A person-oriented perspective on sexual offenders, offending trajectories, and risk of recidivism: A new challenge for policymakers, risk assessors, and actuarial prediction?

Patrick Lussier; Garth Davies

doi:10.1037/a0024388

A person-oriented perspective on sexual offenders, offending trajectories, and risk of recidivism: A new challenge for policymakers, risk assessors, and actuarial prediction?

Psychology Public Policy and Law ◽

10.1037/a0024388 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 17 (4) ◽

pp. 530-561 ◽

Cited By ~ 44

Author(s):

Patrick Lussier ◽

Garth Davies

Keyword(s):

Sexual Offenders ◽

Offending Trajectories ◽

Actuarial Prediction

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Offense Trajectories, the Unfolding of Sexual and Non-Sexual Criminal Activity, and Sex Offense Characteristics of Adolescent Sex Offenders

Sexual Abuse ◽

10.1177/1079063215580968 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 28 (8) ◽

pp. 791-812 ◽

Cited By ~ 34

Author(s):

Jesse Cale ◽

Stephen Smallbone ◽

Sue Rayment-McHugh ◽

Chris Dowling

Keyword(s):

Sex Offenders ◽

Sexual Offenders ◽

Criminal Activity ◽

Sexual Offense ◽

Adolescent Sexual Offenders ◽

Sexual Offenses ◽

Offending Trajectories ◽

Longitudinal View ◽

Offending Patterns ◽

Sex Offense

The current study examines offending trajectories of adolescent sexual offenders (ASOs). Until recently, classification frameworks have not been designed to account for the heterogeneity of offending patterns in adolescence, how these are associated with the unfolding of sexual and non-sexual criminal activity, and whether and to what extent they are related to the characteristics of sex offenses in adolescence. The current study takes a longitudinal view of offending in adolescence by examining retrospective longitudinal data of 217 ASOs referred for treatment to a clinical service between 2001 and 2009 in Australia. General offending trajectories in adolescence were examined using semi-parametric group-based modeling, and compared according to non-violent non-sexual, violent-non-sexual, and sex offending criminal activity parameters (e.g., participation, onset, frequency, specialization/versatility) and the characteristics of the referral sexual offense. The results show distinct differences in the unfolding of sexual and non-sexual criminal activity along different offending trajectories of ASOs, and further, that these trajectories were differentially associated with the characteristics of the sexual offenses they committed.

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