scholarly journals Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic biomarker for patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi-Lei Zhou ◽  
Yong-Qiang Li ◽  
Wei-Guo Zhu ◽  
Chang-Hua Yu ◽  
Ya-Qi Song ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilin Yu ◽  
Hongying Zheng ◽  
Lingyun Liu ◽  
Hui Li ◽  
Qunhao Zheng ◽  
...  

ObjectiveRadiation esophagitis (RE) is common in patients treated with radiotherapy (RT) for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We aim to construct a nomogram predicting the severe RE (grade ≥2) in patients with ESCC receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT).Materials and MethodsLogistic regression was performed to evaluate the risk factors in predicting RE. Nomogram was built based on the multivariate analysis result. The model was validated using the area under the receiver operating curve (ROC) curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCA). Spearman correlation analysis was used to evaluate the correlation between inflammation indexes.ResultsA total of 547 patients with stage II–IVA ESCC treated with dCRT from the retrospective study were included. Two hundred and thirty-two of 547 patients (42.4%) developed grade ≥2 RE. Univariate analysis indicated that gender (p = 0.090), RT dose (p < 0.001), targeted therapy (p = 0.047), tumor thickness (p = 0.013), lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR, p = 0.016), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR, p < 0.001), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR, p < 0.001) were the significant factors for a higher incidence of RE. In multivariate analysis, RT dose [p < 0.001; odds ratio (OR), 4.680; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.841–6.709], NLR (p < 0.001; OR, 0.384; 95% CI, 0.239–0.619), and PLR (p < 0.001; OR, 3.539; 95% CI: 2.226–5.626) were independently associated grade ≥2 RE and were involved in the nomogram. ROC curves showed the AUC of the nomogram was 0.714 (95% CI, 0.670–0.757), which was greater than each factor alone (RT dose: 0.615; NLR: 0.596; PLR: 0.590). Calibration curves showed good consistency between the actual observation and the predicted RE. DCA showed satisfactory positive net benefits of the nomogram among most threshold probabilities.ConclusionsThe study demonstrated that RT dose, NLR, and PLR were independent risk factors for grade ≥2 RE in patients with locally advanced ESCC receiving dCRT. A predictive model including all these factors was built and performed better than it based on each separately. Further validation in large patient populations is still warranted.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15575-e15575
Author(s):  
Guoxin Cai ◽  
Jinming Yu ◽  
Xue Meng

e15575 Background: Increasing study indicates that inflammatory biomarkers play a important role in predicting prognosis and therapeutic effect in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. This research is designed to evaluate prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers at baseline including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (dNLR), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and fibrinogen to Albumin ratio (FAR) and the association between inflammatory biomarkers at baseline and symptomatic radiation pneumonitis in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. Methods: Patients with ESCC treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy from 2011 to 2015 were enrolled retrospectively. The operating characteristic analysis was used to determine optimal cut-off values of NLR, dNLR, MLR and PLR. The Kaplan-Meier method with a log-rank test and Cox regression model were used to evaluate the prognostic role of these biomarkers and the logistic regression was performed to investigate the association berween NLR and radiation pneumonitis. Results: 311 patients were included with a median follow-up of 24 months. The three-year survival rate is 24.12%. The optimal cut-of values of NLR, dNLR, MLR, PLR were 2.77, 1.70, 0.5 and 168.35, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that tumor length, smoking and drinking status, performance status, tumor stage, tumor location, albumin level, NLR, dNLR, MLR, PLR, PNI, and FAR were significantly associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) (p < 0.05), but only tumor length, smoking status, performance status, tumor stage, dNLR and PLR were independent predictors of PFS and OS in multivariate model. Compared with separate marker, the prognostic predictive value of combined dNLR and PLR (coPLR-dNLR) was increased, and it was also a prognostic indicator when patients were stratified into early and advanced TNM stage. None of inflammatory biomarkers was significantly associated with symptomatic radiation pneumonitis in univariate and multivariate analysis. Conclusions: dNLR and PLR were powerful biomarker to predict prognosis in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy, however inflammatory biomarkers could not predict the occurrence of symptomatic radiation pneumonitis.


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