Influence of El Niño Modoki on spring rainfall over south China

2011 ◽  
Vol 116 (D13) ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Feng ◽  
Jianping Li
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
El Niño Modoki

scholarly journals How Does Shifting Pacific Ocean Warming Modulate on Tropical Cyclone Frequency over the South China Sea?

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (17) ◽  
pp. 4695-4700 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guanghua Chen
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
South China Sea ◽  
South China ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Ocean Warming ◽  
The South China Sea ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
El Niño Modoki

The different modulation of El Niño Modoki and canonical El Niño events on tropical cyclone (TC) frequency over the South China Sea (SCS) during boreal summer and fall for 1960–2009 is investigated. The bootstrap resampling method and two-sample permutation procedure are applied to simulate sampling distributions and conduct statistical tests, respectively. Results from the hypothesis testing indicate that the above-normal TC frequency over the SCS occurs during June–August (JJA) for the El Niño Modoki years, whereas the below-normal TC frequency is significant during September–November (SON) for the canonical El Niño years. The remarkably opposite modulations can be attributed to the different large-scale circulation anomalies, which are consistent with Matsuno–Gill-type responses to the tropical heating source/sink over the western North Pacific (WNP) and Maritime Continent for two kinds of Pacific Ocean warming events. In response to a broad-scale convection anomaly over the WNP during JJA for El Niño Modoki, a zonally elongated cyclonic anomaly dominates the WNP and SCS, leading to enhanced TC activity. In contrast, during SON for the canonical El Niño, a markedly strengthened cooling source centered in the Maritime Continent induces an anticyclonic anomaly over the SCS, resulting in suppressed TC activity.

scholarly journals The Response of Tropical Atmospheric Energy Budgets to ENSO*

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (13) ◽  
pp. 4710-4724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Mayer ◽  
Kevin E. Trenberth ◽  
Leopold Haimberger ◽  
John T. Fasullo
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Smooth Transition ◽  
Energy Budgets ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
El Niño Modoki ◽  
Static Energy ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract The variability of zonally resolved tropical energy budgets in association with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is investigated. The most recent global atmospheric reanalyses from 1979 to 2011 are employed with removal of apparent discontinuities to obtain best possible temporal homogeneity. The growing length of record allows a more robust analysis of characteristic patterns of variability with cross-correlation, composite, and EOF methods. A quadrupole anomaly pattern is found in the vertically integrated energy divergence associated with ENSO, with centers over the Indian Ocean, the Indo-Pacific warm pool, the eastern equatorial Pacific, and the Atlantic. The smooth transition, particularly of the main maxima of latent and dry static energy divergence, from the western to the eastern Pacific is found to require at least two EOFs to be adequately described. The canonical El Niño pattern (EOF-1) and a transition pattern (EOF-2; referred to as El Niño Modoki by some authors) form remarkably coherent ENSO-related anomaly structures of the tropical energy budget not only over the Pacific but throughout the tropics. As latent and dry static energy divergences show strong mutual cancellation, variability of total energy divergence is smaller and more tightly coupled to local sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and is mainly related to the ocean heat discharge and recharge during ENSO peak phases. The complexity of the structures throughout the tropics and their evolution during ENSO events along with their interactions with the annual cycle have often not been adequately accounted for; in particular, the El Niño Modoki mode is but part of the overall evolutionary patterns.

scholarly journals Linkage between Interannual Variation of the East Asian Intraseasonal Oscillation and Mei-Yu Onset

2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 145-160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yonghong Yao ◽  
Hai Lin ◽  
Qigang Wu
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
South China Sea ◽  
South China ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Eastern Indian Ocean ◽  
Ep El Niño ◽  
Sst Anomalies

AbstractThe mei-yu onset over the middle to lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley (MLYRV) varies considerably from early June to mid-July, which leads to large interannual changes in rainy-season length, total summer rainfall, and flooding potential. Previous studies have investigated the impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the mei-yu onset. This study shows that a strong (weak) East Asian and western North Pacific (EAWNP) intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in spring leads to an early (late) onset of the mei-yu over the MLYRV, and this ISO–mei-yu relationship is attributed to different types of ENSO in the preceding winter. A strong EAWNP ISO in spring is related to an eastern Pacific El Niño (EP El Niño) in the previous winter, and negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the eastern Indian Ocean and the South China Sea (SCS) in May, which can cause an early onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon that also favors an early mei-yu onset. In contrast, a weak EAWNP ISO in spring is associated with a central Pacific El Niño (CP El Niño) before April, but with an EP El Niño after April, and positive SST anomalies in both the eastern Indian Ocean and the SCS in May. A statistical forecast model combining the intensity of spring EAWNP ISO, CP ENSO, and EP ENSO indices shows a high prediction skill of the observed mei-yu onset date.

