Forecasting volatility of SSEC in Chinese stock market using multifractal analysis

2008 ◽  
Vol 387 (7) ◽  
pp. 1585-1592 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Wei ◽  
Peng Wang
2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuangxia Huang ◽  
Xu Gong ◽  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Fenghua Wen

Basing on the Heterogeneous Autoregressive with Continuous volatility and Jumps model (HAR-CJ), converting the realized Volatility (RV) into the adjusted realized volatility (ARV), and making use of the influence of momentum effect on the volatility, a new model called HAR-CJ-M is developed in this paper. At the same time, we also address, in great detail, another two models (HAR-ARV, HAR-CJ). The applications of these models to Chinese stock market show that each of the continuous sample path variation, momentum effect, and ARV has a good forecasting performance on the future ARV, while the discontinuous jump variation has a poor forecasting performance. Moreover, the HAR-CJ-M model shows obviously better forecasting performance than the other two models in forecasting the future volatility in Chinese stock market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 319-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yufang Liu ◽  
Weiguo Zhang ◽  
Junhui Fu ◽  
Xiang Wu

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