scholarly journals When Less Is More: Opening the Door to Simpler Climate Models

Eos ◽  
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Polvani ◽  
A. Clement ◽  
B. Medeiros ◽  
J. Benedict ◽  
I. Simpson
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Less Is More ◽  
System Models ◽  
Model Project ◽  
Community Earth System Model ◽  
Earth System Models

Earth system models are resource intensive and complex. To cut through this complexity, the Community Earth System Model project will now be embracing a hierarchy of simpler climate models.

scholarly journals A comprehensive assessment of tropical stratospheric upwelling in the specified dynamics Community Earth System Model 1.2.2 – Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (CESM (WACCM))

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 717-734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas A. Davis ◽  
Sean M. Davis ◽  
Robert W. Portmann ◽  
Eric Ray ◽  
Karen H. Rosenlof ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Mean Meridional Circulation ◽  
Community Earth System Model ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Wave Momentum

Abstract. Specified dynamics (SD) schemes relax the circulation in climate models toward a reference meteorology to simulate historical variability. These simulations are widely used to isolate the dynamical contributions to variability and trends in trace gas species. However, it is not clear if trends in the stratospheric overturning circulation are properly reproduced by SD schemes. This study assesses numerous SD schemes and modeling choices in the Community Earth System Model (CESM) Whole Atmosphere Chemistry Climate Model (WACCM) to determine a set of best practices for reproducing interannual variability and trends in tropical stratospheric upwelling estimated by reanalyses. Nudging toward the reanalysis meteorology as is typically done in SD simulations does not accurately reproduce lower-stratospheric upwelling trends present in the underlying reanalysis. In contrast, nudging to anomalies from the climatological winds or anomalies from the zonal-mean winds and temperatures better reproduces trends in lower-stratospheric upwelling, possibly because these schemes do not disrupt WACCM's climatology. None of the schemes substantially alter the structure of upwelling trends – instead, they make the trends more or less AMIP-like. An SD scheme's performance in simulating the acceleration of the shallow branch of the mean meridional circulation from 1980 to 2017 hinges on its ability to simulate the downward shift of subtropical lower-stratospheric wave momentum forcing. Key to this is not nudging the zonal-mean temperature field. Gravity wave momentum forcing, which drives a substantial fraction of the upwelling in WACCM, cannot be constrained by nudging and presents an upper limit on the performance of these schemes.

scholarly journals Improving the representation of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in climate models: impact of a new parameterization for the Community Earth System Model (CESM)

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 1045-1062 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrés Navarro ◽  
Raúl Moreno ◽  
Francisco J. Tapiador
Keyword(s):  
Human Activities ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Grid Point ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Pollutant Emissions ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Community Earth System Model

Abstract. ESMs (Earth system models) are important tools that help scientists understand the complexities of the Earth's climate. Advances in computing power have permitted the development of increasingly complex ESMs and the introduction of better, more accurate parameterizations of processes that are too complex to be described in detail. One of the least well-controlled parameterizations involves human activities and their direct impact at local and regional scales. In order to improve the direct representation of human activities and climate, we have developed a simple, scalable approach that we have named the POPEM module (POpulation Parameterization for Earth Models). This module computes monthly fossil fuel emissions at grid-point scale using the modeled population projections. This paper shows how integrating POPEM parameterization into the CESM (Community Earth System Model) enhances the realism of global climate modeling, improving this beyond simpler approaches. The results show that it is indeed advantageous to model CO2 emissions and pollutants directly at model grid points rather than using the same mean value globally. A major bonus of this approach is the increased capacity to understand the potential effects of localized pollutant emissions on long-term global climate statistics, thus assisting adaptation and mitigation policies.

scholarly journals Analysis of Secondary Organic Aerosol Simulation Bias in the Community Earth System Model (CESM2.1)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaman Liu ◽  
Xinyi Dong ◽  
Minghuai Wang ◽  
Louisa K. Emmons ◽  
Yawen Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Secondary Organic Aerosol ◽  
Organic Aerosol ◽  
The United States ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
Basis Set ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Model Version ◽  
Community Earth System Model

