Effects of volcanic eruptions on stratospheric ozone recovery

2003 ◽  
pp. 227-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan E. Rosenfield
Keyword(s):  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions

Volcanically induced stratospheric water vapor changes

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clarissa Kroll ◽  
Alon Azulay ◽  
Hauke Schmidt ◽  
Claudia Timmreck
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Volcanic Plume ◽  
Indirect Pathway ◽  
Maximum Increase ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor

<p><span>Stratospheric water vapor (SWV) is important not only for stratospheric ozone chemistry but also due to its influence on the atmospheric radiation budget.</span></p><p><span>After volcanic eruptions, SWV is known to increase due to two different mechanisms: First, water within the volcanic plume is directly injected into the stratosphere during the eruption itself. Second, the volcanic aerosols lead to a warming of the lower stratosphere including the tropopause layer. The increased temperature of the cold point allows an increased water vapor transit from the troposphere to the stratosphere. Not much is known about this process as it is obscured by internal variability and observations are scare.</span></p><p><span>To better understand the increased SWV entry via the indirect pathway after volcanic eruptions we employ a suite of large volcanically perturbed ensemble simulations of the MPI-ESM1.2-LR for five different eruptions strengths (2.5 Mt, 5 Mt, 10 Mt, 20 Mt and 40 Mt sulfur). Each ensemble consists of 100 realizations for a time period of 3 years.</span></p><p><span>Our work mainly focuses on the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) quantifying changes in relevant parameters such as the atmospheric temperature profile and the consequent increase in SWV. A maximum increase of up to 4 ppmm in the first two years after the eruption is found in the case of the 40 Mt eruption. Furthermore the large ensemble size additionally allows for an analysis of the statistical significance and influence of variability, showing that SWV increases can already be detected for the 2.5 Mt eruption in the ensemble mean, for single ensemble members the internal variability dominates the SWV entry up to an eruption strength of 10 Mt to 20 Mt depending on the season and time after the eruption. The study is complemented by investigations using the 1D radiative convective equilibrium model konrad to understand the radiative effects of the SWV increase.</span></p>

scholarly journals The impact of volcanic aerosols on stratospheric ozone and the Northern Hemisphere polar vortex: separating radiative from chemical effects under different climate conditions

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 14275-14314 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Muthers ◽  
F. Arfeuille ◽  
C. C. Raible ◽  
E. Rozanov
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Dynamical Response ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Column Ozone ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. After strong volcanic eruptions stratospheric ozone changes are modulated by heterogeneous chemical reactions (HET) and dynamical perturbations related to the radiative heating in the lower stratosphere (RAD). Here, we assess the relative importance of both processes as well as the effect of the resulting ozone changes on the dynamics using ensemble simulations with the atmosphere–ocean–chemistry–climate model (AOCCM) SOCOL-MPIOM forced by eruptions with different strength. The simulations are performed under present day and preindustrial conditions to investigate changes in the response behaviour. The results show that the HET effect is only relevant under present day conditions and causes a pronounced global reduction of column ozone. These ozone changes further lead to a slight weakening of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar vortex during mid-winter. Independent from the climate state the RAD mechanism changes the column ozone pattern with negative anomalies in the tropics and positive anomalies in the mid-latitudes. The influence of the climate state on the RAD mechanism significantly differs in the polar latitudes, where an amplified ozone depletion during the winter months is simulated under present day conditions. This is in contrast to the preindustrial state showing a positive column ozone response also in the polar area. The dynamical response of the stratosphere is clearly dominated by the RAD mechanism showing an intensification of the NH polar vortex in winter. Still under present day conditions ozone changes due to the RAD mechanism slightly reduce the response of the polar vortex after the eruption.

scholarly journals Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapour changes in CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2100

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 5015-5061
Author(s):  
James Keeble ◽  
Birgit Hassler ◽  
Antara Banerjee ◽  
Ramiro Checa-Garcia ◽  
Gabriel Chiodo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapour ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Tropospheric Ozone ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Regional Patterns ◽  
Total Column Ozone ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
The 1960S ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapour

