scholarly journals Demography and provisions for retirement: the pension composition, a behavioral approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 87 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-31
Author(s):  
Bernard M.S. Van Praag ◽  
J. Peter Hop
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Social Security ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Modern Society ◽  
Behavioral Approach ◽  
Occupational Pension ◽  
Age Cohort ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Capital Market

AbstractPensions may be provided for in a modern society by a mix of several methods, namely by voluntary individual savings, mandatory fully-funded occupational pension systems, mandatory social security financed by pay-as-you-go, and old-fashioned hoarding in cash. We call a specific mixture of the four systems a pension composition. We assume that individual workers decide on their own individual savings, that the fully-funded occupational system is decided upon by the age cohort of the median worker, and that social security is decided upon by the median voter. We assume that individual and collective pension savings are the only sources of capital supply. When capital supply equals demand from industry, there is equilibrium in the capital market with a corresponding equilibrium interest rate and pension composition. In this paper, we assume a demography with one hundred age brackets and we investigate how changes in the birth rates, survival rates, and the retirement age affect the pension composition and the capital market equilibrium. Our conclusion is that for a given technology, the pension composition and the interest rate are determined by the demography and cannot be modified at will as a long-term political instrument.

scholarly journals Capital Market Determinants and Market Capitalization in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 462
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Harmful Effect ◽  
National Development ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
The Capital Market

Capital market plays a crucial role in a country’s national development and economic capacity building. However, there are economic forces that determine the success of a capital market development in every nation. This study investigates the role of these economic indicators in determining the capital market performance in Nigeria using secondary data covering a period from 1998 to 2018. These data have been sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators, International Monetary Fund and CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2018 edition. The results from the regression analysis indicate that exchange rate and inflation rate have immaterial undesirable consequence on capital market capitalization (CMC) while the interest rate exerts a weighty harmful effect on CMC. The study also provides evidence that the gross domestic product (GDP) has a substantial positive impact on CMC. The study among others suggests that the growth of the economy should be sustained in order to keep boosting the capital market. However, the economic indicators such as inflation, interest rate and exchange rate should be kept under strict control by the relevant authorities in the country.

scholarly journals DETERMINAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, INDEKS DOW JONES, NIKKEI 225, DAN STRAITS TIME TERHADAP ISSI

El Dinar ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Febrian Wahyu Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Supervisory Board ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
The Capital Market

<p><em>Islamic financing is a kind of investment that has system and operational based on sharia principles. Islamic financing is supervised by the Sharia Supervisory Board (DPS). This is to safeguard that there are no commercial involved such as gambling, usury, and prohibitedproducts. The indexfluctuation in the capital market of a country is influenced by world capital market indices. The first Islamic index in world is the Dow Jones Islamic Market Index (DJIM). Based on the discussion about the influence of Interest Rate variables, Dow Jones Islamic Market, Nikkei 225 Index, and Straits Times Index on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index variable for June 2012 until March 2017  the conclusions are as follows: Interest Rate has a negative effect on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index, Dow Jones Islamic Market has a positive effect on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index, the Nikkei 225 has a negative effect on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index, the Straits Times negatively affects the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index</em></p>

scholarly journals PENGARUH MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM EMPAT NEGARA DI ASIA TENGGARA PERIODE 2003-2013

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 167
Author(s):  
Anesa Novtiani Saragih ◽  
Koramen H. Sirait
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Southeast Asia ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Interest Rate

<em>Investment in capital investment which is excessively done by companies or individuals in countries Southeast Asia. Investment which typically done is an investment in the capital market. By investing in these capital markets, it can raise particular country’s economic activity where share is one of the instruments of capital market. Many investors prefer this instrument in investing due to the attractive shares advantage. The movement of share prices changes every day, and observing the movements is essential by the investors. The information that can be observed by the investors in observing the movements of share prices is the joint share price index in a country. This research aims to analyze influence the macroeconomic variables towards share price index in some Southeast Asia countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Singapore from 2003 to 2013. This research employs panel data analysis to determine the variables which affect share prices in four Southeast Asian countries. The variables that affect the share price index are the interest rate, IHK, and GDP. Based on the panel data analysis, it is shown that the interest rate gives negative effect and significant towards the share price index of four countries in Southeast Asia, IHK gives negative effect and not significant towards the share price index of countries in Southeast Asia, and GDP gives positive effect and not significant towards the share price index of countries in Southeast Asia.</em>

scholarly journals PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA (SBI) DAN INFLASI TERHADAP IHSG INDUSTRI PERBANKAN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA (BEI)