Abstract. Organic aerosol (OA) has been considered as one of the most important uncertainties in climate modeling due to the complexity in presenting its chemical production and depletion mechanisms. To better understand the capability of climate models and probe into the associated uncertainties in simulating OA, we evaluate the Community Earth System Model version 2.1 (CESM2.1) configured with the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) with comprehensive tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry representation (CAM6-Chem), through a long-term simulation (1988–2019) with observations collected from multiple datasets in the United States. We find that CESM generally reproduces the inter-annual variation and seasonal cycle of OA mass concentration at surface layer with correlation of 0.40 as compared to ground observations, and systematically overestimates (69 %) in summer and underestimates (−19 %) in winter. Through a series of sensitivity simulations, we reveal that modeling bias is primarily related to the dominant fraction of monoterpene-formed secondary organic aerosol (SOA), and a strong positive correlation of 0.67 is found between monoterpene emission and modeling bias in eastern US during summer. In terms of vertical profile, the model prominently underestimates OA and monoterpene concentrations by 37–99 % and 82–99 % respectively in the upper air (> 500 m) as validated against aircraft observations. Our study suggests that the current Volatility Basis Set (VBS) scheme applied in CESM might be parameterized with too high monoterpene SOA yields which subsequently result in strong SOA production near emission source area. We also find that the model has difficulty in reproducing the decreasing trend of surface OA in southeast US, probably because of employing pure gas VBS to represent isoprene SOA which is in reality mainly formed through multiphase chemistry, thus the influence of aerosol acidity and sulfate particle change on isoprene SOA formation has not been fully considered in the model. This study reveals the urgent need to improve the SOA modeling in climate models.

scholarly journals OMEN-SED 0.9: A novel, numerically efficient organic matter sediment diagenesis module for coupling to Earth system models

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominik Hülse ◽  
Sandra Arndt ◽  
Stuart Daines ◽  
Pierre Regnier ◽  
Andy Ridgwell
Keyword(s):  
Organic Matter ◽  
Marine Sediments ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Model Framework ◽  
System Models ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Earth System Models ◽  
Sediment Model

Abstract. We present the first version of OMEN-SED (Organic Matter ENabled SEDiment model), a new, one-dimensional analytical early diagenetic model resolving organic matter cycling and associated biogeochemical dynamics in marine sediments designed to be coupled to Earth system models. OMEN-SED explicitly describes organic matter (OM) cycling as well as associated dynamics of the most important terminal electron acceptors (i.e. O2, NO3, SO4) and methane (CH4), related reduced substances (NH4, H2S), macronutrients (PO4) and associated pore water quantities (ALK, DIC). Its reaction network accounts for the most important primary and secondary redox reactions, equilibrium reactions, mineral dissolution and precipitation, as well as adsorption and desorption processes associated with OM dynamics that affect the dissolved and solid species explicitly resolved in the model. To represent a redox-dependent sedimentary P cycle we also include a representation of the formation and burial of Fe-bound P and authigenic Ca-P minerals. Thus, OMEN-SED is able to capture the main features of diagenetic dynamics in marine sediments and, therefore, offers similar predictive abilities than a complex, numerical diagenetic model. Yet, its computational efficiency allows its coupling to global Earth system models and therefore the investigation of coupled global biogeochemical dynamics over a wide range of climate relevant timescales. This paper provides a detailed description of the new sediment model, an extensive sensitivity analysis, as well as an evaluation of OMEN-SED's performance through comprehensive comparisons with observations and results from a more complex numerical model. We find solid phase and dissolved pore water profiles for different ocean depths are reproduced with good accuracy and simulated terminal electron acceptor fluxes fall well within the range of globally observed fluxes. Finally, we illustrate its application in an Earth system model framework by coupling OMEN-SED to the Earth system model cGENIE and tune the OM degradation rate constants to optimise the fit of simulated benthic OM contents to global observations. We find simulated sediment characteristics of the coupled model framework, such as OM degradation rates, oxygen penetration depths and sediment-water interface fluxes are generally in good agreement with observations and in line with what one would expect on a global scale. Coupled to an Earth system model, OMEN-SED is thus a powerful tool that will not only help elucidate the role of benthic-pelagic exchange processes in the evolution and, in particular, the termination of a wide range of climate events, but will also allow a direct comparison of model output with the sedimentary record – the most important climate archive on Earth.

scholarly journals Improving the representation of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in climate models: a new parameterization for the Community Earth System Model (CESM)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrés Navarro ◽  
Raúl Moreno ◽  
Francisco J. Tapiador
Keyword(s):  
Human Activities ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Grid Point ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Pollutant Emissions ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Community Earth System Model