Abstract. Stratospheric ozone and water vapour are key components of the Earth system, and past and future changes to both have important impacts on global and regional climate. Here, we evaluate long-term changes in these species from the pre-industrial period (1850) to the end of the 21st century in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models under a range of future emissions scenarios. There is good agreement between the CMIP multi-model mean and observations for total column ozone (TCO), although there is substantial variation between the individual CMIP6 models. For the CMIP6 multi-model mean, global mean TCO has increased from ∼ 300 DU in 1850 to ∼ 305 DU in 1960, before rapidly declining in the 1970s and 1980s following the use and emission of halogenated ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). TCO is projected to return to 1960s values by the middle of the 21st century under the SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-3.4, SSP4-6.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, and under the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios TCO values are projected to be ∼ 10 DU higher than the 1960s values by 2100. However, under the SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-1.6 scenarios, TCO is not projected to return to the 1960s values despite reductions in halogenated ODSs due to decreases in tropospheric ozone mixing ratios. This global pattern is similar to regional patterns, except in the tropics where TCO under most scenarios is not projected to return to 1960s values, either through reductions in tropospheric ozone under SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6, or through reductions in lower stratospheric ozone resulting from an acceleration of the Brewer–Dobson circulation under other Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). In contrast to TCO, there is poorer agreement between the CMIP6 multi-model mean and observed lower stratospheric water vapour mixing ratios, with the CMIP6 multi-model mean underestimating observed water vapour mixing ratios by ∼ 0.5 ppmv at 70 hPa. CMIP6 multi-model mean stratospheric water vapour mixing ratios in the tropical lower stratosphere have increased by ∼ 0.5 ppmv from the pre-industrial to the present-day period and are projected to increase further by the end of the 21st century. The largest increases (∼ 2 ppmv) are simulated under the future scenarios with the highest assumed forcing pathway (e.g. SSP5-8.5). Tropical lower stratospheric water vapour, and to a lesser extent TCO, shows large variations following explosive volcanic eruptions.

scholarly journals Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapor changes in CMIP6 models from 1850–2100

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Keeble ◽  
Birgit Hassler ◽  
Antara Banerjee ◽  
Ramiro Checa-Garcia ◽  
Gabriel Chiodo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapour ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Tropospheric Ozone ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Regional Patterns ◽  
Large Variability ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
The 1960S ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapour

Abstract. Stratospheric ozone and water vapour are key components of the Earth system, and past and future changes to both have important impacts on global and regional climate. Here we evaluate long-term changes in these species from the pre- industrial (1850) to the end of the 21st century in CMIP6 models under a range of future emissions scenarios. There is good agreement between the CMIP multi-model mean and observations, although there is substantial variation between the individual CMIP6 models. For the CMIP6 multi-model mean, global total column ozone (TCO) has increased from ∼300 DU in 1850 to ∼305 DU in 1960, before rapidly declining in the 1970s and 1980s following the use and emission of halogenated ozone depleting substances (ODSs). TCO is projected to return to 1960s values by the middle of the 21st century under the SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-3.4, SSP4-6.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, and under the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios TCO values are projected to be ∼10 DU higher than the 1960s values by 2100. However, under the SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-1.6 scenarios, TCO is not projected to return to the 1960s values despite reductions in halogenated ODSs due to decreases in tropospheric ozone mixing ratios. This global pattern is similar to regional patterns, except in the tropics where TCO under most scenarios is not projected to return to 1960s values, either through reductions in tropospheric ozone under SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6, or through reductions in lower stratospheric ozone resulting from an acceleration of the Brewer-Dobson Circulation under other SSPs. CMIP6 multi-model mean stratospheric water vapour mixing ratios in the tropical lower stratosphere have increased by ∼0.5 ppmv from the pre-industrial to the present day and are projected to increase further by the end of the 21st century. The largest increases (∼2 ppmv) are simulated under the future scenarios with the highest assumed forcing pathway (e.g. SSP5-8.5). Both TCO and tropical lower stratospheric water vapour show large variability following explosive volcanic eruptions.

