On the behavior of the failure rate and reversed failure rate in engineering systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 899-910
Author(s):  
Mahdi Tavangar
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Failure Rate ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Coherent System ◽  
System Failure ◽  
Engineering Systems ◽  
Coherent Systems

AbstractIn this paper the behaviour of the failure rate and reversed failure rate of an n-component coherent system is studied, where it is assumed that the lifetimes of the components are independent and have a common cumulative distribution function F. Sufficient conditions are provided under which the system failure rate is increasing and the corresponding reversed failure rate is decreasing. We also study the stochastic and ageing properties of doubly truncated random variables for coherent systems.

DISSONANCE — A MEASURE OF VARIABILITY FOR ORDINAL RANDOM VARIABLES

2001 ◽  
Vol 09 (01) ◽  
pp. 39-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
RONALD R. YAGER
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
General Properties

We look at the issue of obtaining a variance like measure associated with probability distributions over ordinal sets. We call these dissonance measures. We specify some general properties desired in these dissonance measures. The centrality of the cumulative distribution function in formulating the concept of dissonance is pointed out. We introduce some specific examples of measures of dissonance.

Estimating the cumulative distribution function for the linear combination of gamma random variables

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 939-951
Author(s):  
Amal Almarwani ◽  
Bashair Aljohani ◽  
Rasha Almutairi ◽  
Nada Albalawi ◽  
Alya O. Al Mutairi
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Linear Combination ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Cumulative Distribution

scholarly journals On Distribution Characteristics of a Fuzzy Random Variable

2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 53-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jalal Chachi
Keyword(s):  
Probability Theory ◽  
Distribution Function ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Fuzzy Random Variable ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Distribution Characteristics ◽  
Fuzzy Random Variables ◽  
Fuzzy Random

In this paper, rst a new notion of fuzzy random variables is introduced. Then, usingclassical techniques in Probability Theory, some aspects and results associated to a randomvariable (including expectation, variance, covariance, correlation coecient, etc.) will beextended to this new environment. Furthermore, within this framework, we can use thetools of general Probability Theory to dene fuzzy cumulative distribution function of afuzzy random variable.

Gaussian Quadrature GQ Used to Accurately Approximate the Relative Weights of Reserves, Contingent Resources, and Prospective Resources Through A Cumulative Distribution Function

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nefeli Moridis ◽  
W. John Lee ◽  
Wayne Sim ◽  
Thomas Blasingame
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Gaussian Quadrature ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Production Data ◽  
Discrete Random Variables ◽  
Percent Difference ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract The objective of this work is to numerically estimate the fraction of Reserves assigned to each Reserves category of the PRMS matrix through a cumulative distribution function. We selected 38 wells from a Permian Basin dataset available to Texas A&M University. Previous work has shown that Swanson's Mean, which relates the Reserves categories through a cdf of a normal distribution, is an inaccurate method to determine the relationship of the Reserves categories with asymmetric distributions. Production data are lognormally distributed, regardless of basin type, thus cannot follow the SM concept. The Gaussian Quadrature (GQ) provides a methodology to accurately estimate the fraction of Reserves that lie in 1P, 2P, and 3P categories – known as the weights. Gaussian Quadrature is a numerical integration method that uses discrete random variables and a distribution that matches the original data. For this work, we associate the lognormal cumulative distribution function (CDF) with a set of discrete random variables that replace the production data, and determine the associated probabilities. The production data for both conventional and unconventional fields are lognormally distributed, thus we expect that this methodology can be implemented in any field. To do this, we performed probabilistic decline curve analysis (DCA) using Arps’ Hyperbolic model and Monte Carlo simulation to obtain the 1P, 2P, and 3P volumes, and calculated the relative weights of each Reserves category. We performed probabilistic rate transient analysis (RTA) using a commercial software to obtain the 1P, 2P, and 3P volumes, and calculated the relative weights of each Reserves category. We implemented the 3-, 5-, and 10-point GQ to obtain the weight and percentiles for each well. Once this was completed, we validated the GQ results by calculating the percent-difference between the probabilistic DCA, RTA, and GQ results. We increase the standard deviation to account for the uncertainty of Contingent and Prospective resources and implemented 3-, 5-, and 10-point GQ to obtain the weight and percentiles for each well. This allows us to also approximate the weights of these volumes to track them through the life of a given project. The probabilistic DCA, RTA and Reserves results indicate that the SM is an inaccurate method for estimating the relative weights of each Reserves category. The 1C, 2C, 3C, and 1U, 2U, and 3U Contingent and Prospective Resources, respectively, are distributed in a similar way but with greater variance, incorporated in the standard deviation. The results show that the GQ is able to capture an accurate representation of the Reserves weights through a lognormal CDF. Based on the proposed results, we believe that the GQ is accurate and can be used to approximate the relationship between the PRMS categories. This relationship will aid in booking Reserves to the SEC because it can be recreated for any field. These distributions of Reserves and resources other than Reserves (ROTR) are important for planning and for resource inventorying. The GQ provides a measure of confidence on the prediction of the Reserves weights because of the low percent difference between the probabilistic DCA, RTA, and GQ weights. This methodology can be implemented in both conventional and unconventional fields.

scholarly journals A Rothschild-Stiglitz Approach to Bayesian Persuasion

2016 ◽  
Vol 106 (5) ◽  
pp. 597-601 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Gentzkow ◽  
Emir Kamenica
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Convex Functions ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Blackwell's Theorem ◽  
Blackwell’S Theorem

Rothschild and Stiglitz (1970) represent random variables as convex functions (integrals of the cumulative distribution function). Combining this representation with Blackwell's Theorem (1953), we characterize distributions of posterior means that can be induced by a signal. This characterization provides a novel way to analyze a class of Bayesian persuasion problems.

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