The role of reservoir modelling in unlocking unconventional (resource) plays
There has been a recent focus on the insight that reservoir modelling provides into devising the best workflows and its ability to include reservoir attributes that affect recovery factors in shale. This extended abstract examines recent technical developments in reservoir modelling and how such modelling can identify sweet spots in shale reservoirs. An accurate characterisation of a pre-existing fracture network and its structural complexities, however, requires the gathering of a large amount of data. In addition, investigating sweet spots at the presently low gas prices sometimes prevents the acquisition of such data that is essential as an input to drilling strategies, fracture program design, well spacing, and understanding stimulated reservoir volumes (SRV) in shale. The pre-existing fractures may also have a limited impact on recovery rates. The transport along a wellbore is mainly controlled by the drained volume, not only by the fractures around the well. In such cases, the pre-existing fractures and their reactivation during the fracturing stage are not sufficient to determine the amount of gas that can be recovered during production. This volume is effectively not only a function of the fracture density, but also of the propped fractures. The challenge, therefore, becomes the ability to have a good estimation of the size of the SRV and be able to calibrate this volume using relevant data such as micro-seismic data and the recovery from previous fraccing stages. This extended abstract also discusses how reservoir modelling can play a key role in this area.