VALUATION OF MORTGAGE INSURANCE CONTRACTS WITH COUNTERPARTY DEFAULT RISK: REDUCED-FORM APPROACH

2014 ◽  
Vol 44 (2) ◽  
pp. 303-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chia-Chien Chang
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Mortgage Insurance ◽  
Insurance Contracts ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Correlated Defaults ◽  
Form Approach

AbstractIn the recent subprime mortgage crisis, which has caused banks and insurance companies to go bankrupt or into acquisition, the lender and insurer have exhibited not only correlated defaults when exposed to common risk factors but also counterparty default risk, which is triggered by mortgage defaults. Given the correlated defaults and the counterparty default risk, we use the reduced-form approach to derive the closed-form formulas of mortgage insurance contracts with premium refunds, annual premiums and upfront premiums. Regardless of the nature of the premium structures, the numerical analysis with parameter calibration demonstrates that both the correlated defaults and the counterparty default risk significantly impact mortgage insurance premiums, particularly in long-term mortgage loans.

Consuming Passions, Wasted Efforts

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Judith Hamera
Keyword(s):  
Las Vegas ◽  
Consumer Credit ◽  
Pivotal Role ◽  
Child Molestation ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Michael Jackson

This chapter examines Michael Jackson’s fiscal travails from 2002 to the release of This Is It in 2010, reading coverage of his consumption, debt, and attempts at recovery as racialized public melodrama. It begins with a scene of Jackson shopping in Las Vegas taken from Living with Michael Jackson, viewed through both the emerging consumer credit bubble and the temperance melodrama The Drunkard. It then turns to the ways testimony about Jackson’s finances, particularly his debts, played a pivotal role in his child molestation trial, reproducing a financialized melodramatic racial dialectic that emerged again in the subprime mortgage crisis. It concludes by reading parallels between accounts of Jackson’s physical wasting on the set of This Is It and that of the compulsively dancing child in Hans Christian Andersen’s tale “The Red Shoes.” Both represent the process of disciplining past excesses through redemptive contraction as US austerity rhetoric reached a crescendo.

scholarly journals Do the Determinants of Non-Performing Loans Have a Different Effect over Time? A Conditional Correlation Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Mariagrazia Fallanca ◽  
Antonio Fabio Forgione ◽  
Edoardo Otranto
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Bank Loan ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Correlation Models ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
The Us ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

Several studies have explored the linkage between non-performing loans and major macroeconomic indicators, using a wide variety of methodologies, sometimes with different results. This occurs, we argue, because these relationships are generally derived in terms of correlation coefficients evaluated in certain time spans, which represent a sort of average level of correlations. However, such correlations are necessarily time-varying, because the relationships between bank loan indicators and macroeconomic variables could be stronger during particular periods or in correspondence with important economic events. We propose an empirical exercise using dynamic conditional correlation models, with constant and time-varying parameters. Applying these models to quarterly delinquency rates and an array of macroeconomic variables for the US, for the period 1985–2019, we find that the correlation is often negligible in this period except during periods of economic crises, in particular the early 1990 crisis and the subprime mortgage crisis.

scholarly journals Profit and Risk under Subprime Mortgage Securitization

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Petersen ◽  
J. Mukuddem-Petersen ◽  
B. De Waal ◽  
M. C. Senosi ◽  
S. Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Collateralized Debt Obligations ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Main Hypothesis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Residential Mortgage ◽  
Maturity Mismatch ◽  
Mortgage Securitization ◽  
Collateralized Debt

We investigate the securitization of subprime residential mortgage loans into structured products such as subprime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBSs) and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). Our deliberations focus on profit and risk in a discrete-time framework as they are related to RMBSs and RMBS CDOs. In this regard, profit is known to be an important indicator of financial health. With regard to risk, we discuss credit (including counterparty and default), market (including interest rate, price, and liquidity), operational (including house appraisal, valuation, and compensation), tranching (including maturity mismatch and synthetic) and systemic (including maturity transformation) risks. Also, we consider certain aspects of Basel regulation when securitization is taken into account. The main hypothesis of this paper is that the SMC was mainly caused by the intricacy and design of subprime mortgage securitization that led to information (asymmetry, contagion, inefficiency, and loss) problems, valuation opaqueness and ineffective risk mitigation. The aforementioned hypothesis is verified in a theoretical- and numerical-quantitative context and is illustrated via several examples.

Union Impact: A Reduced Form Approach

1977 ◽  
Vol 59 (4) ◽  
pp. 503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence M. Kahn
Keyword(s):  
Reduced Form ◽  
Union Impact ◽  
Form Approach

scholarly journals CONTAGION AND DOWNSIDE RISK IN THE REIT MARKET DURING THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Chi CHEN ◽  
Hsiu-Jung TSAI ◽  
Tien-Foo SING ◽  
Chih-Yuan YANG
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
The United States ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Systematic Risks ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Crisis ◽  
Capm Beta

This study empirically tests the contagion effects in stock and real estate investment trust (REIT) markets during the subprime mortgage crisis by using daily stock- and REIT-markets data from the following countries and international bodies: the United States, the European Union, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and the global REIT market. We found a significant and positive dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) coefficient between stock returns and REIT returns. The results revealed that the REIT markets responded early to market shocks and that the variances were higher in the post-crisis period than in the pre-crisis period. Evidence supporting the contagion effects includes increases in the means of the DCC coefficients during the post-crisis period. The Japanese and Australian REIT markets possess the lowest time-varying downside systematic risks. We also demonstrated that the “DCC E-beta” captures more significant downside linkages between market portfolios and expected REIT returns than does the standard CAPM beta.

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