Application of sequential Monte Carlo simulation to evaluation of distributions of composite system indices

1997 ◽  
Vol 144 (2) ◽  
pp. 87 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Billinton ◽  
A. Jonnavithula
2013 ◽  
Vol 291-294 ◽  
pp. 461-466
Author(s):  
Guo Bing Qiu ◽  
Wen Xia Liu ◽  
Jian Hua Zhang

Considering the randomness of wind speed and wind direction, the partial wake effect between wind turbines (WTs) in complex terrain was analyzed and a multiple wake model in complex terrain was established. Taking the power output characteristic of WT into consideration, a wind farm reliability model which considered the outages of connection cables was presented. The model is implemented in MATLAB using sequential Monte Carlo simulation and the results show that this model corrects the power output of wind farm, while improving the accuracy of wind farm reliability model.


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