scholarly journals Economic distress and voting: evidence from the subprime mortgage crisis

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 327-344
Author(s):  
Andrew B. Hall ◽  
Jesse Yoder ◽  
Nishant Karandikar
Keyword(s):  
Voter Turnout ◽  
County Level ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Level Difference ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Home Foreclosures

AbstractWe use nationwide deed-level records on home foreclosures to examine the effects of economic distress on electoral outcomes and individual voter turnout. County-level difference-in-differences estimates show that counties that suffered larger increases in foreclosures did not punish or reward members of the incumbent president's party more than less affected counties. Linking the Ohio voter file to individual foreclosures, difference-in-differences estimates show that individuals whose homes were foreclosed on were less likely to turn out, rather than being mobilized. However, in 2016 counties more exposed to foreclosures supported Trump at substantially higher rates. Taken together, the evidence suggests that the effect of local economic distress on incumbent performance is generally close to zero and only becomes substantial in unusual circumstances.

scholarly journals Economic Distress and Voting: Evidence from the Subprime Mortgage Crisis

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew B. Hall ◽  
Jesse Yoder ◽  
Nishant Karandikar
Keyword(s):  
Voter Turnout ◽  
Great Recession ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Home Foreclosures

Roughly 7 million Americans lost homes to foreclosure during the Great Recession. Despite claims that the subprime mortgage crisis helped fuel recent political turmoil in the U.S., we lack systematic empirical evidence about the effects of this unprecedented spike in home foreclosures on American elections. We combine nationwide deed-level public records data on home foreclosures with election data and administrative voter data to examine the effects of home foreclosures on electoral outcomes and on individual voter turnout. At the aggregate level, county-level difference-in-differences estimates show that counties that suffered larger increases in foreclosures did not punish or reward members of the incumbent president's party more than less affected counties. At the individual level, merging the Ohio voter file with foreclosure data, difference-in-differences estimates reveal that Ohioans whose homes were foreclosed on were somewhat less likely to turn out to vote, particularly when foreclosures occurred close to election day. The findings cast doubt on the claim that individual-level economic distress during the Great Recession directly activated angry voters, and raise questions about the posited causal link between economic distress and the electoral punishment of incumbents.

Consuming Passions, Wasted Efforts

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Judith Hamera
Keyword(s):  
Las Vegas ◽  
Consumer Credit ◽  
Pivotal Role ◽  
Child Molestation ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Michael Jackson

This chapter examines Michael Jackson’s fiscal travails from 2002 to the release of This Is It in 2010, reading coverage of his consumption, debt, and attempts at recovery as racialized public melodrama. It begins with a scene of Jackson shopping in Las Vegas taken from Living with Michael Jackson, viewed through both the emerging consumer credit bubble and the temperance melodrama The Drunkard. It then turns to the ways testimony about Jackson’s finances, particularly his debts, played a pivotal role in his child molestation trial, reproducing a financialized melodramatic racial dialectic that emerged again in the subprime mortgage crisis. It concludes by reading parallels between accounts of Jackson’s physical wasting on the set of This Is It and that of the compulsively dancing child in Hans Christian Andersen’s tale “The Red Shoes.” Both represent the process of disciplining past excesses through redemptive contraction as US austerity rhetoric reached a crescendo.

scholarly journals CONTAGION AND DOWNSIDE RISK IN THE REIT MARKET DURING THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Chi CHEN ◽  
Hsiu-Jung TSAI ◽  
Tien-Foo SING ◽  
Chih-Yuan YANG
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
The United States ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Systematic Risks ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Capm Beta

This study empirically tests the contagion effects in stock and real estate investment trust (REIT) markets during the subprime mortgage crisis by using daily stock- and REIT-markets data from the following countries and international bodies: the United States, the European Union, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and the global REIT market. We found a significant and positive dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) coefficient between stock returns and REIT returns. The results revealed that the REIT markets responded early to market shocks and that the variances were higher in the post-crisis period than in the pre-crisis period. Evidence supporting the contagion effects includes increases in the means of the DCC coefficients during the post-crisis period. The Japanese and Australian REIT markets possess the lowest time-varying downside systematic risks. We also demonstrated that the “DCC E-beta” captures more significant downside linkages between market portfolios and expected REIT returns than does the standard CAPM beta.

scholarly journals SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS IN THE UNITED STATES IN 2007–2008: CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES (PART I)

Ekonomika ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 85-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vaidotas Pajarskas ◽  
Aldona Jočienė
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
The United States ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Market Expansion ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The main purpose of this article is to determine which factors and how contributed to the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2007–2008, what their causal links and effects on the markets and the whole economy were, and to assess what actions could have been taken by the Federal Reserve and the Government in order to mitigate or prevent the consequences of subprime mortgage crisis and housing bubble. In order to obtain the research results, the authors performed a qualitative analysis of the scientific literature on the course of events and their development that led to the subprime mortgage crisis, and focused on the insufficiently regulated home mortgage market expansion, the impact on the subprime mortgage crisis of financial innovations and financial engineering, poorly evaluated systemic risks and policy undertaken by both the U.S. Government and the Federal Reserve before and after the crisis. The quantitative research focused on two main parts: firstly, analysis of the dependence between the causes of subprime mortgage crisis and the consequences, using a statistical and regression analysis, and secondly, an alternative path the Government and the Federal Reserve could have taken in their policy actions and the results they could have produced. The authors believe that the results of the research could give useful guidelines to the central bankers and government officials on how to make long-term decisions that can help in preparing for the financial distress, mitigating the consequences when the crisis strikes, accelerating the recovery and even preventing the crisis it in the future. The second part of the qualitative research will appear in the next issue of the journal.

Subprime Mortgage Crisis

2018 ◽  
pp. 13255-13265
Author(s):  
Christopher L. Foote ◽  
Paul S. Willen
Keyword(s):  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis
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