Modelling Urban—Rural Population Growth in China

1996 ◽  
Vol 28 (8) ◽  
pp. 1417-1444 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Shen ◽  
N A Spence
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Rural Population ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Urban Migration ◽  
Dramatic Decline ◽  
Urban Rural ◽  
Rural To Urban Migration ◽  
Urbanization In China ◽  
Urban Population Growth

The population of China is still growing despite a dramatic decline in fertility in the past two decades. There are marked urban—rural differentials in fertility and, as a result, the pace of urbanization has significant effects on population growth. In this research an attempt is made to model urban—rural population growth in China. A demoeconomic model of urban and rural sectors is calibrated to account for the long-term trend of urbanization in China. Two important components of urban population growth—rural to urban migration and transition—are considered. In previous research, rural to urban population transition was ignored and thus urbanization levels may be significantly underprojected. An accounts-based urban—rural population model, in which rural to urban migration and transition are driven by the foregoing demoeconomic model, is established in this research. These models are used to make urban—rural population projections for the period 1988–2087 under various fertility rate assumptions.

Urban Population Growth and Urbanization in China Since 1949: Reconstructing a Baseline

1985 ◽  
Vol 104 ◽  
pp. 583-613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kam Wing Chan ◽  
Xueqiang Xu
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Good Deal ◽  
Great Promise ◽  
Urban Migration ◽  
Chinese Model ◽  
Urbanization In China ◽  
Urban Population Growth ◽  
Rural Industries

China's urbanization patterns and policies since 1949 have been the focus of a good deal of attention. The main elements of this “Chinese Model” have been the massive “rustication” movements, the recruitment of large numbers of city dwellers to work in rural areas, strict controls on rural-urban migration through food rationing and household registration, and the expansion of rural employment through the development of rural industries. While controlling urban population growth has been problematic to most governments of developing countries, it has been widely accepted that China, particularly in the Maoist era, has been successful in this sphere. The “Chinese Model”, therefore, may offer such countries great promise as an alternative approach.

Past, Present and Future Population Growth and Urban Management in Zimbabwe

2018 ◽  
pp. 1197-1214
Author(s):  
Innocent Chirisa ◽  
Aaron Maphosa ◽  
Lazarus Zanamwe ◽  
Elmond Bandauko ◽  
Liaison Mukarwi
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Urban Infrastructure ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Urban Migration ◽  
Urban Management ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Urban Population Growth

The central focus of this chapter is to analyse the urban population growth–urban management nexus in Zimbabwean cities. These cities are registering rapid population growth rates, due mainly to massive rural to urban migration and natural increase. Ideally, rapid urban population growth rates should be proportionate to urban infrastructure, facilities and services. This is not in the case in Zimbabwean cities, where the development of informal settlements, rising urban poverty, dilapidated urban infrastructure and other urban developmental challenges are rampant. Drawing from Malthusian theory, the current conditions in Zimbabwean cities represents that stage where the positive and negative checks are expected. In putting together this chapter, we used archival sources such as newspapers, government reports and other secondary sources. We conclude that planning initiatives and population control measures need to be used in Zimbabwean cities to address inefficiency and urban management challenges, which may be compromising urban sustainability. This study provides evidence-based information that urban local authorities may use to formulate policies to manage urban problems.

scholarly journals Urban Change in the United States, 1990–2010: A Spatial Assessment of Administrative Reclassification

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1649
Author(s):  
Bryan Jones ◽  
Deborah Balk ◽  
Stefan Leyk
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Census Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Substantial Effect ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Urban Rural ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Urban Population Growth ◽  
The Impact

In today’s increasingly urban world, understanding the components of urban population growth is essential. While the demographic components of natural increase and migration have received the overwhelming share of attention to date, this paper addresses the effects of administrative reclassification on urban population growth as derived from census data, which remain largely unstudied. We adopt a spatial approach, using the finest resolution US census data available for three decennial census periods, to estimate the magnitude of reclassification and examine the spatial-temporal variation in reclassification effects. We supplement the census data by using satellite-derived settlement data to further explain reclassification outcomes. We find that while 10% and 7% of the population live in areas that underwent urban/rural reclassification during the 1990–2000 and 2000–2010 time periods, respectively (with smaller fractions of corresponding land), reclassification has a substantial effect on metrics derived to characterize the urbanization process—comprising roughly 44% and 34% of total urban population growth over each period. The estimated magnitude of this effect is sensitive to assumptions regarding the timing of reclassification. The approach also reveals where, how, to what degree, and, in some part, why reclassification is affecting to the process of urbanization on the fine spatial scale, including the impact of underlying demographic processes. This research provides new directions to more effectively study coupled nature–human systems and their interactions.

