds under winds up to 27 ms−1

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Bret Butler ◽  
Steve Quarles ◽  
Christine Standohar-Alfano ◽  
Murray Morrison ◽  
Daniel Jimenez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Energy Release ◽  
Residence Time ◽  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Convective Heating ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Rate Of Spread

The relationship between wildland fire spread rate and wind has been a topic of study for over a century, but few laboratory studies report measurements in controlled winds exceeding 5ms−1. In this study, measurements of fire rate of spread, flame residence time and energy release are reported for fires burning under controlled atmospheric conditions in shallow beds of pine needles subject to winds ranging from 0 to 27ms−1 (measured 5m above ground level). The data suggested that under constant flow conditions when winds are less than 10ms−1, fire rate of spread increases linearly at a rate of ~3% of the wind speed, which generally agrees with other laboratory-based models. When wind speed exceeds 10ms−1, the fire rate of spread response to wind remains linear but with a much stronger dependence, spreading at a rate of ~13% of the wind speed. Radiative and convective heating correlated directly to wind speed, with radiant heating increasing approximately three-fold as much as convective heating over the range of winds explored. The data suggested that residence time is inversely related to wind speed and appeared to approach a lower limit of ~20s as wind exceeded 15ms−1. Average flame residence time over the range of wind speeds was nominally 26s.

Dispersal of the collembolan, Folsomia Candida Willem, as a function of age

1983 ◽  
Vol 61 (11) ◽  
pp. 2534-2538 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. L. Johnson ◽  
W. G. Wellington
Keyword(s):  
Young Adults ◽  
Linear Relationship ◽  
Linear Function ◽  
Power Function ◽  
Laboratory Experiments ◽  
Release Site ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Folsomia Candida ◽  
Older Individuals ◽  
The Relationship

The tendency of Folsomia Candida to disperse varies with age. In laboratory experiments, the youngest individuals rarely moved from the release sites in dispersal trays, while the older F. Candida showed a tendency to move into more distant areas. Distance travelled is an approximately linear function of body length, and length is a power function of age in this species. The same linear relationship between dispersal and age was apparent over short (2 h) and long (24 h) dispersal periods. When food was present on the release site, the dispersive behavior of the youngest and the oldest classes was unchanged. However, the presence of food restricted travel of medium-sized springtails, many of which remained in the release site to feed. Since these young adults begin oviposition while still growing at a relatively high rate, their food requirements are higher than younger and older springtails. This change in behavior significantly altered the relationship between size and distance travelled. In natural situations, it is advantageous for the youngest individuals to remain in the area in which they hatched, where ample food and moisture are likely to be found. Because of their greater tendency to disperse, the older individuals spread their eggs over a larger area.

A dimensionless correlation for the spread of wind-driven fires

1988 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralph M. Nelson Jr. ◽  
Carl W. Adkins
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Residence Time ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Simple Expression ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Strongly Correlated ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Ambient Wind ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Several Variables

Data for the behavior of 59 experimental wind-driven fires were extracted from the literature for use in determining a correlation among several variables known to influence the rate of forest fire spread. Also included in the correlation were unpublished data from six field fires. This information consisted of behavior measurements on small-scale burns of artificial fuels in the laboratory and measurements on field fires in diverse fuels such as grass and logging slash. Fire intensities ranged from about 40 to 4600 kW/m. Dimensional analysis was used to derive three variables governing the fire spread process. These variables, rearranged into a dimensionless rate of spread and a dimensionless wind speed, are strongly correlated and lead to a simple expression for fire spread rate in terms of fuel consumption, ambient wind speed, and flame residence time.

Corrigendum to: Assessing the effect of foliar moisture on the spread rate of crown fires

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 869 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E. Alexander ◽  
Miguel G. Cruz
Keyword(s):  
Radiant Heat ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Conifer Forests ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Crown Fires ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture

This paper constitutes a digest and critique of the currently available information pertaining to the influence of live fuel or foliar moisture content (FMC) on the spread rate of crown fires in conifer forests and shrublands. We review and discuss the findings from laboratory experiments and field-based fire behaviour studies. Laboratory experimentation with single needles or leaves and small conifer trees has shown an unequivocal effect of FMC on flammability metrics. A much less discernible effect of FMC on crown fire rate of spread was found in the existing set of experimental crown fires carried out in conifer forests and similarly with the far more robust database of experimental fires conducted in shrubland fuel complexes. The high convective and radiant heat fluxes associated with these fires and the lack of appropriate experimental design may have served to mask any effect of FMC or live fuel moisture on the resulting spread rate. Four theoretical functions and one empirical function used to adjust rate of fire spread for the effect of foliar or live fuel moisture were also concurrently examined for their validity over a wide range of FMC conditions with varying outcomes and relevancy. None of these model functions was found suitable for use with respect to dead canopy foliage.

A General Mathematical Framework for Modeling Two-Dimensional Wildland Fire Spread

1995 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 63 ◽  
Author(s):  
GD Richards
Keyword(s):  
Differential Equations ◽  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Meteorological Conditions ◽  
Mathematical Framework ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Affecting Factors ◽  
Modelling Framework ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
The Relationship

This work considers the modelling of two dimensional fire spread for heterogeneous fuel and meteorological conditions. Differential equations are used as the modelling form, and a set of partial differential equations that describes fire growth in terms of the rate of spread at each point on the perimeter is derived. These equations require the specification of the rate of spread as a function of the variables affecting it, and form a general modelling framework into which such a function can be placed. To model the relationship between the rate of spread and its affecting factors an analysis of point source ignition fires for homogeneous fuel and meteorological conditions is made. Based on this analysis a spread rate model for heterogeneous conditions is proposed. The resulting differential equations require a sophisticated computer solution, however there are a number of nontrivial fire situations for which solutions can relatively easily be obtained, and example solutions are presented.

Flame characteristics, temperature - time curves, and rate of spread in fires propagating in a bed of Pinus pinaster needles

2003 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 67 ◽  
Author(s):  
José M. C. Mendes-Lopes ◽  
João M. P. Ventura ◽  
José M. P. Amaral
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Moisture Content ◽  
Pinus Pinaster ◽  
Flame Height ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Propagation Models ◽  
Fire Propagation ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
Flame Angle

An extensive set of experiments was carried out in order to collect data to validate fire propagation models being developed in the context of an European research project. The experiments were performed in a dedicated burning tray (2.0 m × 0.70 m working section), where wind velocity, fuel moisture content and slope were varied to study fire propagation in beds of Pinus pinaster needles. All the runs were videotaped and, from the recordings, information on flame geometry (i.e. flame height, flame length and flame angle) and rate of spread was obtained. Temperature measurements were also carried out by a small tower of six thermocouples at different heights above the fuel bed. Results show that headfire rate of spread increases steeply with wind speed for wind-driven fires but does not depend on wind speed for backing fire spread rates. Rate of spread increases slightly with slope for up-hill propagation, and is not slope dependent for down-hill cases. Rate of spread decreases when fuel moisture content increases. Flame angle and flame height are also dependent on wind velocity, slope, and fuel moisture content. The importance of temperature for fire propagation is discussed, emphasizing the role of radiation heat transfer in the process. Correlations between temperature and other indicators of fire behaviour (namely the rate of spread) are presented. Results are discussed and compared. The results obtained provide a good database for the assessment of fire propagation models.

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