scholarly journals Risk Factors of Fatal Outcome in Patients With COVID-19 Pneumonia

Author(s):  
Michaela Cellina ◽  
Daniele Gibelli ◽  
Carlo Valenti Pittino ◽  
Tahereh Toluian ◽  
Pietro Marino ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Objectives: The aim of this study was to correlate the clinical, laboratory, and radiographic characteristics of patients with a confirmed diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease, with fatal outcome. Methods: We reviewed chest X-ray (CXR) features, clinical, and laboratory data of patients with reverse transcriptase polymerase-chain-reaction confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 infection. The relationship with mortality was investigated by fitting a logistic regression model. Results: A total of 246 patients were included (170 males; mean age, 63 y). Most of the patients had 1 or more comorbidity (62%); fever (95%), and cough (60%) were the most common symptoms; CXR detected abnormalities in 88.6%, mainly showing ground-glass opacities (GGO) (90%) with bilateral (64%) and peripheral (46%) distribution. Multivariate analysis showed that age (P < 0.001; mortality of 59% in patients >66 y old; 5% at a younger age) and consolidation at CXR (P = 0.001; mortality of 11% with positive CXR; 2% in those without) represented the 2 most significant independent risk factors of mortality. Chronic pathologies, such as diabetes and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and peripheral GGO at CXR also showed a significant correlation with mortality. Conclusions: We identified predictive factors for the fatal outcome of COVID-19 patients. The prognostic value of these findings can be useful for optimal patient management and resource allocation.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manyun Tang ◽  
Yidan Wang ◽  
Mengjie Wang ◽  
Rui Tong ◽  
Tao Shi

Background: Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSAS) overlap syndrome (OS) are thought to be at increased risk for cardiovascular diseases.Objective: To evaluate the burden of cardiovascular diseases and long-term outcomes in patients with OS.Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study. The prevalence of cardiovascular diseases and 1-year mortality were compared among patients diagnosed with OS (OS group), COPD alone (COPD group) and OSAS alone (OSAS group), and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess independent risk factors for all-cause mortality.Results: Overall, patients with OS were at higher risk for pulmonary hypertension (PH), heart failure and all-cause mortality than patients with COPD or OSAS (all p &lt; 0.05). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.273 (1.050–1.543); p = 0.014], hypertension [aHR: 2.006 (1.005–4.004); p = 0.048], pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) [aHR: 4.774 (1.335–17.079); p = 0.016] and heart failure [aHR: 3.067 (1.521–6.185); p = 0.002] were found to be independent risk factors for 1-year all-cause mortality.Conclusion: Patients with OS had an increased risk for cardiovascular diseases and 1-year mortality. More efforts are needed to identify the causal relationship between OS and cardiovascular diseases, promoting risk stratification and the management of these patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianwei Xiao ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Yuanliang Xie ◽  
Zengfa Huang ◽  
Yi Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: We investigated the clinical course and imaging findings of hospitalized patients who were initially diagnosed with moderate COVID-19 symptoms to identify risk factors associated with progression to severe/critical symptoms.Methods: This study was a retrospective single-center study at The Central Hospital of Wuhan. 243 patients with confirmed COVID­19 pneumonia were enrolled in the analysis, of which 40 patients progressed from moderate to severe/critical symptoms during follow up. Demographic, clinical, laboratory and radiological data were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between moderate and severe/critical symptom types. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify the risk factors associated with symptom progression.Results: Patients with severe/critical symptoms were older (p<0.001) and more often male (p=0.046). We found that the combination of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and high maximum CT scores was associated with disease progression. Maximum CT scores (≥11) had the greatest predictive value for disease progression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.861 (95% CI: 0.811-0.902).Conclusions: Maximum CT scores and COPD are associated with patient deterioration. Maximum CT scores (≥11) are associated with severe illness.


2006 ◽  
Vol 27 (12) ◽  
pp. 1397-1400 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. J. López Gude ◽  
R. San Juan ◽  
J. M. Aguado ◽  
L. Maroto ◽  
F. López-Medrano ◽  
...  

We report results of a case-control study in which we evaluated 41 risk factors potentially associated with the development of post-surgical mediastinitis. There were 163 case patients and 326 control patients. Independent risk factors kept in the final multivariate logistic regression model were obesity (defined as a body mass index of greater than 30), diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, preoperative stay longer than 1 week, pulmonary hypertension, perioperative myocardial infarction, and reoperation.


