The industrial life cycle of wind energy electrical power generation

2009 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 178-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
John P. Dismukes ◽  
Lawrence K. Miller ◽  
John A. Bers
2008 ◽  
Vol 380 ◽  
pp. 43-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
John P. Dismukes ◽  
Lawrence K. Miller ◽  
Andrew Solocha ◽  
John A. Bers

This study addresses past, current and future development of the wind electrical power industry, that began prior to 1890 in Cleveland, Ohio and Askov, Denmark. Overcoming technological, business, societal and political hurdles required approximately 120 years of exploration to establish wind electricity generation as a radical innovation entering the acceleration stage of the industrial technology life cycle. Materials and integrated materials systems featuring mechanical, structural, fluid dynamic, electrical, electronic, and telecommunications functionality developed and introduced over that period have contributed uniquely to current commercial viability of wind turbine electrical power generation. Further growth and maturation is expected to continue to ≈ 2100, corresponding to a life cycle of ≅ 210 years. This finding has profound implications for radical innovation theory and practice, since historical analysis attributes a 50-60 year life cycle for 5 industrial revolutions, and emerging theory anticipates acceleration of radical innovation, as discussed in companion papers in this conference. Rapid growth in installed capacity of large scale wind turbines (>1MW) now positions wind electrical power generation in the Acceleration Stage, characterized by market competition between dominant wind turbine designs and societal acceptance by wind energy communities of practice in Europe, North America and Asia. Technical cost model based learning curve projections of Cost of Electricity (COE) suggest that by 2020 COE from wind will be competitive, without tax incentives, with electricity from conventional fossil and nuclear fuel sources. Capture by wind energy of up to 20% of the world electricity market appears likely by the end of the 21st Century.


2015 ◽  
Vol 193 (3) ◽  
pp. 17-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fumihiko Komatsu ◽  
Manabu Tanaka ◽  
Tomoyuki Murakami ◽  
Yoshihiro Okuno

1977 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 212-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. W. Hardie ◽  
J. H. Chamberlin

Author(s):  
J R Bolter

Sir Charles Parsons died some three years after the author was born. In this paper the author looks back at the pioneering work of Parsons in the field of power generation. It shows how he was able to increase output of the steam turbine generator from 7.5 kW in 1884 to 50000 kW in 1930 while increasing efficiency from 1.6 to 36 per cent, and relates these achievements to the current state of the art. Blading design, rotor construction and other aspects of turbine engineering are considered. The conclusion is that Parsons and his associates charted the course which manufacturers and utilities throughout the world have continued to follow, although increasingly sophisticated design and analytical methods have succeeded the intuitive approach of Parsons. His constant search for improved efficiency was and is highly relevant to today's concern for the environment. Finally, although it did not become a practical proposition in his lifetime, the paper reviews Parsons' vision of, and continuing interest in, the gas turbine, first mentioned in his 1884 patents.


Sadhana ◽  
1984 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-72
Author(s):  
V K Rohatgi ◽  
N Venkatramani

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