Abstract. ESMs (Earth System Models) are important tools that help scientists understand the complexities of the Earth's climate. Advances in computing power have permitted the development of increasingly complex ESMs and the introduction of better, more accurate parameterizations of processes that are too complex to be described in detail. One of the least well-controlled parameterizations involves human activities and their direct impact at local and regional scales. In order to improve the direct representation of human activities and climate, we have developed a simple, scalable approach that we have named the POPEM module (POpulation Parameterization for Earth Models). This module computes monthly fossil fuel emissions at grid point scale using the modeled population projections. This paper shows how integrating POPEM parameterization into the CESM (Community Earth System Model) enhances the realism of global climate modeling, improving this beyond simpler approaches. The results show that it is indeed advantageous to model CO2 emissions and pollutants directly at model grid points rather than using the forcing approach. A major bonus of this approach is the increased capacity to understand the potential effects of localized pollutant emissions on long-term global climate statistics, thus assisting adaptation and mitigation policies.

scholarly journals Unstructured global to coastal wave modeling for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model using WAVEWATCH III version 6.07

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 2917-2938
Author(s):  
Steven R. Brus ◽  
Phillip J. Wolfram ◽  
Luke P. Van Roekel ◽  
Jessica D. Meixner
Keyword(s):  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Wave Modeling ◽  
Wavewatch Iii ◽  
Computational Costs ◽  
System Models ◽  
The Us ◽  
Wave Models ◽  
Earth System Models

Abstract. Wind-wave processes have generally been excluded from coupled Earth system models due to the high computational expense of spectral wave models, which resolve a frequency and direction spectrum of waves across space and time. Existing uniform-resolution wave modeling approaches used in Earth system models cannot appropriately represent wave climates from global to coastal ocean scales, largely because of tradeoffs between coastal resolution and computational costs. To resolve this challenge, we introduce a global unstructured mesh capability for the WAVEWATCH III (WW3) model that is suitable for coupling within the US Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). The new unstructured WW3 global wave modeling approach can provide the accuracy of higher global resolutions in coastal areas at the relative cost of lower uniform global resolutions. This new capability enables simulation of waves at physically relevant scales as needed for coastal applications.

scholarly journals Analysis of Secondary Organic Aerosol Simulation Bias in the Community Earth System Model (CESM2.1)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaman Liu ◽  
Xinyi Dong ◽  
Minghuai Wang ◽  
Louisa Emmons ◽  
Yawen Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Secondary Organic Aerosol ◽  
Organic Aerosol ◽  
The United States ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
Basis Set ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Model Version ◽  
Community Earth System Model

&lt;p&gt;Organic aerosol (OA) has been considered as one of the most important uncertainties in climate modeling due to the complexity in presenting its chemical production and depletion mechanisms. To better understand the capability of climate models and probe into the associated uncertainties in simulating OA, we evaluate the Community Earth System Model version 2.1 (CESM2.1) configured with the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) with comprehensive tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry representation (CAM6-Chem), through a long-term simulation (1988&amp;#8211;2019) with observations collected from multiple datasets in the United States. We find that CESM generally reproduces the inter-annual variation and seasonal cycle of OA mass concentration at surface layer with correlation of 0.40 as compared to ground observations, and systematically overestimates (69 %) in summer and underestimates (-19 %) in winter. Through a series of sensitivity simulations, we reveal that modeling bias is primarily related to the dominant fraction of monoterpene-formed secondary organic aerosol (SOA), and a strong positive correlation of 0.67 is found between monoterpene emission and modeling bias in eastern US during summer. In terms of vertical profile, the model prominently underestimates OA and monoterpene concentrations by 37&amp;#8211;99 % and 82&amp;#8211;99 % respectively in the upper air (&gt;500 m) as validated against aircraft observations. Our study suggests that the current Volatility Basis Set (VBS) scheme applied in CESM might be parameterized with too high monoterpene SOA yields which subsequently result in strong SOA production near emission source area. We also find that the model has difficulty in reproducing the decreasing trend of surface OA in southeast US, probably because of employing pure gas VBS to represent isoprene SOA which is in reality mainly formed through multiphase chemistry, thus the influence of aerosol acidity and sulfate particle change on isoprene SOA formation has not been fully considered in the model. This study reveals the urgent need to improve the SOA modeling in climate models.&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals Unstructured global to coastal wave modeling for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model using WAVEWATCHIII version 6.07

