Response time tests of take-the-best and rational models of decision making

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert M. Nosofsky ◽  
F. Bryan Bergert
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Response Time ◽  
Rational Models ◽  
Take The Best

Performance-Based Adaptive Automation: Number of Task Types and Response Time Measures Triggering Level of Automation Changes

2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-41
Author(s):  
Gloria Calhoun ◽  
Heath Ruff ◽  
Elizabeth Frost ◽  
Sarah Bowman ◽  
Jessica Bartik ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Response Time ◽  
System Performance ◽  
Human Interaction ◽  
Adaptive Automation ◽  
Level Of Automation ◽  
Control Schemes ◽  
Task Types ◽  
A Performance

A key challenge facing automation designers is how to achieve an ideal balance of system automation with human interaction for optimal operator decision making and system performance. A performance-based adaptive automation algorithm was evaluated with two versus six monitored task types. Results illustrate the importance of level of automation choices in control schemes.

Are Cyber Attackers Thinking Fast and Slow? Exploratory Analysis Reveals Evidence of Decision-Making Biases in Red Teamers

2019 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 427-431 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert S. Gutzwiller ◽  
Kimberly J. Ferguson-Walter ◽  
Sunny J. Fugate
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Measurement Techniques ◽  
Observational Evidence ◽  
Experimental Conditions ◽  
Future Directions ◽  
Take The Best ◽  
Behavioral Measurement ◽  
Decision Making Biases

We report on whether cyber attacker behaviors contain decision making biases. Data from a prior experiment were analyzed in an exploratory fashion, making use of think-aloud responses from a small group of red teamers. The analysis provided new observational evidence of traditional decision-making biases in red team behaviors (confirmation bias, anchoring, and take-the-best heuristic use). These biases may disrupt red team decisions and goals, and simultaneously increase their risk of detection. Interestingly, at least part of the bias induction may be related to the use of cyber deception. Future directions include the development of behavioral measurement techniques for these and additional cognitive biases in cyber operators, examining the role of attacker traits, and identifying the conditions where biases can be induced successfully in experimental conditions.

scholarly journals La heurística y la toma de decisiones en empresas de servicios

Oikos ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (38) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Germán Rubio Guerrero ◽  
Fernando Adolfo Fierro Celis
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Bounded Rationality ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Strategic Decisions ◽  
Rational Models ◽  
Toma De Decisiones

RESUMENEl propósito de la investigación fue estudiar los prejuicios y errores en la toma de decisiones y su relación con los modelos racionales en 16 empresas de servicios seleccionadas a juicio de los investigadores en los departamentos de Tolima y Huila, Colombia. Se trató de un estudio mixto quea través del análisis multidimensional, permitió establecer que en estas organizaciones prevalecen los enfoques intuitivos sobre los formales en sus procesos decisionales. Igualmente se evidenciaroncorrelaciones significativas e independencia entre estas variables.Palabras clave: toma de decisiones, decisiones estratégicas, racionalidad, racionalidad limitada,métodos para la toma de decisiones, incertidumbre.The heuristic and the decision making in services companiesABSTRACTThe purpose of this research was to study the prejudices and mistakes in decision making and your relation with the rational models in 6 enterprises of services selected to judgment of the investigators on the departments of Tolima and Huila, Colombia. It was a combined study which through of multivariate analysis, allowed to establish that in these organizations prevail the intuitive approaches over that the formals in their decision making process. Equally significant correlations between these variables and independence were evident.Keywords: decisions making, strategic decisions, heuristic, rationality, bounded rationality, methodsmaking decisions, uncertainty.Heurística e a toma de decisão em empresas de serviços.RESUMOO objetivo da pesquisa foi estudar os preconceitos e erros na toma de decisões e sua relação com os modelos racionais em 16 empresas de serviços, selecionadas segundo o parecer dos pesquisadores dosdepartamentos de Tolima e Huila, na Colômbia. Este foi um estudo misto que a través da análise multidimensional, permitiu estabelecer que nestas organizações prevalecem os enfoques intuitivos por sobre os formais em seus processos de toma de decisão. Da mesma forma, se evidenciaram correlações significativas e independência entre estas variáveis.Palavras-chave: toma de decisões, decisões estratégicas, racionalidade, racionalidade limitada,métodos de toma de decisão, incerteza.

scholarly journals Maintenance Decision-Making of an Urban Rail Transit System in a Regionalized Network-Wide Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 9734
Author(s):  
Baofeng Sun ◽  
Jiaojiao Liu ◽  
Junyi Hao ◽  
Xiuxiu Shen ◽  
Xinhua Mao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Response Time ◽  
Network Design ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Urban Rail Transit ◽  
Rail Transit ◽  
Nsga Ii ◽  
Transit System ◽  
Urban Rail ◽  
Maintenance Decision

The networked operation of Urban Rail Transit (URT) brings the new challenge of network-wide maintenance. This research focuses on the URT Network-Wide Maintenance Decision-Making Problem (URT-NMDP), including regionalized maintenance network design and maintenance resource allocation. In this work, we proposed a bi-objective integer programming model that integrates the characteristics of set coverage and P-median models, resulting in the regionalized maintenance network design model. Some critical factors are considered in the model, such as the importance of node, the maximum failure response time, and maintenance guarantee rules. We designed a NSGA-II based algorithm to solve the model. Moreover, due to the uncertainty of failures in the URT network, we developed the method of allocating maintenance resources based on Monte Carlo simulation to strengthen the reliability of the regionalized maintenance network. With the model and algorithm presented in this work, we obtained Pareto optimal solutions of URT-NMDP, i.e., URT network-wide maintenance planning schemes, which include the number and location of maintenance points, the allocation of demand points, and the amount of maintenance units. Finally, a real-world case is studied to evaluate the operating performance of these schemes for verifying the method in our paper. The results of the case study demonstrate that the reasonable and tested-in-practice maximum failure response time is the precondition for the efficient URT maintenance network. The maintenance scheme considered the weighted importance of node shows the optimal performance, with the shortest overall maintenance path and the minimum average failure response time and investment cost on maintenance resources.

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