Ice Sheets, Sea Level and the Dynamic Earth

10.1029/gd029 ◽  
2002 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets

Relative control of bedrock roughness versus topography on global glacier bed friction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivier Gagliardini ◽  
Fabien Gillet-Chaulet ◽  
Florent Gimbert
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Inverse Method ◽  
Ad Hoc ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Grid Resolution ◽  
Classical Approach ◽  
Bed Topography ◽  
Bed Friction

<p>Friction at the base of ice-sheets has been shown to be one of the largest uncertainty of model projections for the contribution of ice-sheet to future sea level rise. On hard beds, most of the apparent friction is the result of ice flowing over the bumps that have a size smaller than described by the grid resolution of ice-sheet models. To account for this friction, the classical approach is to replace this under resolved roughness by an ad-hoc friction law. In an imaginary world of unlimited computing resource and highly resolved bedrock DEM, one should solve for all bed roughnesses assuming pure sliding at the bedrock-ice interface. If such solutions are not affordable at the scale of an ice-sheet or even at the scale of a glacier, the effect of small bumps can be inferred using synthetical periodic geometry. In this presentation,<span>  </span>beds are constructed using the superposition of up to five bed geometries made of sinusoidal bumps of decreasing wavelength and amplitudes. The contribution to the total friction of all five beds is evaluated by inverse methods using the most resolved solution as observation. It is shown that small features of few meters can contribute up to almost half of the total friction, depending on the wavelengths and amplitudes distribution. This work also confirms that the basal friction inferred using inverse method<span>  </span>is very sensitive to how the bed topography is described by the model grid, and therefore depends on the size of the model grid itself.<span> </span></p>

scholarly journals Glacial Isostatic Adjustment modelling: historical perspectives, recent advances, and future directions

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pippa L. Whitehouse
Keyword(s):  
Solid Earth ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Measurement Techniques ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Order Effects ◽  
System Modelling ◽  
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment ◽  
Future Directions ◽  
Historical Perspectives ◽  
Isostatic Adjustment

Abstract. Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) describes the response of the solid Earth, the gravitational field, and consequently the oceans to the growth and decay of the global ice sheets. It is a process that takes place relatively rapidly, triggering 100 m-scale changes in sea level and solid Earth deformation over just a few tens of thousands of years. Indeed, the first-order effects of GIA could already be quantified several hundred years ago without reliance on precise measurement techniques and scientists have been developing a unifying theory for the observations for over 200 years. Progress towards this goal required a number of significant breakthroughs to be made, including the recognition that ice sheets were once more extensive, the solid Earth changes shape over time, and gravity plays a central role in determining the pattern of sea-level change. This article describes in detail the historical development of the field of GIA and an overview of the processes involved. Significant recent progress has been made as concepts associated with GIA have begun to be incorporated into parallel fields of research; these advances are discussed, along with the role that GIA is likely to play in addressing outstanding research questions within the field of Earth system modelling.

scholarly journals Last Interglacial climate and sea-level evolution from a coupled ice sheet–climate model

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2195-2213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heiko Goelzer ◽  
Philippe Huybrechts ◽  
Marie-France Loutre ◽  
Thierry Fichefet
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Last Interglacial ◽  
A Minor ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
And Sea Level

Abstract. As the most recent warm period in Earth's history with a sea-level stand higher than present, the Last Interglacial (LIG,  ∼  130 to 115 kyr BP) is often considered a prime example to study the impact of a warmer climate on the two polar ice sheets remaining today. Here we simulate the Last Interglacial climate, ice sheet, and sea-level evolution with the Earth system model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM v.1.3, which includes dynamic and fully coupled components representing the atmosphere, the ocean and sea ice, the terrestrial biosphere, and the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. In this setup, sea-level evolution and climate–ice sheet interactions are modelled in a consistent framework.Surface mass balance change governed by changes in surface meltwater runoff is the dominant forcing for the Greenland ice sheet, which shows a peak sea-level contribution of 1.4 m at 123 kyr BP in the reference experiment. Our results indicate that ice sheet–climate feedbacks play an important role to amplify climate and sea-level changes in the Northern Hemisphere. The sensitivity of the Greenland ice sheet to surface temperature changes considerably increases when interactive albedo changes are considered. Southern Hemisphere polar and sub-polar ocean warming is limited throughout the Last Interglacial, and surface and sub-shelf melting exerts only a minor control on the Antarctic sea-level contribution with a peak of 4.4 m at 125 kyr BP. Retreat of the Antarctic ice sheet at the onset of the LIG is mainly forced by rising sea level and to a lesser extent by reduced ice shelf viscosity as the surface temperature increases. Global sea level shows a peak of 5.3 m at 124.5 kyr BP, which includes a minor contribution of 0.35 m from oceanic thermal expansion. Neither the individual contributions nor the total modelled sea-level stand show fast multi-millennial timescale variations as indicated by some reconstructions.

