Flood-Frequency Curves Estimated by Regional Regression Equations and Simulated Flood Series in the Ungaged Areas of Blackberry Creek Watershed, Illinois

Author(s):  
T. W. Soong ◽  
T. D. Straub
Eos ◽  
1977 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 128
Author(s):  
Anonymous

Author(s):  
F. A. K. Farquharson ◽  
C. S. Green ◽  
J. R. Meigh ◽  
J. V. Sutcliffe

2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 04017011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tibebu B. Ayalew ◽  
Witold F. Krajewski ◽  
Ricardo Mantilla ◽  
Daniel B. Wright ◽  
Scott J. Small

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 1931
Author(s):  
Alvaro Sordo-Ward ◽  
Ivan Gabriel-Martín ◽  
Paola Bianucci ◽  
Giuseppe Mascaro ◽  
Enrique R. Vivoni ◽  
...  

This study proposes a methodology that combines the advantages of the event-based and continuous models, for the derivation of the maximum flow and maximum hydrograph volume frequency curves, by combining a stochastic continuous weather generator (the advanced weather generator, abbreviated as AWE-GEN) with a fully distributed physically based hydrological model (the TIN-based real-time integrated basin simulator, abbreviated as tRIBS) that runs both event-based and continuous simulation. The methodology is applied to Peacheater Creek, a 64 km2 basin located in Oklahoma, United States. First, a continuous set of 5000 years’ hourly weather forcing series is generated using the stochastic weather generator AWE-GEN. Second, a hydrological continuous simulation of 50 years of the climate series is generated with the hydrological model tRIBS. Simultaneously, the separation of storm events is performed by applying the exponential method to the 5000- and 50-years climate series. From the continuous simulation of 50 years, the mean soil moisture in the top 10 cm (MSM10) of the soil layer of the basin at an hourly time step is extracted. Afterwards, from the times series of hourly MSM10, the values associated to all the storm events within the 50 years of hourly weather series are extracted. Therefore, each storm event has an initial soil moisture value associated (MSM10Event). Thus, the probability distribution of MSM10Event for each month of the year is obtained. Third, the five major events of each of the 5000 years in terms of total depth are simulated in an event-based framework in tRIBS, assigning an initial moisture state value for the basin using a Monte Carlo framework. Finally, the maximum annual hydrographs are obtained in terms of maximum peak-flow and volume, and the associated frequency curves are derived. To validate the method, the results obtained by the hybrid method are compared to those obtained by deriving the flood frequency curves from the continuous simulation of 5000 years, analyzing the maximum annual peak-flow and maximum annual volume, and the dependence between the peak-flow and volume. Independence between rainfall events and prior hydrological soil moisture conditions has been proved. The proposed hybrid method can reproduce the univariate flood frequency curves with a good agreement to those obtained by the continuous simulation. The maximum annual peak-flow frequency curve is obtained with a Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of 0.98, whereas the maximum annual volume frequency curve is obtained with a Nash–Sutcliffe value of 0.97. The proposed hybrid method permits to generate hydrological forcing by using a fully distributed physically based model but reducing the computation times on the order from months to hours.


2017 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 15-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brunella Bonaccorso ◽  
Giuseppina Brigandì ◽  
Giuseppe Tito Aronica

Abstract. In the present study an attempt is made to provide a general Monte Carlo approach for deriving flood frequency curves in ungauged basins in Sicily region (Italy). The proposed procedure consists of (i) a regional frequency analysis of extreme rainfall series, combined with Huff curves-based synthetic hyetographs, for design storms and (ii) a rainfall-runoff model, based on the Time-Area technique, to generate synthetic hydrographs. Validation of the procedure is carried out on four gauged river basins in Sicily region (Italy), where synthetic peak flow frequency curves, obtained by simulating 1000 flood events, are compared with observed values. Results of the application reveal that the proposed Monte Carlo approach is suitable to reproduce with reasonable accuracy the hydrologic response of the investigated basins. Given its relative simplicity, the developed procedure can be easily extended to poorly gauged or ungauged basins.


1993 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 225-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Loukas ◽  
M.C. Quick

The orographic and temporal gradients of rainfall in a mountainous watershed in southwestern British Columbia have been analyzed and streamflow has been estimated using a watershed model. The study watershed is the Jamieson Creek watershed located approximately 30 km north of Vancouver in the Coastal Mountains. The purpose of the study was to determine whether rainfall follows a definable pattern in this mountainous watershed. Regression analysis has been performed for the total rainfall depth per event and hourly intensity for the period 1972-1975. Data is taken from the rainfall season of June to mid-November in order to avoid complications of combined rain and snow events. In this analysis, the rainfall data from a gauge at the lower elevation was used as the set of independent variables and the data from the other four gauges in the watershed as dependent variables. The results showed that the rainfall depth per event increased up to the mid-elevation of the watershed, and then decreased at the upper elevations. On the other hand, the hourly rainfall intensity was found to decrease with increase of elevation in the watershed, so that longer duration of rainfall events occurs at the middle and upper watershed. The regression equations, developed from the analysis of the distribution of the hourly intensity, were used for the prediction of rainfall events of the years 1976-1977. The agreement between the predicted and the observed rain was statistically good. Also, the simulation of the watershed streamflow using the predicted rainfall gave good results. Consequently, because the rainfall follows a definable distribution as a function of elevation, it is possible to use data from one station located at the lower elevation in combination with the developed predictor equations to accurately describe the rainfall over the watershed.


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