scholarly journals Dynamic network prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 574-595
Author(s):  
Ravi Goyal ◽  
Victor De Gruttola

AbstractWe present a statistical framework for generating predicted dynamic networks based on the observed evolution of social relationships in a population. The framework includes a novel and flexible procedure to sample dynamic networks given a probability distribution on evolving network properties; it permits the use of a broad class of approaches to model trends, seasonal variability, uncertainty, and changes in population composition. Current methods do not account for the variability in the observed historical networks when predicting the network structure; the proposed method provides a principled approach to incorporate uncertainty in prediction. This advance aids in the designing of network-based interventions, as development of such interventions often requires prediction of the network structure in the presence and absence of the intervention. Two simulation studies are conducted to demonstrate the usefulness of generating predicted networks when designing network-based interventions. The framework is also illustrated by investigating results of potential interventions on bill passage rates using a dynamic network that represents the sponsor/co-sponsor relationships among senators derived from bills introduced in the U.S. Senate from 2003 to 2016.

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jill de Ron ◽  
Eiko I. Fried ◽  
Sacha Epskamp

Abstract Background In clinical research, populations are often selected on the sum-score of diagnostic criteria such as symptoms. Estimating statistical models where a subset of the data is selected based on a function of the analyzed variables introduces Berkson's bias, which presents a potential threat to the validity of findings in the clinical literature. The aim of the present paper is to investigate the effect of Berkson's bias on the performance of the two most commonly used psychological network models: the Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) for continuous and ordinal data, and the Ising Model for binary data. Methods In two simulation studies, we test how well the two models recover a true network structure when estimation is based on a subset of the data typically seen in clinical studies. The network is based on a dataset of 2807 patients diagnosed with major depression, and nodes in the network are items from the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HRSD). The simulation studies test different scenarios by varying (1) sample size and (2) the cut-off value of the sum-score which governs the selection of participants. Results The results of both studies indicate that higher cut-off values are associated with worse recovery of the network structure. As expected from the Berkson's bias literature, selection reduced recovery rates by inducing negative connections between the items. Conclusion Our findings provide evidence that Berkson's bias is a considerable and underappreciated problem in the clinical network literature. Furthermore, we discuss potential solutions to circumvent Berkson's bias and their pitfalls.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (15) ◽  
pp. 5473-5483
Author(s):  
Zhixin Zhou ◽  
Jianbang Wang ◽  
R. D. Levine ◽  
Francoise Remacle ◽  
Itamar Willner

A nucleic acid-based constitutional dynamic network (CDN) provides a single functional computational module for diverse input-guided logic operations and computing circuits.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jill de Ron ◽  
Eiko I Fried ◽  
Sacha Epskamp

In clinical research, populations are often selected on the sum-score of diagnostic criteria such as symptoms. Estimating statistical models where a subset of the data is selected based on a function of the analyzed variables introduces Berkson’s bias, which presents a potential threat to the validity of findings in the clinical literature. The aim of the present paper is to investigate the effect of Berkson’s bias on the performance of the two most commonly used psychological network models: the Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) for continuous and ordinal data, and the Ising Model for binary data. In two simulation studies, we test how well the two models recover a true network structure when estimation is based on a subset of the data typically seen in clinical studies. The network is based on a dataset of 2,807 patients diagnosed with major depression, and nodes in the network are items from the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HRSD). The simulation studies test different scenarios by varying (1) sample size and (2) the cut-off value of the sum-score which governs the selection of participants. The results of both studies indicate that higher cut-off values are associated with worse recovery of the network structure. As expected from the Berkson’s bias literature, selection reduced recovery rates by inducing negative connections between the items. Our findings provide evidence that Berkson’s bias is a considerable and underappreciated problem in the clinical network literature. Furthermore, we discuss potential solutions to circumvent Berkson’s bias and their pitfalls.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 2127-2140
Author(s):  
Mengxuan Zhang ◽  
Lei Li ◽  
Xiaofang Zhou

Shortest path computation is a building block of various network applications. Since real-life networks evolve as time passes, the Dynamic Shortest Path (DSP) problem has drawn lots of attention in recent years. However, as DSP has many factors related to network topology, update patterns, and query characteristics, existing works only test their algorithms on limited situations without sufficient comparisons with other approaches. Thus, it is still hard to choose the most suitable method in practice. To this end, we first identify the determinant dimensions and constraint dimensions of the DSP problem and create a complete problem space to cover all possible situations. Then we evaluate the state-of-the-art DSP methods under the same implementation standard and test them systematically under a set of synthetic dynamic networks. Furthermore, we propose the concept of dynamic degree to classify the dynamic environments and use throughput to evaluate their performance. These results can serve as a guideline to find the best solution for each situation during system implementation and also identify research opportunities. Finally, we validate our findings on real-life dynamic networks.