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-89
Author(s):  
Yuliawan Yuliawan
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
The Capital Market

The capital market has a strategic role to strengthen the economic resilience of a country and as a favorable alternative investment destination. Capital markets have an important role to the economy of a country because the capital market runs two functions, namely economic function and financial function. The capital market becomes a driver of the national economy through its role as a source of corporate financing and an alternative for investors to invest. In the capital market, the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) plays an important role, because this index can be a barometer of economic health in a country. Macroeconomic factors such as high inflation, interest rates and depreciation of the rupiah against the dollar will lower stock prices. This study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic factors such as inflation and interest rates on the composite stock price index (IHSG) in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX).The analysis method using multiple linear regression analysis model. The data used in this study is the monthly secondary data period 2013-2016. This study used 36 samples. The structural equation for this multiple linear regression analysis is Y = -382,192 X1 + 278,977 X2.The inflation and interest rate / BI Rate variable can explain the JCI in this multiple linear regression analysis model of 4.9%. The correlation between variable inflation and interest rate / BI Rate to JCI of 0.322 is quite strong. From the calculation, F arithmetic <F table (1.907 <8.92), it can be concluded there is no linear relationship between inflation, interest rate / BI Rate and exchange rate against JCI.

scholarly journals PENDEKATAN STRATEGIS ADAPTIF BERBASIS SJSN (BPJS) DALAM UPAYA PENGEMBANGAN PRODUK PENSIUN NASIONAL

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-86
Author(s):  
Yuliyanti M.Manan
Keyword(s):  
Health Insurance ◽  
Social Security ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Adaptive Strategy ◽  
Financial Industry ◽  
Pension Program ◽  
Actuarial Approach ◽  
Alternative Means ◽  
The Capital Market

ABSTRACT The Capital Market Industry and Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) provide alternative means of investment and financial planning for the public. Funds collected in the capital market and the non-bank financial industry (IKNB) and the movement of funds through the financial markets, including capital markets and non-bank financial institutions, are the main keys to the movement of a country's economy. The ranking of penetration results from the World Bank in 6 Asian countries Indonesia ranks 6th, in order to increase penetration, an adaptive approach based on the National Social Security System (BPJS) is needed, in this case placing the role of the National Health Insurance as a center for developing a national pension program with the strategy of integrating the health benefits of Social Security Health Insurance. and pension services (BPJS-K & P). The purpose of this research is to analyze and study innovation solutions to the development and derivation platform of pension products based on the BPJS program. This study uses a descriptive analytical research design and an actuarial approach to research and develop BPJS-based pension services programs. Keywords: Adaptive Strategy, SJSN, BPJS, Pension Services.   ABSTRAK Industri Pasar Modal dan Lembaga Keuangan Non-Bank (LKNB) menyediakan sarana investasi alternatif dan perencanaan keuangan untuk publik. Dana yang dikumpulkan di pasar modal dan industri keuangan non-bank (IKNB) dan pergerakan dana melalui pasar keuangan, termasuk pasar modal dan lembaga keuangan non-bank, adalah kunci utama pergerakan ekonomi suatu negara. Pemeringkatan hasil penetrasi dari Bank Dunia di 6 negara Asia Indonesia menempati urutan keenam, untuk meningkatkan penetrasi, diperlukan pendekatan adaptif berdasarkan Sistem Jaminan Sosial Nasional (BPJS), dalam hal ini menempatkan peran Asuransi Kesehatan Nasional. sebagai pusat pengembangan program pensiun nasional dengan strategi mengintegrasikan manfaat kesehatan dari Jaminan Kesehatan Jaminan Sosial. dan layanan pensiun (BPJS-K & P). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis dan mempelajari solusi inovasi untuk platform pengembangan dan derivasi produk pensiun berdasarkan program BPJS. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain penelitian analitik deskriptif dan pendekatan aktuaria untuk meneliti dan mengembangkan program layanan pensiun berbasis BPJS. Kata kunci: Strategi Adaptif, SJSN, BPJS, Layanan Pensiun.