The response of large ice sheets to climatic change

1992 ◽  
Vol 338 (1285) ◽  
pp. 235-242 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Environmental Models ◽  
Level Change ◽  
The Antarctic

The prediction of short-term (100 year) changes in the mass balance of ice sheets and longer-term (1000 years) variations in their ice volumes is important for a range of climatic and environmental models. The Antarctic ice sheet contains between 24 M km 3 and 29 M km 3 of ice, equivalent to a eustatic sea level change of between 60m and 72m. The annual surface accumulation is estimated to be of the order of 2200 Gtonnes, equivalent to a sea level change of 6 mm a -1 . Analysis of the present-day accumulation regime of Antarctica indicates that about 25% ( ca. 500 Gt a -1 ) of snowfall occurs in the Antarctic Peninsula region with an area of only 6.8% of the continent. To date most models have focused upon solving predictive algorithms for the climate-sensitivity of the ice sheet, and assume: (i) surface mass balance is equivalent to accumulation (i.e. no melting, evaporation or deflation); (ii) percentage change in accumulation is proportional to change in saturation mixing ratio above the surface inversion layer; and (iii) there is a linear relation between mean annual surface air tem perature and saturation mixing ratio. For the A ntarctic Peninsula with mountainous terrain containing ice caps, outlet glaciers, valley glaciers and ice shelves, where there can be significant ablation at low levels and distinct climatic regimes, models of the climate response must be more complex. In addition, owing to the high accumulation and flow rates, even short- to medium -term predictions must take account of ice dynamics. Relationships are derived for the mass balance sensitivity and, using a model developed by Hindmarsh, the transient effects of ice dynamics are estimated. It is suggested that for a 2°C rise in mean annual surface tem perature over 40 years, ablation in the A ntarctic Peninsula region would contribute at least 1.0 mm to sea level rise, offsetting the fall of 0.5 mm contributed by increased accum ulation.

New Space Observation of the Global Cryosphere

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhitong Yu ◽  
Luojia Hu ◽  
Yan Huang ◽  
Rong Ma ◽  
Peng Xiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Rapid Change ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Dynamic Monitoring ◽  
Observation System ◽  
Polar Ice ◽  
Polar Ice Sheets ◽  
New Space ◽  
Wide Swath

<p>Quantifying changes in Earth’s ice sheets and identifying the climate drivers are central to improving sea level projections. But it is a pity that the future sea level is difficult to predicted. Space observation can provide global multiscale long-term continuous monitoring data. And it is very important for understanding intrinsic mechanisms, improve models and projections and analyze the impacts on human civilization.</p><p>Several satellites are applied for Global Cryosphere Watch, including sea ice extent and concentration, ice sheet elevation, glacier area and velocity. Although there are many variable can be measured by satellite sensors. But several variables need to improve the observing capability and developing new methods. Such as snow depth on ice, ice sheets thickness, and permafrost parameters. China has established high-resolution earth observation system to realize stereopsis and dynamic monitoring of the lands, the oceans and the atmosphere.</p><p>Currently, Qian Xuesen Laboratory working together with Sun Yat-sen University, is trying to design a new space observation system to support Three Poles Environment and Climate Changes project. We are conceptualizing two series satellites including FluxSats and BingSats for carbon/water cycle and cryosphere observations, respectively. To clarify the mechanism of the cryosphere carbon release and carbon sink effects of the oceans and ecosystems. We are developing a new lidar system for detecting the concentration and wind speed, and then atmospheric boundary layer flux exchange can be estimated. To understand the rapid change of the sea ice, such as drift, fragmentation and freeze. We need a short revisit and wide swath system capabilities. InSAR technology gives the digitial elevation of the ice surface. And temporal difference InSAR (DInSAR) shows the changes of elevation. BingSAT-Tomographic Observation of Polar Ice Sheets (TOPIS) achieves the tomographic observation of polar ice sheets with a wide swath and short revisit time. Over the polar regions, the CubeSats form a large cross-track baseline with the master satellite to realize the high two-dimensional spatial resolution with the along-track synthetic aperture. The MirrorSAR technology is utilized in BingSat-TOPIS to achieve time and phase synchronization more economically than the traditional bistatic radar. Sparse array and digital beamforming are also considered to significantly reduce the number of microsatellites, and achieve tomographic images of polar ice sheets.</p>