scholarly journals Long-term (1999–2019) variability of stratospheric aerosol over Mauna Loa, Hawaii, as seen by two co-located lidars and satellite measurements

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 6821-6839 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Chouza ◽  
Thierry Leblanc ◽  
John Barnes ◽  
Mark Brewer ◽  
Patrick Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Orthogonal Polarization ◽  
Mauna Loa ◽  
Quiescent Period ◽  
Level 3 ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Good Agreement

Abstract. As part of the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC), ground-based measurements obtained from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) stratospheric ozone lidar and the NOAA stratospheric aerosol lidar at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, over the past 2 decades were used to investigate the impact of volcanic eruptions and pyrocumulonimbus (PyroCb) smoke plumes on the stratospheric aerosol load above Hawaii since 1999. Measurements at 355 and 532 nm conducted by these two lidars revealed a color ratio of 0.5 for background aerosols and small volcanic plumes and 0.8 for a PyroCb plume recorded on September 2017. Measurements of the Nabro plume by the JPL lidar in 2011–2012 showed a lidar ratio of (64±12.7) sr at 355 nm around the center of the plume. The new Global Space-based Stratospheric Aerosol Climatology (GloSSAC), Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) Level 3 and Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment III on the International Space Station (SAGE III-ISS) stratospheric aerosol datasets were compared to the ground-based lidar datasets. The intercomparison revealed a generally good agreement, with vertical profiles of extinction coefficient within 50 % discrepancy between 17 and 23 km above sea level (a.s.l.) and 25 % above 23 km a.s.l. The stratospheric aerosol depth derived from all of these datasets shows good agreement, with the largest discrepancy (20 %) being observed between the new CALIOP Level 3 and the other datasets. All datasets consistently reveal a relatively quiescent period between 1999 and 2006, followed by an active period of multiple eruptions (e.g., Nabro) until early 2012. Another quiescent period, with slightly higher aerosol background, lasted until mid-2017, when a combination of extensive wildfires and multiple volcanic eruptions caused a significant increase in stratospheric aerosol loading. This loading maximized at the very end of the time period considered (fall 2019) as a result of the Raikoke eruption, the plume of which ascended to 26 km altitude in less than 3 months.

scholarly journals Model simulations of the chemical and aerosol microphysical evolution of the Sarychev Peak 2009 eruption cloud compared to in-situ and satellite observations

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thibaut Lurton ◽  
Fabrice Jégou ◽  
Gwenaël Berthet ◽  
Jean-Baptiste Renard ◽  
Lieven Clarisse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Particle Size ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Particle Growth ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Stratospheric Chemistry ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sarychev Peak

Abstract. Volcanic eruptions impact climate through the injection of sulfur dioxide (SO2), which is oxidized to form sulfuric acid aerosol particles that can enhance the stratospheric aerosol optical depth (SAOD). Besides large-magnitude eruptions, moderate-magnitude eruptions such as Kasatochi in 2008 and Sarychev Peak in 2009 can have a significant impact on stratospheric aerosol and hence climate. However, uncertainties remain in quantifying the atmospheric and climatic impacts of the 2009 Sarychev Peak eruption due to limitations in previous model representations of volcanic aerosol microphysics and particle size, whilst biases have been identified in satellite estimates of post-eruption SAOD. In addition, the 2009 Sarychev Peak eruption co-injected hydrogen chloride (HCl) alongside SO2, whose potential stratospheric chemistry impacts have not been investigated to date. We present a study of the stratospheric SO2-particle-HCl processing and impacts following Sarychev Peak eruption, using the CESM1(WACCM)-CARMA sectional aerosol microphysics model (with no a priori assumption on particle size). The Sarychev Peak 2009 eruption injected 0.9 Tg of SO2 into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS), enhancing the aerosol load in the Northern hemisphere. The post-eruption evolution of the volcanic SO2 in space and time are well reproduced by the model when compared to IASI (Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer) satellite data. Co-injection of 27 Gg HCl causes a lengthening of the SO2 lifetime and a slight delay in the formation of aerosols, and acts to enhance the destruction of stratospheric ozone and mono-nitrogen oxides (NOx) compared to the simulation with volcanic SO2 only. We therefore highlight the need to account for volcanic halogen chemistry when simulating the impact of eruptions such as Sarychev on stratospheric chemistry. The model-simulated evolution of effective radius (reff), reflects new particle formation followed by particle growth that enhances reff to reach up to 0.2 µm on zonal average. Comparisons of the model-simulated particle number and size-distributions to balloon-borne in-situ stratospheric observations over Kiruna, Sweden, in August and September 2009, and over Laramie, U.S.A., in June and November 2009 show good agreement and quantitatively confirms the post-eruption particle enhancement. We show that the model-simulated SAOD is consistent with that derived from OSIRIS (Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imager System) when both the saturation bias of OSIRIS and the fact that extinction profiles may terminate well above the tropopause are taken into account. Previous modelling studies (involving assumptions on particle size) that reported agreement to (biased) post-eruption estimates of SAOD derived from OSIRIS likely underestimated the climate impact of the 2009 Sarychev Peak eruption.