scholarly journals Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 144
Author(s):  
Hendang Tanusdjaja, Augustpaosa Nariman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Investment ◽  
The Capital Market

The growth of the stock market in Indonesia from the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) showed quite fantastic in the last ten years after experiencing a downturn in the 2008 global financial crisis. The stock investment in the capital market is not the only type of financial investment, there is another type, namely Indonesia Bank Certificate (SBI) and money market measured by exchange rates. This study aims to find out how the SBI interest rate, exchange rate, money supply (M2) and inflation affect the JCI in the 2011-2015 periods. By using SPSS V20, it was found that in the period of SBI interest rate, exchange rate, money supply (M2) and inflation rate had no effect on the CSPI. This is due to the level of return on the capital market is greater than the SBI interest rate and exchange rate difference, while the number of transactions on the Indonesia Stock Exchange is still dominated by foreign investors, M2 does not affect the CSPI, and they are generally traders rather than investors, thus the inflation rate affects the company's growth was slightly ignored.

Covered Interest Rate Arbitrage Trading and Negative Spreads of Interest rate Swap in Korea

2010 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-75
Author(s):  
Seungyeon Won
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Interest Rate Swap ◽  
Arbitrage Trading ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Korean Market ◽  
Swap Spreads ◽  
Rate Swap

This paper empirically shows that the long-term persistence of negative swap spreads, which was unique phenomenon only in Korean interest rate swap market, could be caused by the covered interest rate arbitrage trading by foreign investors in Korean market. It concretely shows the fixed rates of currency swap, whose decreases expand the incentive for arbitrage trading by foreign investors, to positively influence the interest rate swap spreads. The empirical results suggests that the foreign factors might make more effect on the interest rate swap market than the spot bond market, resulting in the negative interest rate swap spreads. The results implies that, the asset pricing for interest rate swap needs to consider the foreign factors under the circumstances of open capital market.

scholarly journals Comment on Burgess and Zerbe’s “Appropriate Discounting for Benefit-Cost Analysis”

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Szabolcs Szekeres
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Cost Analysis ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Opportunity Cost ◽  
Benefit Cost Analysis ◽  
The Public ◽  
Future Consumption ◽  
Great Divergence ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Benefit Cost

This is a comment on a paper by David F. Burgess and Richard O. Zerbe. It derives a different set of conclusions than the cited authors do from the customary premises underlying benefit-cost analysis. It concludes that capital should be shadow priced, and that the appropriate discount rate to use in benefit-cost analysis is the interest rate of the capital market to which the public sector has access. It proposes that a plausible source of the great divergence in approaches to discounting stems from different answers being given to the question of whether present day consumption has a future consumption opportunity cost.

scholarly journals FAKTOR MAKRO EKONOMI DAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Rohmad Fuad Armansyah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Capital Market

ABSTRACTrequired in the economic development of a country. Indonesia’s capital markets that began operating government took steps to make the capital market as a distributor of funds and investments equivalentto bank and non-bank institutions. Stock price of the capital market are closely related to several factors, which may consist of a factor derived from the company’s internal and external. This study tried to examine the factors that affect stock price index focuses on macro economic factors. In this study the authors wanted to determine the effect of the money supply, interest rates on deposits, and dollar exchange rates simultaneously and partially on the Composite Index in Indonesian capital market. Besides that, the authors also wanted to know that among the factors mentioned above, there are some factors dominantly affecting the Composite Stock Price Index. The approach used in this study is quantitative approach, because the existing data in the form of numbers are arranged in a list. The analysis method used in this study is the method of statistical analysis by multiple linear regression using SPSS version 16. Population and sample used in this study are all companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange by looking at the composite stock price index. The results of this study indicate that the interest rate of deposits, money supply, and the dollar exchange rate which  change and development of the Composite Stock Price Index and the money supply, are dominant Composite Stock Price Index.

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