Share your opinions on a work-force analysis for psychology

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroyoshi Iwata ◽  
Masato Matsushima ◽  
Takamasa Watanabe ◽  
Yoshifumi Sugiyama ◽  
Kenichi Yokobayashi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Due to the fact that Japan faces the most elderly society in the world, the Japanese government has launched an unprecedented health plan to reinforce home care medicine and increase the number of home care physicians, which means that an understanding of future needs for geriatric home care is vital. However, little is known about the future need for home care physicians. We attempted to estimate the basic need for home care physicians from 2020 to 2060. Methods Our estimation is based on modification of major health work force analysis methods with previously reported official data. Two models were developed to estimate the necessary number of home care physicians: one based on home care patient mortality, the other using physician-patient ratio, working with estimated numbers of home and nursing home deaths from 2020 to 2060. Moreover, the final process considered and adjusted for future changes in the proportion of deaths occurring at home. Results Results were highly concordant between our two models. In every instance, the mortality method’s mid-range estimation was between the physician-patient ratio method’s high- and low-estimations. Furthermore, our estimation is in line with the current number of physicians which was calculated using a different method. Approximately 1.6 times the current 38,000 home care physicians will be needed in Japan in the mid 2030’s, peaking at just above 60,000. However, the need for home care physicians is anticipated to begin to decrease by 2040. Conclusion The results indicate that the importance of home care physicians will rise with the growing elderly population, and that improvements in home care could partially suppress the future need for physicians. After the mid 2030’s, the supply can be reduced gradually, accounting for the decreasing total number of deaths after 2040. In order to provide sufficient home care and terminal care at home, increasing the number of home care physicians is indispensable. However, the unregulated supply of home care physicians will require careful attention in the future.


2013 ◽  
Vol 385-386 ◽  
pp. 150-153
Author(s):  
Ji Man Luo ◽  
Yu Zhen An ◽  
Ming Shan Zhang ◽  
Yue Liu

In order to reduce the cylinder work force on pull tower linkage of self-erecting tower crane, the geometric parameters of hinge points about linkage mechanism were optimized. Through the force analysis to whole system of bar linkage, the cylinder force of bar linkage is regarded as optimization objective function, and the geometric parameters of working devices hinge points are used to variables, then, the optimization model is established. The optimization design is conducted based on the fmincon function of MATLAB optimization toolbox. The curve about force of the cylinder with the towers rotation angle variation can be obtained. Comparison of the results before and after optimization is showed that the maximum force of cylinder is reduced 11.5%. It is shows the optimization method is quickly and effectively. The results of parameter optimization improve the working performance of the self-erecting tower crane.


2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 71-72
Author(s):  
M. JABEEN M. JABEEN ◽  
◽  
Dr. Lalitha Balakrishnan

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