Parameters controlling mid-Holocene highstand in Glacial Isostatic Adjustment modelling

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tanghua Li ◽  
Stephen Chua ◽  
Nicole Khan ◽  
Patrick Wu ◽  
Benjamin Horton
Keyword(s):  
Southeast Asia ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Late Holocene ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Thickness Variation ◽  
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment ◽  
Lithospheric Thickness ◽  
Isostatic Adjustment ◽  
Mantle Viscosity ◽  
Open Questions

<p>Holocene relative sea-level (RSL) records from regions distal from ice sheets (far-field) are commonly characterized by a mid-Holocene highstand, when RSL reached higher than present levels. The magnitude and timing of the mid-Holocene highstand varies spatially due to hydro-isostatic processes including ocean syphoning and continental levering. While there are open questions regarding the timing, magnitude and source of ice-equivalent sea level in the middle to late Holocene.</p><p>Here, we compare Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) model predictions to a standardized database of sea-level index points (SLIPs) from Southeast Asia where we have near-complete Holocene records. The database has more than 130 SLIPs that span the time period from ~9.5 ka BP to present. We investigate the sensitivity of mid-Holocene RSL predictions to GIA parameters, including the lateral lithospheric thickness variation, mantle viscosity (both 1D and 3D), and deglaciation history from different ice sheets (e.g., Laurentide, Fennoscandia, Antarctica).</p><p>We compute gravitationally self-consistent RSL histories for the GIA model with time dependent coastlines and rotational feedback using the Coupled Laplace-Finite Element Method. The preliminary results show that the timing of the highstand is mainly controlled by the deglaciation history (ice-equivalent sea level), while the magnitude is dominated by Earth parameters (e.g., lithospheric thickness, mantle viscosity). We further investigate whether there is meltwater input during middle to late Holocene and whether the RSL records from Southeast Asia can reveal the meltwater source, like Antarctica.</p>

GlacierMIP3 global glacier mass change equilibration experiments - rationale and experimental design

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Zekollari ◽  
Regine Hock ◽  
Ben Marzeion ◽  
Fabien Maussion ◽  
Lilian Schuster ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Experimental Design ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Mass Change ◽  
Glacier Mass Balance ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Equilibrium Volume ◽  
Global Mean

<p>Glaciers outside the ice sheets are major contributors to today’s sea-level rise and are projected to remain so in the coming century. With the goal to better assess the future sea-level contribution from glaciers and to quantify related uncertainties, the Glacier Model Intercomparison Project (GlacierMIP) has set out to develop a series of coordinated experiments to be run as a community-wide effort.</p><p>The first two phases of the GlacierMIP have focused on the evolution of glaciers throughout the 21<sup>st</sup> century (Hock et al., 2019; Marzeion et al., 2020). In the third phase of GlacierMIP (GlacierMIP3 – equilibration), a new set of experiments has been designed to investigate the equilibration of glaciers under constant climate conditions. These experiments will allow us to answer the following fundamental questions:</p><p>1. What would be the equilibrium volume and area of all glaciers outside the ice sheets if global mean temperatures were to stabilize at present-day levels?</p><p>2. What would be the equilibrium volume and area of all glaciers outside the ice sheets if global mean temperatures were to stabilize at different temperature levels (e.g. +1.5, +2, relative to pre-industrial)?</p><p>3. For each of these global mean temperature stabilization scenarios, how much time would the glaciers need to reach their new equilibrium?</p><p>In this contribution, we present the experimental design of GlacierMIP3 and open up the floor for ideas and discussions about possible processing of these experiments. We also invite interested individuals and groups to join us to discuss the possibility of their model to be included in the newest phase of GlacierMIP.</p><p> </p><p><strong>References</strong></p><p><strong>GlacierMIP1</strong>: Hock, R., Bliss, A., Marzeion, B., Giesen, R.H., Hirabayashi, Y., Huss, M., Radic, V., Slangen, A.B.A. (2019), GlacierMIP – A model intercomparison of global-scale glacier mass-balance models and projections, Journal of Glaciology 65(251), 453-467, doi: 10.1017/jog.2019.22</p><p><strong>GlacierMIP2</strong>: Marzeion, B., Hock, R., Anderson, B., Bliss, A., Champollion, N., Fujita, K., Huss, M., Immerzeel, W., Kraaijenbrink, P., Malles, J-H., Maussion, F., Radic, V., Rounce, D.R., Sakai, A., Shannon, S., van de Wal, R., Zekollari, H. (2020), Partitioning the Uncertainty of Ensemble Projections of Global Glacier Mass Change, Earth’s Future 8(7), e2019EF001470, doi: 10.1029/2019EF001470</p>

