scholarly journals Auto-Switch Gaussian Process Regression-Based Probabilistic Soft Sensors for Industrial Multigrade Processes with Transitions

2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (18) ◽  
pp. 5037-5047 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Liu ◽  
Tao Chen ◽  
Junghui Chen
IEEE Access ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 168436-168443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Guo ◽  
Tianhong Pan ◽  
Zhengming Li ◽  
Shan Chen

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 1957 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaochen Sheng ◽  
Junxia Ma ◽  
Weili Xiong

Accurate and real-time quality prediction to realize the optimal process control at a competitive price is an important issue in Industrial 4.0. This paper shows a successful engineering application of how smart soft sensors can be combined with machine learning technique to significantly save human resources and improve performance under complex industrial conditions. Ensemble learning based soft sensors succeed in capturing complex nonlinearities, frequent dynamic changes, as well as time-varying characteristics in industrial processes. However, local model regions under traditional ensemble modelling methods are highly dependent on labeled data samples and, hence, their prediction accuracy might get affected when labeled samples are limited. A novel active learning (AL) framework upon the ensemble Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is proposed for smart soft sensor design in order to overcome this drawback. Firstly, to iteratively select the most informative unlabeled samples for labeling with hierarchical sampling based AL strategy, to then apply Gaussian mixture model (GMM) technique to autonomously identify operation phases, to further construct local GPR models without human involvement, and finally to integrate the base predictors by applying the Bayesian fusion strategy. Comparative studies for the penicillin fermentation process demonstrate the reliability and superiority of the recommended smart soft sensing. The cost of human annotation can be dramatically reduced by at least half while the prediction performance simultaneously keeps high.


2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 127-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Congli Mei ◽  
Ming Yang ◽  
Dongxin Shu ◽  
Hui Jiang ◽  
Guohai Liu ◽  
...  

Erythromycin fermentation process is a typical microbial fermentation process. Soft sensors can be used to estimate biomass of Erythromycin fermentation process for their relative low cost, simple development, and ability to predict difficult-to-measure variables. However, traditional soft sensors, e.g. artificial neural network (ANN) soft sensors, support vector machine (SVM) soft sensors, etc., cannot represent the uncertainty (measurement precision) of outputs. That results in difficulties in practice. Gaussian process regression (GPR) provides a novel framework to solve regression problems. The output uncertainty of a GPR model follows Gaussian distribution, expressed in terms of mean and variance. The mean represents the predicted output. The variance can be viewed as the measure of confidence in the predicted output that distinguishes the GPR from NN and SVM soft sensor models. We proposed a systematic approach based on GPR and principal component analysis (PCA) to establish a soft sensor to estimate biomass of Erythromycin fermentation process. Simulations on industrial data from an Erythromycin fermentation process show the proposed GPR soft sensor has high performance of modeling the uncertainty of estimates.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Philipp Bahlke ◽  
Natnael Mogos ◽  
Jonny Proppe ◽  
Carmen Herrmann

Heisenberg exchange spin coupling between metal centers is essential for describing and understanding the electronic structure of many molecular catalysts, metalloenzymes, and molecular magnets for potential application in information technology. We explore the machine-learnability of exchange spin coupling, which has not been studied yet. We employ Gaussian process regression since it can potentially deal with small training sets (as likely associated with the rather complex molecular structures required for exploring spin coupling) and since it provides uncertainty estimates (“error bars”) along with predicted values. We compare a range of descriptors and kernels for 257 small dicopper complexes and find that a simple descriptor based on chemical intuition, consisting only of copper-bridge angles and copper-copper distances, clearly outperforms several more sophisticated descriptors when it comes to extrapolating towards larger experimentally relevant complexes. Exchange spin coupling is similarly easy to learn as the polarizability, while learning dipole moments is much harder. The strength of the sophisticated descriptors lies in their ability to linearize structure-property relationships, to the point that a simple linear ridge regression performs just as well as the kernel-based machine-learning model for our small dicopper data set. The superior extrapolation performance of the simple descriptor is unique to exchange spin coupling, reinforcing the crucial role of choosing a suitable descriptor, and highlighting the interesting question of the role of chemical intuition vs. systematic or automated selection of features for machine learning in chemistry and material science.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caitlin C. Bannan ◽  
David Mobley ◽  
A. Geoff Skillman

<div>A variety of fields would benefit from accurate pK<sub>a</sub> predictions, especially drug design due to the affect a change in ionization state can have on a molecules physiochemical properties.</div><div>Participants in the recent SAMPL6 blind challenge were asked to submit predictions for microscopic and macroscopic pK<sub>a</sub>s of 24 drug like small molecules.</div><div>We recently built a general model for predicting pK<sub>a</sub>s using a Gaussian process regression trained using physical and chemical features of each ionizable group.</div><div>Our pipeline takes a molecular graph and uses the OpenEye Toolkits to calculate features describing the removal of a proton.</div><div>These features are fed into a Scikit-learn Gaussian process to predict microscopic pK<sub>a</sub>s which are then used to analytically determine macroscopic pK<sub>a</sub>s.</div><div>Our Gaussian process is trained on a set of 2,700 macroscopic pK<sub>a</sub>s from monoprotic and select diprotic molecules.</div><div>Here, we share our results for microscopic and macroscopic predictions in the SAMPL6 challenge.</div><div>Overall, we ranked in the middle of the pack compared to other participants, but our fairly good agreement with experiment is still promising considering the challenge molecules are chemically diverse and often polyprotic while our training set is predominately monoprotic.</div><div>Of particular importance to us when building this model was to include an uncertainty estimate based on the chemistry of the molecule that would reflect the likely accuracy of our prediction. </div><div>Our model reports large uncertainties for the molecules that appear to have chemistry outside our domain of applicability, along with good agreement in quantile-quantile plots, indicating it can predict its own accuracy.</div><div>The challenge highlighted a variety of means to improve our model, including adding more polyprotic molecules to our training set and more carefully considering what functional groups we do or do not identify as ionizable. </div>


2019 ◽  
Vol 150 (4) ◽  
pp. 041101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iakov Polyak ◽  
Gareth W. Richings ◽  
Scott Habershon ◽  
Peter J. Knowles

2020 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 348-353
Author(s):  
Maharshi Dhada ◽  
Georgios M. Hadjidemetriou ◽  
Ajith K. Parlikad

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