Author(s):  
John K. McSweeney

This chapter quantifies the dynamics of a crossword puzzle by using a network structure to model it. Specifically, the chapter determines how the interaction between the structure of cells in the puzzle and the difficulty of the clues affects the puzzle's solvability. It first builds an iterative stochastic process that exactly describes the solution and obtains its deterministic approximation, which gives a very simple fixed-point equation to solve for the final solution proportion. The chapter then shows via simulation on actual crosswords from the Sunday edition of The New York Times that certain network properties inherent to actual crossword networks are important predictors of the final solution size of the puzzle.


Data Mining ◽  
2013 ◽  
pp. 719-733
Author(s):  
Céline Robardet

Social network analysis studies relationships between individuals and aims at identifying interesting substructures such as communities. This type of network structure is intuitively defined as a subset of nodes more densely linked, when compared with the rest of the network. Such dense subgraphs gather individuals sharing similar property depending on the type of relation encoded in the graph. In this chapter we tackle the problem of identifying communities in dynamic networks where relationships among entities evolve over time. Meaningful patterns in such structured data must capture the strong interactions between individuals but also their temporal relationships. We propose a pattern discovery method to identify evolving patterns defined by constraints. In this paradigm, constraints are parameterized by the user to drive the discovery process towards potentially interesting patterns, with the positive side effect of achieving a more efficient computation. In the proposed approach, dense and isolated subgraphs, defined by two user-parameterized constraints, are first computed in the dynamic network restricted at a given time stamp. Second, the temporal evolution of such patterns is captured by associating a temporal event types to each subgraph. We consider five basic temporal events: the formation, dissolution, growth, diminution and stability of subgraphs from one time stamp to the next one. We propose an algorithm that finds such subgraphs in a time series of graphs processed incrementally. The extraction is feasible thanks to efficient pruning patterns strategies. Experimental results on real-world data confirm the practical feasibility of our approach. We evaluate the added-value of the method, both in terms of the relevancy of the extracted evolving patterns and in terms of scalability, on two dynamic sensor networks and on a dynamic mobility network.


2016 ◽  
Vol 30 (16) ◽  
pp. 1650092 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingting Wang ◽  
Weidi Dai ◽  
Pengfei Jiao ◽  
Wenjun Wang

Many real-world data can be represented as dynamic networks which are the evolutionary networks with timestamps. Analyzing dynamic attributes is important to understanding the structures and functions of these complex networks. Especially, studying the influential nodes is significant to exploring and analyzing networks. In this paper, we propose a method to identify influential nodes in dynamic social networks based on identifying such nodes in the temporal communities which make up the dynamic networks. Firstly, we detect the community structures of all the snapshot networks based on the degree-corrected stochastic block model (DCBM). After getting the community structures, we capture the evolution of every community in the dynamic network by the extended Jaccard’s coefficient which is defined to map communities among all the snapshot networks. Then we obtain the initial influential nodes of the dynamic network and aggregate them based on three widely used centrality metrics. Experiments on real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that our method can identify influential nodes in dynamic networks accurately, at the same time, we also find some interesting phenomena and conclusions for those that have been validated in complex network or social science.


Information ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Zhiwei Yang ◽  
Weigang Wu

A dynamic network is the abstraction of distributed systems with frequent network topology changes. With such dynamic network models, fundamental distributed computing problems can be formally studied with rigorous correctness. Although quite a number of models have been proposed and studied for dynamic networks, the existing models are usually defined from the point of view of connectivity properties. In this paper, instead, we examine the dynamicity of network topology according to the procedure of changes, i.e., how the topology or links change. Following such an approach, we propose the notion of the “instant path” and define two dynamic network models based on the instant path. Based on these two models, we design distributed algorithms for the problem of information dissemination respectively, one of the fundamental distributing computing problems. The correctness of our algorithms is formally proved and their performance in time cost and communication cost is analyzed. Compared with existing connectivity based dynamic network models and algorithms, our procedure based ones are definitely easier to be instantiated in the practical design and deployment of dynamic networks.


Author(s):  
S. Ananth ◽  
A. M. Kalpana ◽  
R. Vijayarajeswari

Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) is the interconnection between things or objects embedded with hardware and software. In WSN, small end devices (like sensors) and high end devices (like servers) are connected to the Internet. For WSN enabled in Software-Defined Network (SDN), the routers are controlled using a controller server node. It is a dynamic network due to the presence of mobile nodes and energy constrained nodes. The routing is the process of detecting route from source to target. In dynamic networks like WSN, routing is a challengeable task. This paper is to provide a routing solution for backboneless SDN-enabled WSN. The proposed work enhances routing Quality of Service (QoS) in WSN. The paths are dynamically reallocated to reduce the packet loss.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document