The El Niño Modoki

2021 ◽  
pp. 93-114
Author(s):  
Shamal Marathe ◽  
Ashok Karumuri
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
El Niño Modoki

scholarly journals Simulated coordinated impacts of the previous autumn North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and winter El Niño on winter aerosol concentrations over eastern China

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (16) ◽  
pp. 10787-10800 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Feng ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Hong Liao ◽  
Jianlei Zhu
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
South China ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Central China ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Previous Autumn

Abstract. The high aerosol concentration (AC) over eastern China has attracted attention from both science and society. Based on the simulations of a chemical transport model using a fixed emissions level, the possible impact of the previous autumn North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) combined with the simultaneous El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the boreal winter AC over eastern China is investigated. We find that the NAO only manifests its negative impacts on the AC during its negative phase over central China, and a significant positive influence on the distribution of AC is observed over south China only during the warm events of ENSO. The impact of the previous NAO on the AC occurs via an anomalous sea surface temperature tripole pattern by which a teleconnection wave train is induced that results in anomalous convergence over central China. In contrast, the occurrence of ENSO events may induce an anomalous shift in the western Pacific subtropical high and result in anomalous southwesterlies over south China. The anomalous circulations associated with a negative NAO and El Niño are not favorable for the transport of AC and correspond to worsening air conditions over central and south China. The results highlight the fact that the combined effects of tropical and extratropical systems play a considerable role in affecting the boreal winter AC over eastern China.

scholarly journals Reintensification of the Anomalous Western North Pacific Anticyclone during the El Niño Modoki Decaying Summer: Relative Importance of Tropical Atlantic and Pacific SST Anomalies

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 3271-3288
Author(s):  
Juan Feng ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Xiaocong Wang
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
El Niño Modoki ◽  
Sst Cooling ◽  
Sst Warming ◽  
Sst Anomalies

AbstractThe El Niño Modoki–induced anomalous western North Pacific anticyclone (WNPAC) undergoes an interesting reintensification process in the El Niño Modoki decaying summer, the period when El Niño Modoki decays but warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the tropical North Atlantic (TNA) and cold SST anomalies over the central-eastern Pacific (CEP) dominate. In this study, the region (TNA or CEP) in which the SST anomalies exert a relatively important influence on reintensification of the WNPAC is investigated. Observational analysis demonstrates that when only anomalous CEP SST cooling occurs, the WNPAC experiences a weak reintensification. In contrast, when only anomalous TNA SST warming emerges, the WNPAC experiences a remarkable reintensification. Numerical simulation analysis demonstrates that even though the same magnitude of CEP SST cooling and TNA warming is respectively set to force the atmospheric general circulation model, the response of the WNPAC is still much stronger in the TNA warming experiment than in the CEP cooling experiment. Further analysis demonstrates that this difference is caused by the distinct location of the effective tropical forcing between the CEP SST cooling and TNA SST warming for producing a WNPAC. The CEP cooling-induced effective anomalous diabatic cooling is located in the central Pacific, by which the forced anticyclone becomes gradually weak from the central Pacific to the western North Pacific. Thus, a weak WNPAC is produced. In contrast, as the TNA SST warming–induced effective anomalous diabatic cooling is just located in the western North Pacific via a Kelvin wave–induced Ekman divergence process, the forced anticyclone is significant and powerful in the western North Pacific.

scholarly journals The roles of tropical and subtropical wind stress anomalies in the El Niño Modoki onset

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (11) ◽  
pp. 6585-6597 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Wang ◽  
Chengyang Guan ◽  
Rui Xin Huang ◽  
Wei Tan ◽  
Lei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
El Niño Modoki

Predictability of the Super IOD Event in 2019 and Its Link With El Niño Modoki

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeshi Doi ◽  
Swadhin K. Behera ◽  
Toshio Yamagata
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
El Niño Modoki
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