2015 ◽  
Vol 81 (8) ◽  
pp. 820-825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin P. Alvarez ◽  
Andres X. Samayoa-Mendez ◽  
Mary C. Naglak ◽  
James V. Yuschak ◽  
Kenric M. Murayama

Postoperative unplanned intubation (PUI) is a significant complication and is associated with severe adverse events and mortality. By participating in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP), we learned that PUI occurred more frequently than expected at our institution. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors that are predictors of PUI at our institution. We reviewed the NSQIP data from our institution and the NSQIP national database for surgery patients from 2010 through 2013. The rate of PUI at our institution was 1.54 per cent compared with the national rate of 1.03 per cent. Perioperative risk factors were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression. Analysis of the national NSQIP database identified 14 independent risk factors for PUI. Analysis of the NSQIP data at our institution demonstrated that emergent cases, preoperative ventilator status, smoking, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and older age were independent risk factors. In conclusion, patients at our institution with these five risk factors were at higher risk of requiring PUI. These risk factors could be used to help identify patients at high risk and possibly help prevent postoperative respiratory failure and unplanned intubation.


2006 ◽  
Vol 27 (12) ◽  
pp. 1397-1400 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. J. López Gude ◽  
R. San Juan ◽  
J. M. Aguado ◽  
L. Maroto ◽  
F. López-Medrano ◽  
...  

We report results of a case-control study in which we evaluated 41 risk factors potentially associated with the development of post-surgical mediastinitis. There were 163 case patients and 326 control patients. Independent risk factors kept in the final multivariate logistic regression model were obesity (defined as a body mass index of greater than 30), diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, preoperative stay longer than 1 week, pulmonary hypertension, perioperative myocardial infarction, and reoperation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 495-503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masataka Irie ◽  
Ryoichi Nakanishi ◽  
Manabu Yasuda ◽  
Yoshihisa Fujino ◽  
Kazumi Hamada ◽  
...  

Few studies have analysed postoperative risk factors in patients undergoing thoracoscopic lobectomy, including assessments of preoperative physical function. The objectives of this study were to identify predictors of postoperative deterioration of performance status and cardiopulmonary complications in cases of thoracoscopic lobectomy.Between June 2005 and October 2012, we retrospectively reviewed 188 consecutive subjects who underwent thoracoscopic lobectomy for preoperative stage I nonsmall cell lung cancer. The demographic and clinical parameters, including physical function, were analysed using a multivariate logistic regression to clarify the determinants.The percent predicted diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, quadriceps muscle strength and pathologic stage were independent risk factors for deterioration of performance status after surgery in the multivariate analyses. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 6-min walking distance and pathologic stage were also independent risk factors for postoperative cardiopulmonary complications.Our data suggest that, in addition to a greater pathologic stage, lower diffusing capacity and comorbid chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, poor physical function was associated with worse short-term outcomes after thoracoscopic lobectomy. An evaluation of preoperative quadriceps muscle strength and 6-min walk test is easily performed and may therefore be a useful predictor in cases of thoracoscopic lobectomy.


Medicina ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 56 (9) ◽  
pp. 466
Author(s):  
Hwa Jin Cho ◽  
Woo Young Kim ◽  
Sung Man Park ◽  
Jung Hwa Lee ◽  
Hong Ju Shin ◽  
...  

Background and Objectives: Most cases of Kawasaki disease (KD) occur between the ages of 6 months and 5 years. Differences in immunological reaction and CAL (coronary artery lesion) by the age subgroups classified according to the prevalence of KD and those particularly in the earlier life of KD should be investigated. Materials and Methods: The laboratory data of 223 infantile and 681 non-infantile KD cases from 2003 to 2018 at Korea University Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with KD were divided into infants and non-infants and further subdivided into four subgroups by age. The age-adjusted Z-values were compared among the subgroups. Febrile controls were identified as patients with fever for >5 days and who showed some of the KD symptoms. Results: IVIG (intravenous immunoglobulin) resistance at the age of 6 months or less was significantly lower than that at the ages of 7–12 months and 13–60 months (respectively, p < 0.05). The significant risk factors for CAL in total KD patients were age, incomplete KD, post-IVIG fever, IVIG resistance, convalescent Z-eosinophil, and subacute platelet (p < 0.05). The significant risk factors for CAL at the age of 6 months or less were IVIG resistance, acute Z-neutrophil, subacute Z-neutrophil, subacute NLR (neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio), and subacute platelet (respectively, p < 0.05). Conclusion: Younger age and incomplete presentation in KD can be independent risk factors for CAL. The immune reactions of KD at a younger age are more tolerated compared with those at older ages during the acute phase. The immune response at the age of 6 months or less showed immune tolerance in terms of incomplete presentation and IVIG responsiveness. The risk factors such as IVIG resistance, subacute platelet, subacute NLR, and acute or subacute Z-neutrophil at the age of 6 months or less can be very useful parameters to predict CAL in young, incomplete KD.


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