Parameter estimation and sensitivity analysis for a mathematical model with time delays of leukemia

Author(s):  
Doina Cândea ◽  
Andrei Halanay ◽  
Rodica Rădulescu ◽  
Rodica Tălmaci
2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 803-813 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carine Jauberthie ◽  
Louise Travé-MassuyèEs ◽  
Nathalie Verdière

Abstract Identifiability guarantees that the mathematical model of a dynamic system is well defined in the sense that it maps unambiguously its parameters to the output trajectories. This paper casts identifiability in a set-membership (SM) framework and relates recently introduced properties, namely, SM-identifiability, μ-SM-identifiability, and ε-SM-identifiability, to the properties of parameter estimation problems. Soundness and ε-consistency are proposed to characterize these problems and the solution returned by the algorithm used to solve them. This paper also contributes by carefully motivating and comparing SM-identifiability, μ-SM-identifiability and ε-SM-identifiability with related properties found in the literature, and by providing a method based on differential algebra to check these properties.


Author(s):  
Л.Ф. Сафиуллина

В статье рассмотрен вопрос идентифицируемости математической модели кинетики химической реакции. В процессе решения обратной задачи по оценке параметров модели, характеризующих процесс, нередко возникает вопрос неединственности решения. На примере конкретной реакции продемонстрирована необходимость проводить анализ идентифицируемости модели перед проведением численных расчетов по определению параметров модели химической реакции. The identifiability of the mathematical model of the kinetics of a chemical reaction is investigated in the article. In the process of solving the inverse problem of estimating the parameters of the model, the question arises of the non-uniqueness of the solution. On the example of a specific reaction, the need to analyze the identifiability of the model before carrying out numerical calculations to determine the parameters of the reaction model was demonstrated.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline W. Kanyiri ◽  
Kimathi Mark ◽  
Livingstone Luboobi

Every year, influenza causes high morbidity and mortality especially among the immunocompromised persons worldwide. The emergence of drug resistance has been a major challenge in curbing the spread of influenza. In this paper, a mathematical model is formulated and used to analyze the transmission dynamics of influenza A virus having incorporated the aspect of drug resistance. The qualitative analysis of the model is given in terms of the control reproduction number,Rc. The model equilibria are computed and stability analysis carried out. The model is found to exhibit backward bifurcation prompting the need to lowerRcto a critical valueRc∗for effective disease control. Sensitivity analysis results reveal that vaccine efficacy is the parameter with the most control over the spread of influenza. Numerical simulations reveal that despite vaccination reducing the reproduction number below unity, influenza still persists in the population. Hence, it is essential, in addition to vaccination, to apply other strategies to curb the spread of influenza.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 261
Author(s):  
Silvério Rosa ◽  
Delfim F. M. Torres

A Caputo-type fractional-order mathematical model for “metapopulation cholera transmission” was recently proposed in [Chaos Solitons Fractals 117 (2018), 37–49]. A sensitivity analysis of that model is done here to show the accuracy relevance of parameter estimation. Then, a fractional optimal control (FOC) problem is formulated and numerically solved. A cost-effectiveness analysis is performed to assess the relevance of studied control measures. Moreover, such analysis allows us to assess the cost and effectiveness of the control measures during intervention. We conclude that the FOC system is more effective only in part of the time interval. For this reason, we propose a system where the derivative order varies along the time interval, being fractional or classical when more advantageous. Such variable-order fractional model, that we call a FractInt system, shows to be the most effective in the control of the disease.


Author(s):  
L. F. Safiullina ◽  
◽  
I. M. Gubaydullin ◽  
K. F. Koledina ◽  
R. Z. Zaynullin ◽  
...  

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