scholarly journals Alpha-robust mean-variance investment strategy for DC pension plan with uncertainty about jump-diffusion risk

Author(s):  
Danping Li ◽  
Junna BI ◽  
Mengcong Hu

This paper considers an alpha-robust optimal investment problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan with uncertainty about jump and diffusion risks in a mean-variance framework. Our model allows the pension manager to have different levels of ambiguity aversion, rather than only consider the extremely ambiguity-averse attitude. Moreover, in the DC pension plan, contributions are supposed to be a predetermined amount of money as premiums and the pension funds are allowed to be invested in a financial market which consists of a risk-free asset, and a risky asset satisfying a jump-diffusion process. Notice that a part of pension members could die during the accumulation phase, and their premiums should be withdrawn. Thus, we consider the return of premiums clauses by an actuarial method and assume that the surviving members will share the difference between the return and the accumulation equally. Taking account of the pension fund size and the volatility of the accumulation, a mean-variance criterion as the investment objective for the DC plan can be formulated. By applying a game theoretic framework, the equilibrium investment strategies and the corresponding equilibrium value functions can be obtained explicitly. Economic interpretations are given in the numerical simulation, which is presented to illustrate our results.

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingyun Sun ◽  
Zhongfei Li ◽  
Yongwu Li

We consider a portfolio selection problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan under the mean-variance criteria. We take into account the inflation risk and assume that the salary income process of the pension plan member is stochastic. Furthermore, the financial market consists of a risk-free asset, an inflation-linked bond, and a risky asset with Heston’s stochastic volatility (SV). Under the framework of game theory, we derive two extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations systems and give the corresponding verification theorems in both the periods of accumulation and distribution of the DC pension plan. The explicit expressions of the equilibrium investment strategies, corresponding equilibrium value functions, and the efficient frontiers are also obtained. Finally, some numerical simulations and sensitivity analysis are presented to verify our theoretical results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050006
Author(s):  
RYLE S. PERERA ◽  
KIMITOSHI SATO

In this paper, we analyze the impact of savings withdrawals on a bank’s capital holdings under Basel III capital regulation. We examine the interplay between savings withdrawals and the investment strategies of a bank, by extending the classical mean–variance paradigm to investigate the bankers optimal investment strategy. We solve this via an optimization problem under a mean–variance paradigm, subject to a quadratic optimization function which incorporates a running penalization cost alongside the terminal condition. By solving the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation, we derive the closed-form expressions for the value function as well as the banker’s optimal investment strategies. Our study provides a novel insight into the way banks allocate their capital holdings by showing that in the presence of savings withdrawals, banks will increase their risk-free asset holdings to hedge against the forthcoming deposit withdrawals whilst facing short-selling constraints. Moreover, we show that if the savings depositors of the bank are more stock-active, an economic expansion will imply a greater reduction in bank savings. As a result, the banker will reduce his/her loan portfolio and will depend on high stock returns with short-selling constraints to conform to Basel III capital regulation.


2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 397-419 ◽  
Author(s):  
An Chen ◽  
Łukasz Delong

AbstractWe study an asset allocation problem for a defined-contribution (DC) pension scheme in its accumulation phase. We assume that the amount contributed to the pension fund by a pension plan member is coupled with the salary income which fluctuates randomly over time and contains both a hedgeable and non-hedgeable risk component. We consider an economy in which macroeconomic risks are existent. We assume that the economy can be in one ofIstates (regimes) and switches randomly between those states. The state of the economy affects the dynamics of the tradeable risky asset and the contribution process (the salary income of a pension plan member). To model the switching behavior of the economy we use a counting process with stochastic intensities. We find the investment strategy which maximizes the expected exponential utility of the discounted excess wealth over a target payment, e.g. a target lifetime annuity.


