Impact bias or underestimation? Outcome specifications predict the direction of affective forecasting errors.

2017 ◽  
Vol 146 (5) ◽  
pp. 746-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva C. Buechel ◽  
Jiao Zhang ◽  
Carey K. Morewedge
Keyword(s):  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Impact Bias ◽  
Forecasting Errors

It's Written on Your Face (and IAT): Affective Forecasting Errors

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allen R. McConnell ◽  
Elizabeth W. Dunn ◽  
Sara N. Austin ◽  
Catherine D. Rawn
Keyword(s):  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Errors

Blind spots in the search for happiness: Implicit attitudes and nonverbal leakage predict affective forecasting errors

2011 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 628-634 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allen R. McConnell ◽  
Elizabeth W. Dunn ◽  
Sara N. Austin ◽  
Catherine D. Rawn
Keyword(s):  
Implicit Attitudes ◽  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Errors ◽  
Blind Spots

The moderating effect of body mass index (BMI) on affective forecasting errors in exercise

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deanna C. Denman ◽  
Andrea R. Graham ◽  
Valerie G. Loehr ◽  
Austin S. Baldwin
Keyword(s):  
Body Mass Index ◽  
Body Mass ◽  
Moderating Effect ◽  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Errors

Affective Forecasting

2005 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 131-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy D. Wilson ◽  
Daniel T. Gilbert
Keyword(s):  
Emotional Reactions ◽  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Negative Events ◽  
Impact Bias ◽  
External Agents ◽  
Future Events ◽  
Emotional Recovery ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Affective Forecasts

People base many decisions on affective forecasts, predictions about their emotional reactions to future events. They often display an impact bias, overestimating the intensity and duration of their emotional reactions to such events. One cause of the impact bias is focalism, the tendency to underestimate the extent to which other events will influence our thoughts and feelings. Another is people's failure to anticipate how quickly they will make sense of things that happen to them in a way that speeds emotional recovery. This is especially true when predicting reactions to negative events: People fail to anticipate how quickly they will cope psychologically with such events in ways that speed their recovery from them. Several implications are discussed, such as the tendency for people to attribute their unexpected resilience to external agents.

scholarly journals Narratives that address affective forecasting errors reduce perceived barriers to colorectal cancer screening

2010 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda J. Dillard ◽  
Angela Fagerlin ◽  
Sonya Dal Cin ◽  
Brian J. Zikmund-Fisher ◽  
Peter A. Ubel
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Cancer Screening ◽  
Colorectal Cancer Screening ◽  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Perceived Barriers ◽  
Forecasting Errors

Debiasing affective forecasting errors with targeted, but not representative, experience narratives

2016 ◽  
Vol 99 (10) ◽  
pp. 1611-1619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoria A. Shaffer ◽  
Elizabeth S. Focella ◽  
Laura D. Scherer ◽  
Brian J. Zikmund-Fisher
Keyword(s):  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Errors

Overcorrection for Social-Categorization Information Moderates Impact Bias in Affective Forecasting

2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (10) ◽  
pp. 1340-1351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatiana Lau ◽  
Carey K. Morewedge ◽  
Mina Cikara
Keyword(s):  
Social Categorization ◽  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Impact Bias

Motivated underpinnings of the impact bias in affective forecasting

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carey K. Morewedge ◽  
Eva C. Buechel ◽  
Joachim Vosgerau
Keyword(s):  
Affective Forecasting ◽  
Impact Bias ◽  
The Impact
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