scholarly journals A continuous-time GARCH process driven by a Lévy process: stationarity and second-order behaviour

2004 ◽  
Vol 41 (03) ◽  
pp. 601-622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Klüppelberg ◽  
Alexander Lindner ◽  
Ross Maller

We use a discrete-time analysis, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the almost-sure convergence of ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) discrete-time models, to suggest an extension of the ARCH and GARCH concepts to continuous-time processes. Our ‘COGARCH’ (continuous-time GARCH) model, based on a single background driving Lévy process, is different from, though related to, other continuous-time stochastic volatility models that have been proposed. The model generalises the essential features of discrete-time GARCH processes, and is amenable to further analysis, possessing useful Markovian and stationarity properties.

2004 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 601-622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Klüppelberg ◽  
Alexander Lindner ◽  
Ross Maller

We use a discrete-time analysis, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the almost-sure convergence of ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) discrete-time models, to suggest an extension of the ARCH and GARCH concepts to continuous-time processes. Our ‘COGARCH’ (continuous-time GARCH) model, based on a single background driving Lévy process, is different from, though related to, other continuous-time stochastic volatility models that have been proposed. The model generalises the essential features of discrete-time GARCH processes, and is amenable to further analysis, possessing useful Markovian and stationarity properties.


2007 ◽  
Vol 44 (04) ◽  
pp. 977-989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter J. Brockwell ◽  
Richard A. Davis ◽  
Yu Yang

Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes with a nonnegative kernel and driven by a nondecreasing Lévy process constitute a very general class of stationary, nonnegative continuous-time processes. In financial econometrics a stationary Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (or CAR(1)) process, driven by a nondecreasing Lévy process, was introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2001) as a model for stochastic volatility to allow for a wide variety of possible marginal distributions and the possibility of jumps. For such processes, we take advantage of the nonnegativity of the increments of the driving Lévy process to study the properties of a highly efficient estimation procedure for the parameters when observations are available of the CAR(1) process at uniformly spaced times 0,h,…,Nh. We also show how to reconstruct the background driving Lévy process from a continuously observed realization of the process and use this result to estimate the increments of the Lévy process itself when h is small. Asymptotic properties of the coefficient estimator are derived and the results illustrated using a simulated gamma-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.


Author(s):  
Tadeusz Kaczorek

Abstract The positivity and absolute stability of a class of fractional nonlinear continuous-time and discrete-time systems are addressed. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the positivity of this class of nonlinear systems are established. Sufficient conditions for the absolute stability of this class of fractional positive nonlinear systems are also given.


1973 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norman Kaplan

A population model is constructed which combines the ideas of a discrete time branching process with random environments and a continuous time non-homogeneous Markov branching process. The extinction problem is considered and necessary and sufficient conditions for extinction are determined. Also discussed are limit theorems for what corresponds to the supercritical case.


2007 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 977-989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter J. Brockwell ◽  
Richard A. Davis ◽  
Yu Yang

Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes with a nonnegative kernel and driven by a nondecreasing Lévy process constitute a very general class of stationary, nonnegative continuous-time processes. In financial econometrics a stationary Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (or CAR(1)) process, driven by a nondecreasing Lévy process, was introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2001) as a model for stochastic volatility to allow for a wide variety of possible marginal distributions and the possibility of jumps. For such processes, we take advantage of the nonnegativity of the increments of the driving Lévy process to study the properties of a highly efficient estimation procedure for the parameters when observations are available of the CAR(1) process at uniformly spaced times 0,h,…,Nh. We also show how to reconstruct the background driving Lévy process from a continuously observed realization of the process and use this result to estimate the increments of the Lévy process itself when h is small. Asymptotic properties of the coefficient estimator are derived and the results illustrated using a simulated gamma-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.


1973 ◽  
Vol 5 (01) ◽  
pp. 37-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norman Kaplan

A population model is constructed which combines the ideas of a discrete time branching process with random environments and a continuous time non-homogeneous Markov branching process. The extinction problem is considered and necessary and sufficient conditions for extinction are determined. Also discussed are limit theorems for what corresponds to the supercritical case.


2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tadeusz Kaczorek

Checking of the positivity of descriptor linear systems with singular pencilsA method for checking of the positivity of descriptor continuous-time and discrete-time linear systems with singular pencil is proposed. The method is based on elementary row and column operations on the matrices of descriptor systems. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the positivity of the descriptor systems are established.


1992 ◽  
Vol 29 (01) ◽  
pp. 209-215
Author(s):  
Offer Kella

Simple necessary and sufficient conditions for a function to be concave in terms of its shifted Laplace transform are given. As an application of this result, we show that the expected local time at zero of a reflected Lévy process with no negative jumps, starting from the origin, is a concave function of the time variable. A special case is the expected cumulative idle time in an M/G/1 queue. An immediate corollary is the concavity of the expected value of the reflected Lévy process itself. A special case is the virtual waiting time in an M/G/1 queue.


1992 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 209-215 ◽  
Author(s):  
Offer Kella

Simple necessary and sufficient conditions for a function to be concave in terms of its shifted Laplace transform are given. As an application of this result, we show that the expected local time at zero of a reflected Lévy process with no negative jumps, starting from the origin, is a concave function of the time variable. A special case is the expected cumulative idle time in an M/G/1 queue. An immediate corollary is the concavity of the expected value of the reflected Lévy process itself. A special case is the virtual waiting time in an M/G/1 queue.


2020 ◽  
pp. 2150024
Author(s):  
Paul Jung ◽  
Ian Melbourne ◽  
Françoise Pène ◽  
Paulo Varandas ◽  
Hong-Kun Zhang

We consider a class of planar dispersing billiards with a cusp at a point of vanishing curvature. Convergence to a stable law and to the corresponding Lévy process in the [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] Skorohod topologies has been studied in recent work. Here, we show that certain sufficient conditions for [Formula: see text]-convergence are also necessary.


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