Author(s):  
Xiaoyi Zhang ◽  
Junyi Guo

In this paper we investigate the optimal investment strategy for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan during the decumulation phrase which is risk-averse and pays close attention to inflation risk. The plan aims to maximize the expected constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility from the terminal wealth by investing the wealth in a financial market consisting of an inflation-indexed bond, an ordinary zero coupon bond and a risk-free asset. We derive the optimal investment strategy in closed-form using the dynamic programming approach by solving the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. Our theoretical and numerical results reveal that under some rational assumptions, an inflation-indexed bond do has significant advantage to hedge inflation risk.


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 936-946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Griselda Deelstra ◽  
Martino Grasselli ◽  
Pierre-François Koehl

We study an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time framework where the interest rates follow Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics. Closed form formulae for the optimal investment strategy are obtained by assuming the completeness of financial markets and the CRRA utility function. In particular, we study the behaviour of the solution when time approaches the terminal date.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (15) ◽  
pp. 1756
Author(s):  
Yang Wang ◽  
Xiao Xu ◽  
Jizhou Zhang

This paper is concerned with the optimal investment strategy for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan. We assumed that the financial market consists of a risk-free asset and a risky asset, where the risky asset is subject to the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (O-U) process, and stochastic income and inflation risk were also considered in the model. We firstly derived the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation through the stochastic control method. Secondly, under the logarithmic utility function, the closed-form solution of optimal asset allocation was obtained by using the Legendre transform method. Finally, we give several numerical examples and a financial analysis.


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (04) ◽  
pp. 936-946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Griselda Deelstra ◽  
Martino Grasselli ◽  
Pierre-François Koehl

We study an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time framework where the interest rates follow Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics. Closed form formulae for the optimal investment strategy are obtained by assuming the completeness of financial markets and the CRRA utility function. In particular, we study the behaviour of the solution when time approaches the terminal date.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 1750017 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHARLES I. NKEKI

This paper considers an optimal investment and an optimal additional contribution rate of a pension plan member (PPM) who faces both diffusion and jump risks in a defined contribution (DC) pension plan. We put into consideration three background risks which include interest rate, investment and salary risks. The stock prices, interest rate and salary process of a PPM are allowed to follow a jump-diffusion process. A PPM is expected to make two kind of contributions: compulsory and additional voluntary contributions. The compulsory one is a fixed proportion of a PPM's salary and the additional one is voluntary which is time and interest rate dependent. The aims of the investor is to determine the optimal investment and optimal contribution rate in a jump-diffusion environment. In order to obtain the optimal investment and optimal contribution rate, the resulting wealth process was transformed into Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation by the method of dynamic programming. As a result, the optimal investment and optimal contribution rate of a PPM were obtained. Furthermore, some empirical analyses were conducted and results obtained. We found that the optimal investment ultimately depend on stocks diffusion and jump risks, interest rate and salary risks, optimal contribution rate and the salary process. The contribution rate of a PPM was found to depend on the investment strategies, salary process and interest rate risks, salary and its growth rate and CRRA coefficient. We also found that the contribution rate depends inversely on the salary process of a PPM over time.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Aimin Song ◽  
Peimin Chen

With the global outbreak of new coronavirus pneumonia, more and more countries have entered the state of sealing off cities. After the epidemic, with the shortage of some materials, the economy is very likely to enter the state of inflation. Thereby, it is necessary and urgent for us to reconsider investment problems involving inflation risk. In this paper, we mainly study the optimal investment strategy of two defined contribution (DC) pension managers with strategy interaction under inflation risk. The traditional portfolio literatures mainly focus on DC pension plan and try to maximize the expected utility of terminal nominal wealth. In this paper, we consider the more complicated situation that pension managers have, both concerns on relative wealth and relative risk aversion. Then, the objective function is constructed to satisfy these two concerns. The dynamic programming principle method is employed to solve the above problems, and a series of analytical solutions to this problem are obtained. Finally, some numerical examples are discussed for the economic implications to support our theoretical results.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document