Artificial neural network in day-ahead electricity load forecasting for large steel factory

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Swiatek ◽  
R. Klempka ◽  
J. Dzieza
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Steel Factory ◽  
Large Steel ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Electricity Load Forecasting

scholarly journals ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK BASE SHORT-TERM ELECTRICITY LOAD FORECASTING: A CASE STUDY OF A 132/33KV TRANSMISSION SUB-STATION

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 200-205
Author(s):  
Isaac Adekunle Samuel ◽  
Segun Ekundayo ◽  
Ayokunle Awelewa ◽  
Tobiloba Emmanuel Somefun ◽  
Adeyinka Adewale
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Electricity Load Forecasting

Electricity Load Forecasting using Hybrid of Multiplicative Double Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Model with Artificial Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 69 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Osamah Basheer Shukur ◽  
Naam Salem Fadhil ◽  
Muhammad Hisyam Lee ◽  
Maizah Hura Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Exponential Smoothing ◽  
Seasonal Effects ◽  
Load Testing ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Electricity Load Forecasting

Electricity load forecasting often has many properties such as the nonlinearity, double seasonal cycles, and others those may be obstacles for the accuracy of forecasting using some classical statistical models. Many papers in this field have proposed using double seasonal (DS) exponential smoothing model to forecast. These papers indicated that electricity load forecasting using DS exponential smoothing model has better fit. Using artificial neural network (ANN) as a modern approach may be used for superior fitted forecasting, since this approach can deal with the non-linearity components of load data. The purpose of this paper is to improve the electricity load forecasting by building the hybrid model that includes a double seasonal exponential smoothing with an artificial neural network. This hybrid model will study the double seasonal effects and non-linearity components together based on the electricity load data. The strategy of building this hybrid model is by entering ANN output as an input in double seasonal exponential smoothing model. The data sets are taken from three stations with different electricity load characteristics such as a residential, industrial and city center. The electricity load testing forecast of DS exponential smoothing-ANN hybrid model gave the most minimum mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) measurement comparing with the electricity load testing forecasts of DS exponential smoothing and ANN for all electricity load data sets. In conclusion, DS exponential smoothing-ANN hybrid model are the most fitted for every electricity load data which contains the double seasonal effects and non-linearity components.

scholarly journals The Short-Term Load Forecasting Using an Artificial Neural Network Approach with Periodic and Nonperiodic Factors: A Case Study of Tai'an, Shandong Province, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Jiuyun Sun ◽  
Huanhe Dong ◽  
Ya Gao ◽  
Yong Fang ◽  
Yuan Kong
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Shandong Province ◽  
Neural Network Approach ◽  
Electricity System ◽  
Spring Festival ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Artificial Neural

Accurate electricity load forecasting is an important prerequisite for stable electricity system operation. In this paper, it is found that daily and weekly variations are prominent by the power spectrum analysis of the historical loads collected hourly in Tai’an, Shandong Province, China. In addition, the influence of the extraneous variables is also very obvious. For example, the load dropped significantly for a long period of time during the Chinese Lunar Spring Festival. Therefore, an artificial neural network model is constructed with six periodic and three nonperiodic factors. The load from January 2016 to August 2018 was divided into two parts in the ratio of 9 : 1 as the training set and the test set, respectively. The experimental results indicate that the daily prediction model with selected factors can achieve higher forecasting accuracy.

scholarly journals Different Forecasting Horizons Based Performance Analysis of Electricity Load Forecasting Using Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network

Forecasting ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 804-838
Author(s):  
Manogaran Madhiarasan ◽  
Mohamed Louzazni
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power System ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Consumer Information ◽  
Fine Tuning ◽  
Atmospheric Parameters ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Electricity Load Forecasting

With an uninterrupted power supply to the consumer, it is obligatory to balance the electricity generated by the electricity load. The effective planning of economic dispatch, reserve requirements, and quality power provision for accurate consumer information concerning the electricity load is needed. The burden on the power system engineers eased electricity load forecasting is essential to ensure the enhanced power system operation and planning for reliable power provision. Fickle nature, atmospheric parameters influence makes electricity load forecasting a very complex and challenging task. This paper proposed a multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) with an association of recursive fine-tuning strategy-based different forecasting horizons model for electricity load forecasting. We consider the atmospheric parameters as the inputs to the proposed model, overcoming the atmospheric effect on electricity load forecasting. Hidden layers and hidden neurons based on performance investigation performed. Analyzed performance of the proposed model with other existing models; the comparative performance investigation reveals that the proposed forecasting model performs rigorous with a minimal evaluation index (mean square error (MSE) of 1.1506 × 10-05 for Dataset 1 and MSE of 4.0142 × 10-07 for Dataset 2 concern to the single hidden layer and MSE of 2.9962 × 10-07 for Dataset 1, and MSE of 1.0425 × 10-08 for Dataset 2 concern to two hidden layers based proposed model) and compared to the considered existing models. The proposed neural network possesses a good forecasting ability because we develop based on various atmospheric parameters as the input variables, which overcomes the variance. It has a generic performance capability for electricity load forecasting. The proposed model is robust and more reliable.

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