First-passage time for a particular stationary periodic Gaussian process

1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (01) ◽  
pp. 27-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. A. Shepp ◽  
D. Slepian

We find the first-passage probability that X(t) remains above a level a throughout a time interval of length T given X(0) = x 0 for the particular stationary Gaussian process X with mean zero and (sawtooth) covariance P(τ) = 1 – α | τ |, | τ | ≦ 1, with ρ(τ + 2) = ρ(τ), – ∞ < τ < ∞. The desired probability is explicitly found as an infinite series of integrals of a two-dimensional Gaussian density over sectors. Simpler expressions are found for the case a = 0 and also for the unconditioned probability that X(t) be non-negative throughout [0, T]. Results of some numerical calculations are given.

1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. A. Shepp ◽  
D. Slepian

We find the first-passage probability that X(t) remains above a level a throughout a time interval of length T given X(0) = x0 for the particular stationary Gaussian process X with mean zero and (sawtooth) covariance P(τ) = 1 – α | τ |, | τ | ≦ 1, with ρ(τ + 2) = ρ(τ), – ∞ < τ < ∞. The desired probability is explicitly found as an infinite series of integrals of a two-dimensional Gaussian density over sectors. Simpler expressions are found for the case a = 0 and also for the unconditioned probability that X(t) be non-negative throughout [0, T]. Results of some numerical calculations are given.


1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 724-733 ◽  
Author(s):  
Israel Bar-David

We find expressions for the R–N derivative of the stationary Gaussian process with the particular covariance and mean, respectively, R(t, s) = max(1 – |t – s|, 0) and m(t)= aR(t, D), 0 ≦ D ≦ 1, within the time interval [0, 1]. We use these results, and a lemma on multiple reflections of the Wiener process, to find formulae for the probabilities of first passage time and maxima in [0, 1], and bounds on the former within [– 1, 1]. While previous work dealt extensively with the zero mean process, mean functions, as defined here, appear in signal detection and parameter estimation problems under the hypothesis that a rectangular signal centered at t = D is present in an observed process.


1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 724-733 ◽  
Author(s):  
Israel Bar-David

We find expressions for the R–N derivative of the stationary Gaussian process with the particular covariance and mean, respectively, R(t, s) = max(1 – |t – s|, 0) and m(t)= aR(t, D), 0 ≦ D ≦ 1, within the time interval [0, 1]. We use these results, and a lemma on multiple reflections of the Wiener process, to find formulae for the probabilities of first passage time and maxima in [0, 1], and bounds on the former within [– 1, 1]. While previous work dealt extensively with the zero mean process, mean functions, as defined here, appear in signal detection and parameter estimation problems under the hypothesis that a rectangular signal centered at t = D is present in an observed process.


1992 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 561-580
Author(s):  
C. H. Hesse

This paper deals with the two-dimensional stochastic process (X(t), V(t)) where dX(t) = V(t)dt, V(t) = W(t) + ν for some constant ν and W(t) is a one-dimensional Wiener process with zero mean and variance parameter σ2= 1. We are interested in the first-passage time of (X(t), V(t)) to the plane X = 0 for a process starting from (X(0) = −x, V(0) = ν) with x > 0. The partial differential equation for the Laplace transform of the first-passage time density is transformed into a Schrödinger-type equation and, using methods of global analysis, such as the method of dominant balance, an approximation to the first-passage density is obtained. In a series of simulations, the quality of this approximation is checked. Over a wide range of x and ν it is found to perform well, globally in t. Some applications are mentioned.


1994 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 457-464 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jewgeni H. Dshalalow

This paper analyzes the behavior of a point process marked by a two-dimensional renewal process with dependent components about some fixed (two-dimensional) level. The compound process evolves until one of its marks hits (i.e. reaches or exceeds) its associated level for the first time. The author targets a joint transformation of the first excess level, first passage time, and the index of the point process which labels the first passage time. The cases when both marks are either discrete or continuous or mixed are treated. For each of them, an explicit and compact formula is derived. Various applications to stochastic models are discussed.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Lefebvre

LetX(t)be a controlled one-dimensional diffusion process having constant infinitesimal variance. We consider the problem of optimally controllingX(t)until timeT(x)=min{T1(x),t1}, whereT1(x)is the first-passage time of the process to a given boundary andt1is a fixed constant. The optimal control is obtained explicitly in the particular case whenX(t)is a controlled Wiener process.


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (02) ◽  
pp. 290-300 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. T. Smythe

We extend some results of Hammersley and Welsh concerning first-passage percolation on the two-dimensional integer lattice. Our results include: (i) weak renewal theorems for the unrestricted reach processes; (ii) an L 1-ergodic theorem for the unrestricted first-passage time from (0, 0) to the line X = n; and (iii) weakening of the boundedness restrictions on the underlying distribution in Hammersley and Welsh's weak renewal theorems for the cylinder reach processes.


1993 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 545-555 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Dominé ◽  
Volkmar Pieper

The two-dimensional correlated Wiener process (or Brownian motion) with drift is considered. The Fokker-Planck (or Kolmogorov forward) equation for the Wiener process (X1(t), X2(t)) is solved under absorbing boundary conditions on the lines x1= h1 and x2 = h2 and a fixed starting point (x0,1, x0,2). The first passage (or first exit) time when the process leaves the domain G = ( −∞, h1) × ( −∞, h2) is derived.


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