scholarly journals Stratospheric variability and trends in IPCC model simulations

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 7657-7695 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. C. Cordero ◽  
P. M. de F. Forster
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Cold Bias ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Large Variability ◽  
Volcanic Aerosols ◽  
Forcing Mechanisms

Abstract. Atmosphere and Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM) experiments for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report are analyzed using both 20th and 21st century model output to better understand model variability and assess the importance of various forcing mechanisms on stratospheric trends. While models represent the climatology of the stratosphere reasonably well in comparison with NCEP reanalysis, there are biases and large variability among models. In general, AOGCMs are cooler than NCEP throughout the stratosphere, with the largest differences in the tropics. Around half the AOGCMs have a top level beneath ~2 hPa and show a significant cold bias in their upper levels (~10 hPa) compared to NCEP, suggesting that these models may have compromised simulations near 10 hPa due to a low model top or insufficient stratospheric levels. In the lower stratosphere (50 hPa), the temperature variability associated with large volcanic eruptions is either absent (in about half of the models) or the warming is overestimated in the models that do include volcanic aerosols. There is general agreement on the vertical structure of temperature trends over the last few decades, differences between models are explained by the inclusion of different forcing mechanisms, such as stratospheric ozone depletion and volcanic aerosols. However, even when human and natural forcing agents are included in the simulations, significant differences remain between observations and model trends, particularly in the upper tropical troposphere (200 hPa–100 hPa), where, since 1979, models show a warming trend and the observations a cooling trend.

scholarly journals Simulation of stratospheric water vapor trends: impact on stratospheric ozone chemistry

2004 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 6559-6602 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Stenke ◽  
V. Grewe
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Transient Model ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Additional Water ◽  
Phase Chemistry

Abstract. A transient model simulation from 1960 to 2000 with the coupled climate-chemistry model (CCM) shows a stratospheric water vapor trend during the last two decades of +0.7 ppmv and additionally a short-term increase during volcanic eruptions. At the same time this model simulation shows a long-term decrease in total ozone and a short-term tropical ozone decline after a volcanic eruption. In order to understand the resulting effects of the water vapor changes on stratospheric ozone chemistry, different perturbation simulations have been performed with the CCM with the water vapor perturbations fed only to the chemistry part. Two different long-term perturbations of stratospheric water vapor, +1 ppmv and +5 ppmv, and a short-term perturbation of +2 ppmv with an e-folding time of two months have been simulated. Since water vapor acts as an in-situ source of odd hydrogen in the stratosphere, the water vapor perturbations affect the gas-phase chemistry of hydrogen oxides. An additional water vapor amount of +1 ppmv results in a 5–10%  increase. Coupling processes between and / also affect the ozone destruction by other catalytic reaction cycles. The  cycle becomes 6.4% more effective, whereas the cycle is 1.6% less effective. A long-term water vapor increase does not only affect the gas-phase chemistry, but also the heterogeneous ozone chemistry in polar regions. The additional water vapor intensifies the strong denitrification of the Antarctic winter stratosphere caused by an enhanced formation of polar stratospheric clouds. Thus it further facilitates the catalytic ozone removal by the cycle. The reduction of total column ozone during Antarctic spring peaks at −3%. In contrast, heterogeneous chemistry during Arctic winter is not affected by the water vapor increase. The short-term perturbation studies show similar patterns, but because of the short perturbation time, the chemical effect on ozone is almost negligible. Finally, this study shows that 10% of the simulated long-term ozone decline in the transient model simulation can be explained by the water vapor increase, but the simulated tropical ozone decrease after volcanic eruptions is caused dynamically rather than chemically.