Past, Present and Future Population Growth and Urban Management in Zimbabwe

2016 ◽  
pp. 64-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Innocent Chirisa ◽  
Aaron Maphosa ◽  
Lazarus Zanamwe ◽  
Elmond Bandauko ◽  
Liaison Mukarwi
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Urban Infrastructure ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Urban Migration ◽  
Urban Management ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Urban Population Growth

The central focus of this chapter is to analyse the urban population growth–urban management nexus in Zimbabwean cities. These cities are registering rapid population growth rates, due mainly to massive rural to urban migration and natural increase. Ideally, rapid urban population growth rates should be proportionate to urban infrastructure, facilities and services. This is not in the case in Zimbabwean cities, where the development of informal settlements, rising urban poverty, dilapidated urban infrastructure and other urban developmental challenges are rampant. Drawing from Malthusian theory, the current conditions in Zimbabwean cities represents that stage where the positive and negative checks are expected. In putting together this chapter, we used archival sources such as newspapers, government reports and other secondary sources. We conclude that planning initiatives and population control measures need to be used in Zimbabwean cities to address inefficiency and urban management challenges, which may be compromising urban sustainability. This study provides evidence-based information that urban local authorities may use to formulate policies to manage urban problems.

Dynamic monitoring of changes in medical and demographic indicators in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) from 1998 to 2018

2020 ◽  
pp. 33-36
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Rural Population ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Dynamic Monitoring ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

We studied the medical and demographic indicators in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for the last 20 years (1998–2018). A decrease in the population by 4,7 % (р<0,01) was revealed in the Russian Federation in the period 1998–2008, 3,4 % decrease, followed by its growth by 2,8 % (р<0,01); a decrease in the number of rural population in the republic and an increase in the urban population were observed. By the beginning of 2019, in comparison with the 2003 data, an increase in the population by 1.9% (р<0,01), a decrease in the number of able-bodied people in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) at the beginning of 2019, as compared to 1998, were revealed, by 8,2 %, in the Russian Federation – by 4,7 % (р<0,01). In the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) the birth rate remains high, the mortality rate is relatively low, and the natural population growth is maintained.

scholarly journals Urbanisation and Growth of Slum Population in Jharkhand: A Spatial Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 67
Author(s):  
Rahul Harshwardhan ◽  
V K Tripathy
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Affordable Housing ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Census Data ◽  
Health And Safety ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Population Pressure ◽  
Urban Migration ◽  
Slum Population

The objective of this paper is to examine the relation between the pace of urbanisation and growth of slum population in Jharkhand. This paper also attempts to analyse the trends and patterns of growth of slum population at the district level in Jharkhand. In terms of urbanisation process of India, slums have become an integral part of urban scenario. In India, rapid growth of slums is the result of rural-urban migration of the rural poor to the cities/towns in search of employment in the last two decades. In the absence of any affordable housing, there has been growth of slums in the urban areas of the country. In India, out of a total population of 1.21 billion, 31.30% population resides in the urban areas, but 21.68% (61.8 million) of the total urban population live in the slums. Slums are considered as a major problem within the urban areas, particularly in relation to the issues of transportation, population growth, health and safety. The developing states or regions of India are more prone to this problem due to the lack of infrastructural development and heavy urban population pressure. Like other states of India, Jharkhand too is facing the problem of slums. After its separation from Bihar in 2000, the rate of urbanisation and the rate of growth of slums had gone high. The study reveals that in 2001, there were only 11 urban centers consisting of slum population but in 2011, it reached to 31. The slum population registers 23.68% growth while the urban population growth stands at 32%. This paper is primarily based on secondary data collected from different governmental agencies, particularly the Census data of population to analyse the spatial distribution of slum population in the districts of Jharkhand. This study explores the changing urbanisation scenario in Jharkhand and the growth of slums with respect to it.

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