Systematic convergence in the dynamical hybrid approach for complex systems: A numerically exact methodology

2001 ◽  
Vol 115 (7) ◽  
pp. 2979-2990 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haobin Wang ◽  
Michael Thoss ◽  
William H. Miller
Author(s):  
M. Kiwan ◽  
D.V. Berezkin ◽  
A. Hamed

Statement of a problem. The increasing complexity in high-tech systems leads to potentially disastrous failure models and new kinds of safety issues. This led to the development of new approaches, for modeling accidents and risk management. In recent years, extended and hybrid approaches have been gaining popularity due to their effectiveness in decision-making for the design and operation of socio-technical systems. The proliferation of these approaches makes it difficult to select the appropriate approach for a particular system. Purpose. Conduct a comparative analysis of various hybrid approaches of accidents in complex systems, identify the strengths and weaknesses of each one, and study the feasibility of their use in risk management in socio-technical systems. Results. The paper analyzes the main approaches of accident modeling (FRAM, STAMP, failure tree, AcciMap) and their limitations in determining cause-effect relationships and dynamics of modern complex systems. New approaches to safety and accident modeling in sociotechnical systems are discussed, these approaches depend on combining several models into one hybrid approach: FuzzyFTA, FRAM-ANP, ACAT-FRAM, STAMP-HFACS, AcciMap-ANP, and SD-ET-FT-ANN. A review of hybrid approaches of accident modeling in complex systems and identify weaknesses and strengths, as well as the application field of each one of these approaches. Practical importance. This study will be a guide for researchers in the field of accident modeling and risk management in sociotechnical systems. It also concludes that it is necessary to use different approaches to risk management depending on the type of risk and the complexity of the system.


2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-143
Author(s):  
Nicholas Christakis ◽  
Mark Cross ◽  
Mayur K. Patel ◽  
Ugur Tüzün

VASA ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 45 (5) ◽  
pp. 417-422 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anouk Grandjean ◽  
Katia Iglesias ◽  
Céline Dubuis ◽  
Sébastien Déglise ◽  
Jean-Marc Corpataux ◽  
...  

Abstract. Background: Multilevel peripheral arterial disease is frequently observed in patients with intermittent claudication or critical limb ischemia. This report evaluates the efficacy of one-stage hybrid revascularization in patients with multilevel arterial peripheral disease. Patients and methods: A retrospective analysis of a prospective database included all consecutive patients treated by a hybrid approach for a multilevel arterial peripheral disease. The primary outcome was the patency rate at 6 months and 1 year. Secondary outcomes were early and midterm complication rate, limb salvage and mortality rate. Statistical analysis, including a Kaplan-Meier estimate and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were carried out with the primary, primary assisted and secondary patency, comparing the impact of various risk factors in pre- and post-operative treatments. Results: 64 patients were included in the study, with a mean follow-up time of 428 days (range: 4 − 1140). The technical success rate was 100 %. The primary, primary assisted and secondary patency rates at 1 year were 39 %, 66 % and 81 %, respectively. The limb-salvage rate was 94 %. The early mortality rate was 3.1 %. Early and midterm complication rates were 15.4 % and 6.4 %, respectively. The early mortality rate was 3.1 %. Conclusions: The hybrid approach is a major alternative in the treatment of peripheral arterial disease in multilevel disease and comorbid patients, with low complication and mortality rates and a high limb-salvage rate.


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