scholarly journals Global stability of the endemic equilibrium and uniform persistence in epidemic models with subpopulations

Author(s):  
Xiaodong Lin ◽  
Joseph W.-H. So

AbstractWe consider the epidemic model with subpopulations introduced in Hethcote [5]. It is shown that if the endemic equilibrium exists, then the system is uniformly persistent. Moreover, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable under the assumption of small effective contact rates between different subpopulations.

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Tiantian Li

We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for anyτ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; whenR0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for anyτ=0; whenR0>1, the disease will persist. However, for anyτ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.


Mathematics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (12) ◽  
pp. 328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanli Ma ◽  
Jia-Bao Liu ◽  
Haixia Li

In this paper, an SIQR (Susceptible, Infected, Quarantined, Recovered) epidemic model with vaccination, elimination, and quarantine hybrid strategies is proposed, and the dynamics of this model are analyzed by both theoretical and numerical means. Firstly, the basic reproduction number R 0 , which determines whether the disease is extinct or not, is derived. Secondly, by LaSalles invariance principle, it is proved that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R 0 < 1 , and the disease dies out. By Routh-Hurwitz criterion theory, we also prove that the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the unique endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when R 0 > 1 . Thirdly, by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, we obtain that the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists at this endemic equilibrium if it initially exists when R 0 > 1 . Finally, some numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the analysis results.


2011 ◽  
Vol 04 (01) ◽  
pp. 93-108
Author(s):  
QINGKAI KONG ◽  
ZHIPENG QIU ◽  
YUN ZOU

The host migration is one of the important elements that cause the worldwide diffusion and outbreak of many vector-host diseases. In this paper, we formulate a patchy model to investigate the effect of host migration between two patches on the spread of a vector-host disease. The results of the paper show that the reproduction number R0 is a threshold value that determines the uniform persistence and extinction of the disease. If the reproduction number R0 < 1 the disease free equilibrium (DFE) is locally asymptotically stable. If the reproduction number R0 > 1 then the DFE is unstable and the system is uniformly persistent. It is also shown that a unique endemic equilibrium, which exists when R0 > 1, is locally stable if both regions are identical.


2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (06) ◽  
pp. 1650082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lili Wang ◽  
Rui Xu

In this paper, an SEIR epidemic model with vaccination is formulated. The results of our mathematical analysis indicate that the basic reproduction number plays an important role in studying the dynamics of the system. If the basic reproduction number is less than unity, it is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable by comparison arguments. If it is greater than unity, the system is permanent and there is a unique endemic equilibrium. In this case, sufficient conditions are established to guarantee the global stability of the endemic equilibrium by the theory of the compound matrices. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the main results.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Yaping Wang ◽  
Fuqin Sun

A HIV-1 model with two distributed intracellular delays and general incidence function is studied. Conditions are given under which the system exhibits the threshold behavior: the disease-free equilibriumE0is globally asymptotically stable ifR0≤1; ifR0>1, then the unique endemic equilibriumE1is globally asymptotically stable. Finally, it is shown that the given conditions are satisfied by several common forms of the incidence functions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (03) ◽  
pp. 1950038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xamxinur Abdurahman ◽  
Zhidong Teng ◽  
Ling Zhang

A heroin epidemic model with different conscious stages and distributed delays is constructed. The model allows for conscious drug users and unconscious drug users. The threshold dynamics of the model is established. It is shown that drug-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]; when [Formula: see text], the uniform persistence of the model is proved, and it is proved that the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable.


2010 ◽  
Vol 03 (03) ◽  
pp. 299-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHU-MIN GUO ◽  
XUE-ZHI LI ◽  
XIN-YU SONG

In this paper, an age-structured SEIS epidemic model with infectivity in incubative period is formulated and studied. The explicit expression of the basic reproduction number R0 is obtained. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 < 1, at least one endemic equilibrium exists if R0 > 1. The stability conditions of endemic equilibrium are also given.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Wang ◽  
Zhidong Teng ◽  
Long Zhang

We study a class of discrete SIRS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rateF(S)G(I)and disease-induced mortality. By using analytic techniques and constructing discrete Lyapunov functions, the global stability of disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is obtained. That is, if basic reproduction numberℛ0<1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, and ifℛ0>1, then the model has a unique endemic equilibrium and when some additional conditions hold the endemic equilibrium also is globally asymptotically stable. By using the theory of persistence in dynamical systems, we further obtain that only whenℛ0>1, the disease in the model is permanent. Some special cases ofF(S)G(I)are discussed. Particularly, whenF(S)G(I)=βSI/(1+λI), it is obtained that the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if and only ifℛ0>1. Furthermore, the numerical simulations show that for general incidence rateF(S)G(I)the endemic equilibrium may be globally asymptotically stable only asℛ0>1.


2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (05) ◽  
pp. 1650068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Altaf Khan ◽  
Yasir Khan ◽  
Sehra Khan ◽  
Saeed Islam

This study considers SEIVR epidemic model with generalized nonlinear saturated incidence rate in the host population horizontally to estimate local and global equilibriums. By using the Routh–Hurwitz criteria, it is shown that if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. When the basic reproduction number exceeds the unity, then the endemic equilibrium exists and is stable locally asymptotically. The system is globally asymptotically stable about the disease-free equilibrium if [Formula: see text]. The geometric approach is used to present the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. For [Formula: see text], the endemic equilibrium is stable globally asymptotically. Finally, the numerical results are presented to justify the mathematical results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
El Mehdi Lotfi ◽  
Mehdi Maziane ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The global existence, positivity, and boundedness of solutions for a reaction-diffusion system with homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions are proved. The local stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is obtained via characteristic equations. By means of Lyapunov functional, the global stability of both equilibria is investigated. More precisely, our results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to unity, which leads to the eradication of disease from population. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, then disease-free equilibrium becomes unstable and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; in this case the disease persists in the population. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.


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