scholarly journals Co-emission of volcanic sulfur and halogens amplifies volcanic effective radiative forcing

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 9009-9029
Author(s):  
John Staunton-Sykes ◽  
Thomas J. Aubry ◽  
Youngsub M. Shin ◽  
James Weber ◽  
Lauren R. Marshall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Effective Radius ◽  
Emission Scenarios ◽  
Effective Radiative Forcing ◽  
Explosive Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Stratospheric Cooling ◽  
Global Mean ◽  
Co Emission

Abstract. The evolution of volcanic sulfur and the resulting radiative forcing following explosive volcanic eruptions is well understood. Petrological evidence suggests that significant amounts of halogens may be co-emitted alongside sulfur in some explosive volcanic eruptions, and satellite evidence indicates that detectable amounts of these halogens may reach the stratosphere. In this study, we utilise an aerosol–chemistry–climate model to simulate stratospheric volcanic eruption emission scenarios of two sizes, both with and without co-emission of volcanic halogens, in order to understand how co-emitted halogens may alter the life cycle of volcanic sulfur, stratospheric chemistry, and the resulting radiative forcing. We simulate a large (10 Tg of SO2) and very large (56 Tg of SO2) sulfur-only eruption scenario and a corresponding large (10 Tg SO2, 1.5 Tg HCl, 0.0086 Tg HBr) and very large (56 Tg SO2, 15 Tg HCl, 0.086 Tg HBr) co-emission eruption scenario. The eruption scenarios simulated in this work are hypothetical, but they are comparable to Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) 6 (e.g. 1991 Mt Pinatubo) and VEI 7 (e.g. 1257 Mt Samalas) eruptions, representing 1-in-50–100-year and 1-in-500–1000-year events, respectively, with plausible amounts of co-emitted halogens based on satellite observations and volcanic plume modelling. We show that co-emission of volcanic halogens and sulfur into the stratosphere increases the volcanic effective radiative forcing (ERF) by 24 % and 30 % in large and very large co-emission scenarios compared to sulfur-only emission. This is caused by an increase in both the forcing from volcanic aerosol–radiation interactions (ERFari) and composition of the stratosphere (ERFclear,clean). Volcanic halogens catalyse the destruction of stratospheric ozone, which results in significant stratospheric cooling, offsetting the aerosol heating simulated in sulfur-only scenarios and resulting in net stratospheric cooling. The ozone-induced stratospheric cooling prevents aerosol self-lofting and keeps the volcanic aerosol lower in the stratosphere with a shorter lifetime. This results in reduced growth by condensation and coagulation and a smaller peak global-mean effective radius compared to sulfur-only simulations. The smaller effective radius found in both co-emission scenarios is closer to the peak scattering efficiency radius of sulfate aerosol, and thus co-emission of halogens results in larger peak global-mean ERFari (6 % and 8 %). Co-emission of volcanic halogens results in significant stratospheric ozone, methane, and water vapour reductions, resulting in significant increases in peak global-mean ERFclear,clean (> 100 %), predominantly due to ozone loss. The dramatic global-mean ozone depletion simulated in large (22 %) and very large (57 %) co-emission scenarios would result in very high levels of UV exposure on the Earth's surface, with important implications for society and the biosphere. This work shows for the first time that co-emission of plausible amounts of volcanic halogens can amplify the volcanic ERF in simulations of explosive eruptions. It highlights the need to include volcanic halogen emissions when simulating the climate impacts of past or future eruptions, as well as the necessity to maintain space-borne observations of stratospheric compounds to better constrain the stratospheric injection estimates of volcanic eruptions.

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