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven R. Brus ◽  
Phillip J. Wolfram ◽  
Luke P. Van Roekel ◽  
Jessica D. Meixner
Keyword(s):  
Wind Wave ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Wave Processes ◽  
Wave Modeling ◽  
Computational Costs ◽  
System Models ◽  
Wave Models ◽  
Earth System Models

Abstract. Wind-wave processes have generally been excluded from coupled Earth system models due to the high computational expense of spectral wave models, which resolve a frequency and direction spectrum of waves across space and time. Existing uniform-resolution wave modeling approaches used in Earth system models cannot appropriately represent wave climates from global to coastal ocean scales, largely because of tradeoffs between coastal resolution and computational costs. To resolve this challenge, we introduce a global unstructured mesh capability for the WAVEWATCHIII (WW3) model that is suitable for coupling within the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). The new unstructured WW3 global wave modeling approach can provide the accuracy of higher global resolutions in coastal areas at the relative cost of lower uniform global resolutions. This new capability enables simulation of waves at physically relevant scales as needed for coastal applications.

scholarly journals Greenland Surface Mass Balance as Simulated by the Community Earth System Model. Part I: Model Evaluation and 1850–2005 Results

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (20) ◽  
pp. 7793-7812 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miren Vizcaíno ◽  
William H. Lipscomb ◽  
William J. Sacks ◽  
Jan H. van Angelen ◽  
Bert Wouters ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Community Earth System Model

Abstract The modeling of the surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) requires high-resolution models in order to capture the observed large gradients in the steep marginal areas. Until now, global climate models have not been considered suitable to model ice sheet SMB owing to model biases and insufficient resolution. This study analyzes the GIS SMB simulated for the period 1850–2005 by the Community Earth System Model (CESM), which includes a new ice sheet component with multiple elevation classes for SMB calculations. The model is evaluated against observational data and output from the regional model Regional Atmospheric Climate Model version 2 (RACMO2). Because of a lack of major climate biases, a sophisticated calculation of snow processes (including surface albedo evolution) and an adequate downscaling technique, CESM is able to realistically simulate GIS surface climate and SMB. CESM SMB agrees reasonably well with in situ data from 475 locations (r = 0.80) and output from RACMO2 (r = 0.79). The simulated mean SMB for 1960–2005 is 359 ± 120 Gt yr−1 in the range of estimates from regional climate models. The simulated seasonal mass variability is comparable with mass observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), with synchronous annual maximum (May) and minimum (August–September) and similar amplitudes of the seasonal cycle. CESM is able to simulate the bands of precipitation maxima along the southeast and northwest margins, but absolute precipitation rates are underestimated along the southeastern margin and overestimated in the high interior. The model correctly simulates the major ablation areas. Total refreezing represents 35% of the available liquid water (the sum of rain and melt).

scholarly journals Present-day and future Greenland Ice Sheet precipitation frequency from CloudSat observations and the Community Earth System Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 2253-2265
Author(s):  
Jan T. M. Lenaerts ◽  
M. Drew Camron ◽  
Christopher R. Wyburn-Powell ◽  
Jennifer E. Kay
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Precipitation Frequency ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Rainfall Frequency ◽  
Community Earth System Model

Abstract. The dominant mass input component of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is precipitation, whose amounts and phase are poorly constrained by observations. Here we use spaceborne radar observations from CloudSat to map the precipitation frequency and phase on the GrIS, and we use those observations, in combination with a satellite simulator to enable direct comparison between observations and model, to evaluate present-day precipitation frequency in the Community Earth System Model (CESM). The observations show that substantial variability of snowfall frequency over the GrIS exists, that snowfall occurs throughout the year, and that snowfall frequency peaks in spring and fall. Rainfall is rare over the GrIS and only occurs in regions under 2000 m elevation and in the peak summer season. Although CESM overestimates the rainfall frequency, it reproduces the spatial and seasonal variability of precipitation frequency reasonably well. Driven by the high-emission, worst-case Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario, CESM indicates that rainfall frequency will increase considerably across the GrIS, and will occur at higher elevations, potentially exposing a much larger GrIS area to rain and associated meltwater refreezing, firn warming, and reduced storage capacity. This technique can be applied to evaluate precipitation frequency in other climate models and can aid in planning future satellite campaigns.

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