Bayesian analysis of sea-level sensitivity to CO2 forcing across the mid-Pleistocene transition: possible implications for early-Pleistocene ice-sheet extent

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Parker Liautaud ◽  
Peter Huybers
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Bayesian Analysis ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Late Pleistocene ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Early Pleistocene ◽  
Middle Pleistocene ◽  
Model Parameters

<p><span>Foregoing studies have found that sea-level transitioned to becoming approximately twice as sensitive to CO</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span> radiative forcing between the early and late Pleistocene (Chalk et al., 2017; Dyez et al., 2018). In this study we analyze the relationships among sea-level, orbital variations, and CO</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span> observations in a time-dependent, zonally-averaged energy balance model having a simple ice sheet. Probability distributions for model parameters are inferred using a hierarchical Bayesian method representing model and data uncertainties, including those arising from uncertain geological age models. We find that well-established nonlinearities in the climate system can explain sea-level becoming 2.5x (2.1x - 4.5x) more sensitive to radiative forcing between 2 and 0 Ma. Denial-of-mechanism experiments show that the increase in sensitivity is diminished by 36% (31% - 39%) if omitting geometric effects associated with thickening of a larger ice sheet, by 81% (73% - 92%) if omitting the ice-albedo feedback, and by more than 96% (93% - 98%) if omitting both. We also show that prescribing a fixed sea-level age model leads to different inferences of ice-sheet dimension, planetary albedo, and lags in the response to radiative forcing than if using a more complete approach in which sea-level ages are jointly inferred with model physics. Consistency of the model ice-sheet with geologic constraints on the southern terminus of the Laurentide ice sheet can be obtained by prescribing lower basal shear stress during the early Pleistocene, but such more-expansive ice sheets imply lower CO</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span> levels than would an ice-sheet having the same aspect ratio as in the late Pleistocene, exacerbating disagreements with </span><span>𝛿</span><span><sup>11</sup></span><span>B-derived CO</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span> estimates. These results raise a number of possibilities, including that (1) geologic evidence for expansive early-Pleistocene ice sheets represents only intermittent and spatially-limited ice-margin advances, (2) </span><span>𝛿</span><span><sup>11</sup></span><span>B-derived CO</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span> reconstructions are biased high, or (3) that another component of the global energy balance system, such as the average ice albedo or a process not included in our model, also changed through the middle Pleistocene. Future work will seek to better constrain early-Pleistocene CO</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span> levels by way of a more complete incorporation of proxy uncertainties and biases into the Bayesian analysis.</span></p>

scholarly journals Present and future mass balance of the ice sheets simulated with GCM

1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 187-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atsumu Ohmura ◽  
Martin Wild ◽  
Lennart Bengtsson
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Sea Water ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Internal Surface ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Specific Mass ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Equivalent Time

A high-resolution GCM ECHAM3 T106 was used to simulate the climates of the present and of the future under doubled CO2The ECHAM3 T106 was integrated for an equivalent time of 5 years (1) with the observed SST of the 1980s and (2) with the SST for the 2 × CO2climate generated from the ECHAM1 T21 coupled transient experiment. The main motivation for using the GCM to simulate the mass balance is the level of skill in simulating precipitation and accumulation recently achieved in the high-resolution GCM experiment. The ablation is computed, based on the GCM internal surface fluxes and the temperature/ablation relationship formulated on the Greenland field data. The two ice sheets show very different reactions towards doubling the CO2. As the decrease in accumulation and the increase in ablation in Greenland cause an annual mean specific mass balance of −225 mm (eq. −390 km3), the increase in accumulation and virtually non-melt conditions in Antarctica result in a mean annual specific mass balance of + 23 mm (eq. + 325 km3). The sum of the mass balance on both ice sheets is equivalent to the annual sea-level rise of 0.2 mm. This experiment shows that other mechanisms for sea-level change, such as the thermal expansion of the sea water and the melt of small mountain glaciers, will remain important in the coming century.

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