scholarly journals Exact simulation of the extrema of stable processes

2019 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. 967-993
Author(s):  
Jorge I. González Cázares ◽  
Aleksandar Mijatović ◽  
Gerónimo Uribe Bravo
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
Stable Process ◽  
Stable Processes ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Simulation Algorithm ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
Exact Simulation ◽  
The Past ◽  
Coupling From The Past

AbstractWe exhibit an exact simulation algorithm for the supremum of a stable process over a finite time interval using dominated coupling from the past (DCFTP). We establish a novel perpetuity equation for the supremum (via the representation of the concave majorants of Lévy processes [27]) and use it to construct a Markov chain in the DCFTP algorithm. We prove that the number of steps taken backwards in time before the coalescence is detected is finite. We analyse the performance of the algorithm numerically (the code, written in Julia 1.0, is available on GitHub).

scholarly journals A simple metric to quantify seismicity clustering

2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 293-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. F. Cho ◽  
K. F. Tiampo ◽  
S. D. Mckinnon ◽  
J. A. Vallejos ◽  
W. Klein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Physical Meaning ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
Metastable Equilibrium ◽  
Lower Sensitivity ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
The Past ◽  
Local Clustering ◽  
Over Time

Abstract. The Thirulamai-Mountain (TM) metric was first developed to study ergodicity in fluids and glasses (Thirumalai and Mountain, 1993) using the concept of effective ergodicity, where a large but finite time interval is considered. Tiampo et al. (2007) employed the TM metric to earthquake systems to search for effective ergodic periods, which are considered to be metastable equilibrium states that are disrupted by large events. The physical meaning of the TM metric for seismicity is addressed here in terms of the clustering of earthquakes in both time and space for different sets of data. It is shown that the TM metric is highly dependent not only on spatial/temporal seismicity clustering, but on the past seismic activity of the region and the time intervals considered as well, and that saturation occurs over time, resulting in a lower sensitivity to local clustering. These results confirm that the TM metric can be used to quantify seismicity clustering from both spatial and temporal perspectives, in which the disruption of effective ergodic periods are caused by the agglomeration of events.

A method for approximating the probability functions of a Markov chain

1988 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 808-814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith N. Crank
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Differential Equations ◽  
Finite Number ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
The State ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Continuous Time Markov Chain ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
System Of Differential Equations

This paper presents a method of approximating the state probabilities for a continuous-time Markov chain. This is done by constructing a right-shift process and then solving the Kolmogorov system of differential equations recursively. By solving a finite number of the differential equations, it is possible to obtain the state probabilities to any degree of accuracy over any finite time interval.

A method for approximating the probability functions of a Markov chain

1988 ◽  
Vol 25 (04) ◽  
pp. 808-814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith N. Crank
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Differential Equations ◽  
Finite Number ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
The State ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Continuous Time Markov Chain ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
System Of Differential Equations

This paper presents a method of approximating the state probabilities for a continuous-time Markov chain. This is done by constructing a right-shift process and then solving the Kolmogorov system of differential equations recursively. By solving a finite number of the differential equations, it is possible to obtain the state probabilities to any degree of accuracy over any finite time interval.

A finite-time ruin probability formula for continuous claim severities

2004 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 570-578 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zvetan G. Ignatov ◽  
Vladimir K. Kaishev
Keyword(s):  
Real Function ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
Ruin Probability ◽  
Joint Distribution ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Insurance Company ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
Appell Polynomials ◽  
Premium Income ◽  
Inverted Dirichlet

An explicit formula for the probability of nonruin of an insurance company in a finite time interval is derived, assuming Poisson claim arrivals, any continuous joint distribution of the claim amounts and any nonnegative, increasing real function representing its premium income. The formula is compact and expresses the nonruin probability in terms of Appell polynomials. An example, illustrating its numerical convenience, is also given in the case of inverted Dirichlet-distributed claims and a linearly increasing premium-income function.

scholarly journals Finite-Time Boundedness for a Class of Delayed Markovian Jumping Neural Networks with Partly Unknown Transition Probabilities

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Li Liang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Finite Time ◽  
Transition Probabilities ◽  
The State ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
Markovian Jumping ◽  
Stochastic Boundedness ◽  
Partly Unknown Transition Probabilities ◽  
Finite Time Boundedness

This paper is concerned with the problem of finite-time boundedness for a class of delayed Markovian jumping neural networks with partly unknown transition probabilities. By introducing the appropriate stochastic Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional and the concept of stochastically finite-time stochastic boundedness for Markovian jumping neural networks, a new method is proposed to guarantee that the state trajectory remains in a bounded region of the state space over a prespecified finite-time interval. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness and reduced conservativeness of the proposed results.

On robust controllability of uncertain non-linear jump systems with respect to the finite-time interval

2011 ◽  
Vol 34 (7) ◽  
pp. 841-849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuping He ◽  
Fei Liu
Keyword(s):  
Finite Time ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Linear Matrix ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Finite Time Interval ◽  
Markov Jump ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Robust Controllability ◽  
Jump Systems ◽  
Takagi Sugeno

In this paper we study the robust control problems with respect to the finite-time interval of uncertain non-linear Markov jump systems. By means of Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy models, the overall closed-loop fuzzy dynamics are constructed through selected membership functions. By using the stochastic Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional approach, a sufficient condition is firstly established on the stochastic robust finite-time stabilization. Then, in terms of linear matrix inequalities techniques, the sufficient conditions on the existence of the stochastic finite-time controller are presented and proved. Finally, the design problem is formulated as an optimization one. The simulation results illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approaches.

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