Power law classification scheme of time series correlations. On the example of G20 group

2013 ◽  
Vol 392 (9) ◽  
pp. 2150-2162 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janusz Miśkiewicz
Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 352
Author(s):  
Janusz Miśkiewicz

Within the paper, the problem of globalisation during financial crises is analysed. The research is based on the Forex exchange rates. In the analysis, the power law classification scheme (PLCS) is used. The study shows that during crises cross-correlations increase resulting in significant growth of cliques, and also the ranks of nodes on the converging time series network are growing. This suggests that the crises expose the globalisation processes, which can be verified by the proposed analysis.


1998 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Harris ◽  
M. Menabde ◽  
A. Seed ◽  
G. Austin

Abstract. The theory of scale similarity and breakdown coefficients is applied here to intermittent rainfall data consisting of time series and spatial rain fields. The probability distributions (pdf) of the logarithm of the breakdown coefficients are the principal descriptor used. Rain fields are distinguished as being either multiscaling or multiaffine depending on whether the pdfs of breakdown coefficients are scale similar or scale dependent, respectively. Parameter  estimation techniques are developed which are applicable to both multiscaling and multiaffine fields. The scale parameter (width), σ, of the pdfs of the log-breakdown coefficients is a measure of the intermittency of a field. For multiaffine fields, this scale parameter is found to increase with scale in a power-law fashion consistent with a bounded-cascade picture of rainfall modelling. The resulting power-law exponent, H, is indicative of the smoothness of the field. Some details of breakdown coefficient analysis are addressed and a theoretical link between this analysis and moment scaling analysis is also presented. Breakdown coefficient properties of cascades are also investigated in the context of parameter estimation for modelling purposes.


2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 11957-11970 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Varotsos ◽  
M.-N. Assimakopoulos ◽  
M. Efstathiou

Abstract. The monthly mean values of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration derived from in-situ air samples collected at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii, during 1958–2004 (the longest continuous record available in the world) are analyzed by employing the detrended fluctuation analysis to detect scaling behavior in this time series. The main result is that the fluctuations of carbon dioxide concentrations exhibit long-range power-law correlations (long memory) with lag times ranging from four months to eleven years, which correspond to 1/f noise. This result indicates that random perturbations in the carbon dioxide concentrations give rise to noise, characterized by a frequency spectrum following a power-law with exponent that approaches to one; the latter shows that the correlation times grow strongly. This feature is pointing out that a correctly rescaled subset of the original time series of the carbon dioxide concentrations resembles the original time series. Finally, the power-law relationship derived from the real measurements of the carbon dioxide concentrations could also serve as a tool to improve the confidence of the atmospheric chemistry-transport and global climate models.


Fractals ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 839-847 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. VESPIGNANI ◽  
A. PETRI ◽  
A. ALIPPI ◽  
G. PAPARO ◽  
M. COSTANTINI

Relaxation processes taking place after microfracturing of laboratory samples give rise to ultrasonic acoustic emission signals. Statistical analysis of the resulting time series has revealed many features which are characteristic of critical phenomena. In particular, the autocorrelation functions obey a power-law behavior, implying a power spectrum of the kind 1/f. Also the amplitude distribution N(V) of such signals follows a power law, and the obtained exponents are consistent with those found in other experiments: N(V) dV≃V–γ dV, with γ=1.7±0.2. We also analyzed the distribution N(τ) of the delay time τ between two consecutive acoustic emission events. We found that a N(τ) distribution rather close to a power law constitutes a common feature of all the recorded signals. These experimental results can be considered as a striking evidence for a critical dynamics underlying the microfracturing processes.


2010 ◽  
Vol 109 (6) ◽  
pp. 1582-1591 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Muskulus ◽  
Annelies M. Slats ◽  
Peter J. Sterk ◽  
Sjoerd Verduyn-Lunel

Asthma and COPD are chronic respiratory diseases that fluctuate widely with regard to clinical symptoms and airway obstruction, complicating treatment and prediction of exacerbations. Time series of respiratory impedance obtained by the forced oscillation technique are a convenient tool to study the respiratory system with high temporal resolution. In previous studies it was suggested that power-law-like fluctuations exist also in the healthy lung and that respiratory system impedance variability differs in asthma. In this study we elucidate such differences in a population of well-characterized subjects with asthma ( n = 13, GINA 1+2), COPD ( n = 12, GOLD I+II), and controls ( n = 10) from time series at single frequency (12 min, f = 8 Hz). Maximum likelihood estimation did not rule out power-law behavior, accepting the null hypothesis in 17/35 cases ( P > 0.05) and with significant differences in exponents for COPD ( P < 0.03). Detrended fluctuation analysis exhibited scaling exponents close to 0.5, indicating few correlations, with no differences between groups ( P > 0.14). In a second approach, we considered asthma and COPD as dynamic diseases, corresponding to changes of unknown parameters in a deterministic system. The similarity in shape between the combined probability distributions of normalized resistance and reactance was quantified by Wasserstein distances and reliably distinguished the two diseases (cross-validated predictive accuracy 0.80; sensitivity 0.83, specificity 0.77 for COPD). Wasserstein distances between 3+3 dimensional phase space reconstructions resulted in marginally better classification (accuracy 0.84, sensitivity 0.83, specificity 0.85). These latter findings suggest that the dynamics of respiratory impedance contain valuable information for the diagnosis and monitoring of patients with asthma and COPD, whereas the value of the stochastic approach is not clear presently.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 1823-1830 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Manuel Tunqui Neira ◽  
Vazken Andréassian ◽  
Gaëlle Tallec ◽  
Jean-Marie Mouchel

Abstract. This technical note deals with the mathematical representation of concentration–discharge relationships. We propose a two-sided affine power scaling relationship (2S-APS) as an alternative to the classic one-sided power scaling relationship (commonly known as “power law”). We also discuss the identification of the parameters of the proposed relationship, using an appropriate numerical criterion. The application of 2S-APS to the high-frequency chemical time series of the Orgeval-ORACLE observatory is presented here (in calibration and validation mode): it yields better results for several solutes and for electrical conductivity in comparison with the power law relationship.


Author(s):  
Ana Cláudia dos Santos Luciano ◽  
Michelle Cristina Araújo Picoli ◽  
Jansle Vieira Rocha ◽  
Daniel Garbellini Duft ◽  
Rubens Augusto Camargo Lamparelli ◽  
...  

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