scholarly journals Dynamic stochastic multi-criteria decision making method based on cumulative prospect theory and set pair analysis

2011 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 432-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junhua Hu ◽  
Liu Yang
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Prospect Theory ◽  
Cumulative Prospect Theory ◽  
Multi Criteria Decision Making ◽  
Set Pair Analysis ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Pair Analysis

Research on Investment Decision-Making of the Low-Carbon Industrial Listed Company Based on the Uncertainty Set Pair Analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 568-574
Author(s):  
Jun Fei Chen ◽  
Jian Qiao Lin
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Model ◽  
Listed Company ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Set Pair Analysis ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Development Mode ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Uncertainty Set ◽  
Pair Analysis

As a new economical development mode, “low-carbon economic” is attracting more and more attention all over the world. In this paper, associating with the development background of the low-carbon industry, we applied the uncertainty set pair analysis (SPA) into the investment decision-making of the listed company, and established the investment decision model based on the uncertainty SPA. As a case, we made investment decision analysis to 12 typical low-carbon industrial listed companies selected. The results show that it is effective and applicable, and the research is helpful for the investors conducting decision-making.

Decision-making of investment in navigation safety improving schemes with application of cumulative prospect theory

2018 ◽  
Vol 232 (6) ◽  
pp. 710-724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Wang ◽  
Qing Liu ◽  
Tongle Yin
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Prospect Theory ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Cumulative Prospect Theory ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Risk Appetite ◽  
Safety Investment ◽  
Navigation Safety

Navigation safety improving investment aims at mitigating risk and improving safety of shipping system, while decision-makers’ attitudes toward the uncertainty of shipping safety possess a characteristic of “bounded rationality.” To study the tendency of shipping safety investment decision-making with different risk perception and appetite, a decision-making method based on cumulative prospect theory is proposed in this article. First, we extract the decision attributes through analyzing the factors affecting shipping safety investment. Then, according to cumulative prospect theory, the value function and the probability weighting function for calculating cumulative prospect values of shipping investment attributes are given. Under the risk-based multi-attribute group decision-making framework, linear programming model and projection method are introduced to aggregate the weights of attributes and decision-makers, respectively. Furthermore, through a case study, the proposed methodology is utilized in Three Gorges Dam area, and the desirable safety investment scheme is determined from a set of candidate alternatives. The case study shows not only validity and feasibility of the decision-making approach but also the mechanism of shipping safety investment decision-making with consideration of the behavior characteristics of decision-makers such as reference dependence, risk appetite distortion, and loss aversion.

Set Pair Analysis Method of Containing Target Constraint Mixed Interval Multi-Attribute Decision-Making

2012 ◽  
Vol 226-228 ◽  
pp. 2222-2226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Sheng Lü ◽  
Bin Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Multiple Attribute Decision Making ◽  
Set Pair Analysis ◽  
Analysis Theory ◽  
Multiple Attribute ◽  
Complex Decision Making ◽  
Multi Attribute Decision Making ◽  
Interval Type ◽  
Pair Analysis ◽  
Attribute Value

In view of target attribute value for different sector number, moreover, also attaches a target constraint condition kind of mix sector multi-attribute decision making question, this paper presents set pair analysis decision-making method. Firstly this paper puts forward three typical interval type attribute value representation; Then using set pair analysis theory, the interval type attribute value unified convert the correlate form, Finally has given complex decision-making criterion function, which collected Conformity degree criteria and Criteria for membership degree. Through the construction plan changes decision-making example analysis shows that this method is a simple and effective method for solving multiple attribute decision making.

scholarly journals Research on Decision-Making Behavior of Discretionary Lane-Changing Based on Cumulative Prospect Theory

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Xueqin Long ◽  
Liancai Zhang ◽  
Shanshan Liu ◽  
Jianjun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Prospect Theory ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Cumulative Prospect Theory ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Lane Changing ◽  
Actual Observation ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Lane Keeping

In this paper, the decision-making model of discretionary lane-changing is established using cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Through analyzing the vehicles’ dynamic running states, safety spacing calculating approaches for discretionary lane-changing and lane-keeping have been put forward firstly. Then, based on CPT, a lane-changing decision model with accelerating space as its utility is proposed by estimating the difference between actual spacings and the safety spacings for discretionary lane-changing as well as lane-keeping. In order to calculate the utility of discretionary lane-changing, dynamic reference points and a parameter representing driver’s risk preference are introduced into the model. With the real data collected from an urban expressway, the distribution of discretionary lane-changing duration is analyzed, and the model parameters are also calibrated. Furthermore, the applicability of the model is evaluated by comparing with the actual observation and random unity model. Finally, the sensitivity analysis of the model is carried out, that is, assessing the influence degree of each variable on the decision result. The study reveals that the CPT-based model can describe discretionary lane-changing behavior more accurately, which consider drivers’ risk-aversion during decision-making.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document