Water Supply Policy Considering Climate Change in the Han River Basin, South Korea

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Chung ◽  
M. Jeon ◽  
J. H. Kim ◽  
T. W. Kim
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Han River ◽  
Supply Policy ◽  
Han River Basin

scholarly journals Optimal Rainfall Estimation by Considering Elevation in the Han River Basin, South Korea

2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 802-818 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seong-Sim Yoon ◽  
Deg-Hyo Bae
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Flood Control ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Han River ◽  
Orographic Rainfall ◽  
Han River Basin

AbstractMore than 70% of South Korea has mountainous terrain, which leads to significant spatiotemporal variability of rainfall. The country is exposed to the risk of flash floods owing to orographic rainfall. Rainfall observations are important in mountainous regions because flood control measures depend strongly on rainfall data. In particular, radar rainfall data are useful in these regions because of the limitations of rain gauges. However, radar rainfall data include errors despite the development of improved estimation techniques for their calculation. Further, the radar does not provide accurate data during heavy rainfall in mountainous areas. This study presents a radar rainfall adjustment method that considers the elevation in mountainous regions. Gauge rainfall and radar rainfall field data are modified by using standardized ordinary cokriging considering the elevation, and the conditional merging technique is used for combining the two types of data. For evaluating the proposed technique, the Han River basin was selected; a high correlation between rainfall and elevation can be seen in this basin. Further, the proposed technique was compared with the mean field bias and original conditional merging techniques. Comparison with kriged rainfall showed that the proposed method has a lesser tendency to oversmooth the rainfall distribution when compared with the other methods, and the optimal mean areal rainfall is very similar to the value obtained using gauges. It reveals that the proposed method can be applied to an area with significantly varying elevation, such as the Han River basin, to obtain radar rainfall data of high accuracy.

scholarly journals Monthly Precipitation Forecasting in the Han River Basin, South Korea, Using Large-Scale Teleconnections and Multiple Regression Models

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1590
Author(s):  
Chul-Gyum Kim ◽  
Jeongwoo Lee ◽  
Jeong Eun Lee ◽  
Nam Won Kim ◽  
Hyeonjun Kim
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Monthly Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Forecasting ◽  
Han River ◽  
The Past ◽  
Multiple Regression Models ◽  
Han River Basin

In this study, long-term precipitation forecasting models capable of reflecting constantly changing climate characteristics and providing forecasts for up to 12 months in advance were developed using lagged correlations with global and local climate indices. These models were applied to predict monthly precipitation in the Han River basin, South Korea. Based on the lead month of forecast, 10 climate indices with high correlations were selected and combined to construct four-variable multiple regression models for monthly precipitation forecasting. The forecast results for the analytical period (2010–2019) showed that predictability was low for some summer seasons but satisfactory for other seasons and long periods. In the goodness-of-fit test results, the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (0.48–0.57) and the ratio of the root mean square error to the standard deviation of the observation (0.66–0.72) were evaluated to be satisfactory while the percent bias (9.4–15.5%) was evaluated to be between very good and good. Due to the nature of the statistical models, however, the predictability is highly likely to be reduced if climate phenomena that are different from the statistical characteristics of the past appear in the forecast targets or predictors. The forecast results were also presented as tercile probability information (below normal, normal, above normal) through a comparison with the observation data of the past 30 years. The results are expected to be utilized as useful forecast information in practice if the predictability for some periods is improved.

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