Research on support vector machine model and its application on long-term distribution load forecasting

Author(s):  
Wei Sun ◽  
Jianchang Lu ◽  
Ming Meng
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Soares Araujo ◽  
Marco Cristo ◽  
Rafael Giusti

Online streaming platforms have become one of the most important forms of music consumption. Most streaming platforms provide tools to assess the popularity of a song in the forms of scores and rankings. In this paper, we address two issues related to song popularity. First, we predict whether an already popular song may attract higher-than-average public interest and become “viral”. Second, we predict whether sudden spikes in public interest will translate into long-term popularity growth. We base our findings in data from the streaming platform Spotify and consider appearances in its “Most-Popular” list as indicative of popularity, and appearances in its “Virals” list as indicative of interest growth. We approach the problem as a classification task and employ a Support Vector Machine model built on popularity information to predict interest, and vice versa. We also verify if acoustic information can provide useful features for both tasks. Our results show that the popularity information alone is sufficient to predict future interest growth, achieving a F1-score above 90% at predicting whether a song will be featured in the “Virals” list after being observed in the “Most-Popular”.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Yu-Wei Liu ◽  
Huan Feng ◽  
Heng-Yi Li ◽  
Ling-Ling Li

Accurate prediction of photovoltaic power is conducive to the application of clean energy and sustainable development. An improved whale algorithm is proposed to optimize the Support Vector Machine model. The characteristic of the model is that it needs less training data to symmetrically adapt to the prediction conditions of different weather, and has high prediction accuracy in different weather conditions. This study aims to (1) select light intensity, ambient temperature and relative humidity, which are strictly related to photovoltaic output power as the input data; (2) apply wavelet soft threshold denoising to preprocess input data to reduce the noise contained in input data to symmetrically enhance the adaptability of the prediction model in different weather conditions; (3) improve the whale algorithm by using tent chaotic mapping, nonlinear disturbance and differential evolution algorithm; (4) apply the improved whale algorithm to optimize the Support Vector Machine model in order to improve the prediction accuracy of the prediction model. The experiment proves that the short-term prediction model of photovoltaic power based on symmetry concept achieves ideal accuracy in different weather. The systematic method for output power prediction of renewable energy is conductive to reducing the workload of predicting the output power and to promoting the application of clean energy and sustainable development.


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