scholarly journals Seasonal Predictability of Global and North American Coastal Sea Surface Temperature and Height Anomalies

Author(s):  
Sang‐Ik Shin ◽  
Matthew Newman
2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (19) ◽  
pp. 6271-6284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaofan Li ◽  
Zeng-Zhen Hu ◽  
Ping Liang ◽  
Jieshun Zhu

Abstract In this work, the roles of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the variability and predictability of the Pacific–North American (PNA) pattern and precipitation in North America in winter are examined. It is noted that statistically about 29% of the variance of PNA is linearly linked to ENSO, while the remaining 71% of the variance of PNA might be explained by other processes, including atmospheric internal dynamics and sea surface temperature variations in the North Pacific. The ENSO impact is mainly meridional from the tropics to the mid–high latitudes, while a major fraction of the non-ENSO variability associated with PNA is confined in the zonal direction from the North Pacific to the North American continent. Such interferential connection on PNA as well as on North American climate variability may reflect a competition between local internal dynamical processes (unpredictable fraction) and remote forcing (predictable fraction). Model responses to observed sea surface temperature and model forecasts confirm that the remote forcing is mainly associated with ENSO and it is the major source of predictability of PNA and winter precipitation in North America.


Elem Sci Anth ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew C. Thomas ◽  
Andrew J. Pershing ◽  
Kevin D. Friedland ◽  
Janet A. Nye ◽  
Katherine E. Mills ◽  
...  

The northeastern North American continental shelf from Cape Hatteras to the Scotian Shelf is a region of globally extreme positive trends in sea surface temperature (SST). Here, a 33-year (1982–2014) time series of daily satellite SST data was used to quantify and map spatial patterns in SST trends and phenology over this shelf. Strongest trends are over the Scotian Shelf (>0.6°C decade–1) and Gulf of Maine (>0.4°C decade–1) with weaker trends over the inner Mid-Atlantic Bight (~0.3°C decade–1). Winter (January–April) trends are relatively weak, and even negative in some areas; early summer (May–June) trends are positive everywhere, and later summer (July–September) trends are strongest (~1.0°C decade–1). These seasonal differences shift the phenology of many metrics of the SST cycle. The yearday on which specific temperature thresholds (8° and 12°C) are reached in spring trends earlier, most strongly over the Scotian Shelf and Gulf of Maine (~ –0.5 days year–1). Three metrics defining the warmest summer period show significant trends towards earlier summer starts, later summer ends and longer summer duration over the entire study region. Trends in start and end dates are strongest (~1 day year–1) over the Gulf of Maine and Scotian Shelf. Trends in increased summer duration are >2.0 days year–1 in parts of the Gulf of Maine. Regression analyses show that phenology trends have regionally varying links to the North Atlantic Oscillation, to local spring and summer atmospheric pressure and air temperature and to Gulf Stream position. For effective monitoring and management of dynamically heterogeneous shelf regions, the results highlight the need to quantify spatial and seasonal differences in SST trends as well as trends in SST phenology, each of which likely has implications for the ecological functioning of the shelf.


2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
M. T. Sicard -González ◽  
M. A. Tripp -Valdéz ◽  
L. Ocampo ◽  
A. N. Maeda -Martínez ◽  
S. E. Lluch -Cota

Registros costeros de temperatura superficial del mar en la Península de Baja California El análisis de series ambientales de temperatura de alta resolución temporal en las zonas costeras permitirá caracterizar mejor las formas y escalas de variación. Las bases de datos disponibles actualmente carecen de suficiente resolución para detectar variaciones ambientales a escalas de horas y días. En este trabajo damos a conocer una colección de registros de alta frecuencia de diversos sitios a lo largo de las costas de la Península de Baja California. Hasta el momento se tienen 47 sitios; sin embargo, esta red de monitoreo pretende expandirse con el objetivo de generar bases de datos de acceso público y gratuito, proporcionando una valiosa herramienta no solo para la investigación, sino también para aplicaciones como la producción acuícola.


2015 ◽  
Vol 141 (692) ◽  
pp. 2760-2775 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajib Chattopadhyay ◽  
R. Phani ◽  
C. T. Sabeerali ◽  
A. R. Dhakate ◽  
K. D. Salunke ◽  
...  

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